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Correspondence - #33
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Correspondence - #33
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY <br />This study examines the impact of rent control of mobile home parks in seven <br />counties of California between 1983 and 2003. Sales of mobile homes on rent - <br />controlled pads are hypothesized to sell at prices higher than identical models sold <br />in mobile home parks without rent control. Our statistical tests corroborated this <br />expectation. <br />The number of rent -controlled jurisdictions of California has increased over the <br />last twenty years as has the share of the number, value and square footage of <br />coaches subject to rent control. We find that the nature of the rent control regime <br />differentially impacts mobile home prices: a rigid regime, rent control without <br />vacancy decontrol, where rents cannot be raised to market when a tenant vacates, <br />leads to higher growth rates in resale prices, while a flexible regime, or rent control <br />with vacancy decontrol, results in lower growth rates in resale prices; growth rates <br />are also higher after 1993 a date coincident with the beginnings of the economic <br />recovery in the California real estate market and a significant change in the <br />California legal -regulatory environment.' <br />We assembled an extensive and timely data set and thus, were able to employ more <br />carefully specified econometric models than had been employed in prior studies of <br />California mobile -home rent control. Using pooled data from seven counties in <br />California, before 1993, a flexible rent control regime results in real growth rates in <br />prices 1.69 percentage points less than overall growth rates, while a rigid regime <br />yields real growth rates in prices 0.19 percentage points less; after 1993, a flexible <br />regime results in real growth rates in prices 0.57 percentage points less than overall <br />growth rates, while a rigid regime yields average real growth rates in prices 1.11 <br />percentage points greater (for example, amounting to almost $4,000 for the <br />average coach in this sample, after ten years). After 1993, for communities with <br />rigid regimes, the rates of real price increases for coaches was positive and <br />significant in six of the seven counties included in our data set. In general, rates of <br />price increase were lower before 1993 and in communities with flexible rent <br />control regimes. <br />'U.S. Supreme Court, Yee v. City of Escondido, April, 1992 <br />3 One seminal study of rent control in New York City estimated that the costs to property owners are two times the <br />benefits to renters (Olsen, 1972). <br />
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