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Item 26 - Public Hearing Regarding Bristol Project
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Item 26 - Public Hearing Regarding Bristol Project
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9/25/2024 12:33:51 PM
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City Clerk
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Agenda Packet
Agency
Planning & Building
Item #
26
Date
10/1/2024
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SECTION VII <br />taHOSPITALITY <br />www.FinanceDTA.com <br />VII HOSPITALITY <br />OCCUPANCY <br />50% <br />75% <br />70% <br />65% <br />60% <br />s 55% <br />50% <br />45% <br />40% <br />35% <br />Figure 14: Hotel Occupancy in the 2-Mile Zone <br />Forecast 100% <br />to 19 20 21 22 23 <br />■ 12Mo Ih Occupancy ■ 12Mo01P PtChacge(YOY) <br />The hospitality market in the 2-Mile Zone <br />includes more than 14,000 units comprising <br />4,643 classified as Luxury and Upper <br />Upscale, 5,746 as Upper Midscale, and <br />3,915 considered as Midscale or Economy. <br />Since we believe the proposed 250-unit <br />hotel will be in the Upper Upscale category, <br />our analysis will focus on these products. <br />As a result of COVID-19, hotel occupancy in <br />the 2-Mile Zone fell from 77% to 40% in <br />August 2021. However, it has rebounded <br />and is now back to 73% occupancy. <br />RevPAR is a significant metric for hotel <br />operators. RevPAR shows revenue generated per room regardless of whether rooms are occupied or <br />vacant. It is calculated by dividing actual room revenue by potential room revenue, as if all rooms were <br />occupied. The total revenue includes all hotel revenues related to rooms, food service, and beverages <br />and revenue generated by other income -producing departments. An increase in RevPAR is often <br />interpreted as either an increase in average room rate or an increase in room occupancy. Since there are <br />two metrics involved, an increase in RevPAR Figure 15: RevPAR by Class <br />does not necessarily mean that a building is <br />performing better. Like most financial metrics, RevPAR By Class <br />RevPAR is limited because it does not identify 8 $200 <br />� $1a0 <br />whether the room rate or occupancy is either <br />160 <br />increasing or decreasing. However, it is a useful ¢ $1a0 <br />tool to compare one project to another. a $120 <br />a, <br />According to Costar, the 12-month occupancy v $100 <br />rate in the 2-Mile Zone was 73.9%, with an = $80 <br />$60 <br />average room rate of $194.55 yielding a RevPAR ry $40 <br />of about $143.41. In general, this indicates a $20 <br />strong hospitality market. It should also be <br />noted that the Luxury and Upper Upscale <br />properties generated RevPAR close to $180 per room. <br />I ......... <br />..I ........... I. I <br />19 20 21 22 <br />Luxury & Upper Upscale 0 Upscale & Upper Midscale <br />Midscale & Economy <br />We obtained information for competitive full -service hotels within the the 2-Mile Zone that we thought <br />should be evaluated as possible competitors to the hotel proposed in the Specific Plan. This information <br />is summarized below. For properties that did not have a metric, such as parking at the Westin South Coast <br />Plaza, we left the information blank. <br />Based upon the information provided by the Developer, DTA concluded the Westin South Coast Plaza <br />would be a property that it would target as its competitor since it is a full -service 4 Star property with <br />Related Bristol at 3600 South Bristol Street September 2023 <br />Draft Market Study Report <br />Exhibit 10 <br />SJ <br />
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