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First Update to the Climate Change Scoping Plan (2014) <br />The First Update to the Scoping Plan was approved by CARB in May 2014 and builds upon the initial Scoping <br />Plan with new strategies and recommendations. In 2014, CARB revised the target using the GWP values from <br />the IPCC AR4 and determined that the 1990 GHG emissions inventory and 2020 GHG emissions limit is 431 <br />MMTCO2e. CARB also updated the State's 2020 NAT emissions estimate to account for the effect of the <br />2007-2009 economic recession, new estimates for future fuel and energy demand, and the reductions <br />required by regulation that were recently adopted for motor vehicles and renewable energy. CARB's projected <br />statewide 2020 emissions estimate using the GWP values from the IPCC AR4 is 509.4 MMTCO2e. <br />2017 Climate Change Scoping Plan <br />In response to the 2030 GHG reduction target, CARB adopted the 2017 Climate Change Scoping Plan at a <br />public meeting held in December 2017. The 2017 Scoping Plan outlines the strategies the State will implement <br />to achieve the 2030 GHG reduction target of 40 percent below 1990 levels. The 2017 Scoping Plan also <br />addresses GHG emissions from natural and working lands of California, including the agriculture and forestry <br />sectors. The 2017 Scoping Plan considered the Scoping Plan Scenario and four alternatives for achieving the <br />required GHG reductions but ultimately selected the Scoping Plan Scenario. <br />CARB states that the Scoping Plan Scenario "is the best choice to achieve the State's climate and clean air <br />goals."17 Under the Scoping Plan Scenario, the majority of the reductions would result from the continuation <br />of the Cap -and -Trade regulation. Additional reductions are achieved from electricity sector standards (i.e., <br />utility providers to supply at least 50 percent renewable electricity by 2030), doubling the energy efficiency <br />savings at end uses, additional reductions from the LCFS, implementing the short-lived GHG strategy (e.g., <br />hydrofluorocarbons), and implementing the mobile source strategy and sustainable freight action plan. The <br />alternatives were designed to consider various combinations of these programs, as well as consideration of a <br />carbon tax in the event the Cap -and -Trade regulation is not continued. However, in July 2017, the California <br />Legislature voted to extend the Cap -and -Trade regulation to 2030. Implementing this Scoping Plan will ensure <br />that California's climate actions continue to promote innovation, drive the generation of newjobs, and achieve <br />continued reductions of smog and air toxics. The ambitious approach draws on a decade of successful <br />programs that address the major sources of climate -changing gases in every sector of the economy: <br />■ More Clean Cars and Trucks: The plan sets out far-reaching programs to incentivize the sale of millions <br />of zero -emission vehicles, drive the deployment of zero -emission trucks, and shift to a cleaner system of <br />handling freight statewide. <br />■ Increased Renewable Energy: California's electric utilities are ahead of schedule meeting the requirement <br />that 33 percent of electricity come from renewable sources by 2020. The Scoping Plan guides utilities to <br />50 percent renewables, as required under SB 350. <br />■ Slashing Super -Pollutants: The plan calls for a significant cut in super -pollutants such as methane and HFC <br />refrigerants, which are responsible for as much as 40 percent of global warming. <br />■ Cleaner Industry and Electricity: California's renewed cap -and -trade program extends the declining cap <br />on emissions from utilities and industries and the carbon allowance auctions. The auctions will continue <br />to fund investments in clean energy and efficiency, particularly in disadvantaged communities. <br />■ Cleaner Fuels: The Low Carbon Fuel Standard will drive further development of cleaner, renewable <br />transportation fuels to replace fossil fuels. <br />■ Smart Community Planning: Local communities will continue developing plans which will further link <br />transportation and housing policies to create sustainable communities. <br />■ Improved Agriculture and Forests: The Scoping Plan also outlines innovative programs to account for and <br />reduce emissions from agriculture, as well as forests and other natural lands. <br />17 California Air Resources Board, California's 2017 Climate Change Scoping Plan, November 2017, <br />https://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/scoping_plan_2017.pdf <br />Cabrillo at First Mixed Use Residential <br />g3ldJ101 <br />Air Quality, Global Climate Change, HRA, and Energy Impact Analysis <br />66 19386 <br />