Item 18 - Appeal Application Nos. 2023-02 and 2023-03 for Cabrillo Town Center project

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4.3.2 Does the Project propose changes that would result in new significant impacts or substantial increase in the severity of significant impacts that will require major revisions of the Certified EIR? The Project includes the demolition and removal of all existing improvements from the Project Site and development of the site with a mixed -use development including up to 507 residential dwelling units, approximately 26,800 square feet of commercial uses, and associated parking, utility infrastructure, landscaping, and open space, all of which is allowed under the Overlay Zone and is consistent with the Overlay Zone standards. The Project does not include any development that would extend beyond the building envelope considered in the Certified EIR, and no changes are proposed to the Overlay Zone to accommodate the Project. As demonstrated below, the Project would incorporate the applicable mitigation measures identified in the Certified EIR and would not result in any new or increased significant air quality impacts beyond those already identified in the Certified EIR. The analysis of the Project's air quality impacts presented below is based on the technical Air Quality Report included as Attachment A. AQMP Consistency Since preparation of the Certified EIR in 2006, the AQMP has been updated. Below is a discussion of the Project's consistency with the 2022 AQMP. As discussed below, the Project's air quality emissions would not exceed any state or federal standards. Therefore, the Project would not increase the frequency or severity of an existing violation or cause or contribute to new violations for these pollutants. As the Project would not exceed any of the state and federal standards, the Project would also not delay timely attainment of air quality standards or interim emission reductions specified in the AQMP. With respect to the determination of consistency with AQMP growth assumptions, the projections in the AQMP for achieving air quality goals are based on assumptions in SCAG's 2020-2045 RTP/SCS regarding population, housing, and growth trends. Determining whether or not a project exceeds the assumptions reflected in the AQMP involves the evaluation of three criteria: (1) consistency with applicable population, housing, and employment growth projections; (2) project Mitigation Measures; and (3) appropriate incorporation of AQMP land use planning strategies. The following discussion provides an analysis with respect to each of these three criteria. • Is the project consistent with the population, housing, and employment growth projections upon which AQMP forecasted emission levels are based? A project is consistent with the AQMP, in part, if it is consistent with the population, housing, and employment assumptions that were used in the development of the AQMP, which are based on SCAG's 2020-2045 RTP/SCS. SCAG's 2020-2045 RTP/SCS provides socioeconomic forecast projections of regional population Cabrillo Town Center City of Santa Ana Technical Memorandum August 2023 City Council 18 — 509 10/3/2023