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The prevalence of rent control ordinances varies dramatically among the seven <br />counties. While in the aggregate, less than five percent of the transactions in <br />Orange county were in rent- controlled parks, 83 percent of the transactions in <br />Ventura county were in rent -controlled parks. As noted earlier, there is significant <br />variation in these percentages between 1983 and 2003 with an increasing number <br />and share of mobile home units being regulated by rent control policies over time. <br />Of the 34.8 percent of mobile home transactions in our data set that are within rent <br />controlled jurisdictions, 16.5 percent are in jurisdictions with flexible rent control <br />regimes and 18.3 percent are in jurisdictions with rigid rent control regimes.lo <br />An additional dummy variable was created to capture the change in the legal <br />environment arising from the April 1992 U.S. Supreme Court decision upholding <br />mobile home park rent control ordinances. We assumed that some time would be <br />required for the court decision to influence prices so, in the analysis, we used <br />January 1993 as the `event' date." <br />ANALYSIS AND RESULTS <br />10 Rent control regimes may become less rigid or more rigid through time as policies evolve due to the economic <br />and political environment. We were able to identify regimes which are currently rigid (no vacancy decontrol <br />permitted) or flexible (vacancy decontrol permitted). In order to ascertain whether today's regime accurately <br />reflected the nature of the regime since 1983, we surveyed every city in our data set (201). We received 55 <br />responses in total with 20 of them from cities with rent control in place. The results of the survey supported the <br />approach taken. <br />" We employed alternative `event' dates in our analysis but found the 1993 date to corroborate our hypothesized <br />result and allow for a reasonable period of time for dissemination of information to market participants. Further <br />tests of the importance of event dates involved the use of multiple regression analysis to predict the annual mobile <br />home sales volumes in our sample. As the regression results show, sales volume peaked in the year immediately <br />following a city's adoption of rent control. Plausibly, sellers saw that the imposition of rent control gave them a <br />windfall and they moved to cash in by putting their mobile home on the market. <br />Here are the OLS regression results: <br />Annual number of transactions — 1994.78 - 0.78*BeforelYr + 2.05*AfterlYr + 1.24*After2Yr <br />(t-values) (-9.03) (5.64) (3.68) <br />+ 0.96*After3To7Yr + 0.93 *After8YrUp — 83.71 *CAUnemp <br />(11.32) (20.25) (4.08) <br />R-square — 0.985 <br />Whereas, <br />BeforelYr: indicator variable for 1 year before the adoption of rent control ordinance; <br />AfterlYr: indicator variable for 1 year after the adoption of rent control ordinance; <br />After2Yr: indicator variable for 2 years after the adoption of rent control ordinance; <br />After3To7Yr: indicator variable for 3 to 7 years after the adoption of rent control ordinance; <br />After8YrUp: indicator variable for 8 and above years after the adoption of rent control ordinance; <br />CAUnemp: California state unemployment rate (percentage; economic conditions control variable); data source: <br />www.dofca.gov. <br />