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Orange RPU PY 2025-2028 Regional Plan <br />9 | Page <br /> <br />Building on <br />these trends, <br />industries like <br />healthcare, <br />professional <br />services, and <br />logistics are <br />expected to <br />drive growth <br />through 2030. <br />Healthcare <br />and social <br />assistance <br />remain at the <br />forefront of <br />growth, <br />reflecting an aging population's ongoing demand for services. This sector, which has <br />already demonstrated significant year-over-year gains, is projected to lead all industries <br />in numeric and percentage growth by the decade's end, reinforcing its critical role in the <br />region's economic and social stability. <br /> <br />Professional and business services are similarly positioned for steady expansion, driven <br />by the country’s shift toward a knowledge-based economy and increasing demand for <br />specialized expertise in consulting, technical support, and legal services. Trade, <br />transportation, and utilities, bolstered by the rise of e-commerce and advancements in <br />logistics infrastructure, are expected to remain essential contributors to the labor market. <br /> <br />However, challenges persist for traditional labor-intensive sectors. Manufacturing and <br />construction, which experienced year-over-year declines in 2024, are projected to grow <br />at a slower pace or face potential declines through 2030 due to automation, technological <br />disruptions, and shifting economic priorities. Retail, already heavily impacted by e- <br />commerce trends, is expected to continue adjusting to changing consumer behaviors and <br />increased reliance on automated solutions. Traditional labor-intensive sectors may face <br />slower growth or further declines, necessitating targeted workforce investments in <br />reskilling and upskilling initiatives. <br /> <br />Self-Employment and Private Household Workers <br /> <br />Self-employment and gig work continue to play a pivotal role in Orange County's <br />economy, reflecting national trends and the region's unique economic landscape. As of <br />2022, Orange County reported approximately 319,630 nonemployer establishments, <br />representing businesses with no paid employees other than the proprietor19. These <br />establishments reflect the strong presence of self-employed individuals and sole <br />proprietors who drive innovation and flexibility in the local labor market. Nonemployer <br />establishments are common in industries such as professional and business services, <br />trade, transportation, and utilities and in sectors that benefit from gig and freelance work <br />models. <br /> <br />19 U.S. Census Bureau. QuickFacts: Orange County, California. Accessed January 2025. https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/orangecountycalifornia/POP060220. <br />!"#$BC’E)*+CI- <br />./B-)0-/’) <br />N2PI4E2-"C) <br />NBC+2/C-)5656 <br />T’48-9C-#) <br />0-/’) <br />N2PI4E2-"C) <br />NBC+2/C- <br />56:6 <br />;$2-’+9) <br />Y=/">- <br />5656?56:6 <br />T-’9-"C/>-) <br />Y=/">- <br />5656?56:6 <br />!"#ABC’E#FG’"HI -.LM1..--OMO..1MP..14-5 <br />STU9WI"B;F<=">F#?B@FTA"T=-M1..-MB..-..P4C5 <br />aFIW#BEWT’-MB..cM...-..P4O5 <br />dUHUHeBWH?BfFeeUHe L..O..g-..gcP4.5 <br />hFH=IT<iIUFH -.-MO..--1M-..-CM1..-C4C5 <br />dWH<AWiI<TUHe -LBM-..-POML..LMO..c4B5 <br />aTW?"MBaTWH=EFTIWIUFHMBWH?BMIU#UIU"=cLcMO..ckBM...OCMk..-P4-5 <br />lHAFT’WIUFH cLM-..ckM1..OMk..-P4L5 <br />EUHWHiUW#BmiIU9UIU"=--PMB..-cBM-..-OMc..--4L5 <br />STFA"==UFHW#BWH?Bn<=UH"==B!"T9Ui"=O-.M-..OkOM1..COMk..c.4P5 <br />C?<iWIUFHW#B!"T9Ui"=BoSTU9WI"pMB;"W#I>BhWT"MBWH?B!FiUW#B <br />m==U=IWHi"ccPM1..ckcM-..LCMO..c.4P5 <br />f"U=<T"BWH?B;F=EUIW#UIG -C-M1..cLOM1..1cM...P.4k5 <br />TI>"TB!"T9Ui"=Bo"ri#<?"=B1-LgSTU9WI"B;F<=">F#?B@FTA"T=p LLM-..PPMP..--ML..cP4B5 <br />sF9"TH’"HI -PCM-..-CBM...-cMB..14O5 <br />2020-2030 Industry Sector Employment Projections <br />Data Source: EDD Industry Employment Projections <br />EXHIBIT 1