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FULL PACKET_2012-05-21
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FULL PACKET_2012-05-21
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Clerk of the Council
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5/21/2012
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Rearrest for a sex crime against a child <br />Undercounts of sex crimes <br />against children <br />Rearrest <br />Sex offenders compared <br />to non-sex offenders <br />This section documents percentages of <br />men who were arrested for a sex crime <br />against a child after their release from <br />prison in 1994. To some unknown <br />extent, these recidivism rates under- <br />count actual rearrest rates. That is <br />because the arrest records that the <br />study used to document sex crime <br />arrests did not always contain enough <br />information to identify those sex crime <br />arrests in which the victim of the crime <br />was a child. Some sense of the poten- <br />tial size of the undercount can be <br />gained by comparing rearrests for any <br />sex crime and rearrests for any sex <br />crime against a child. Rates of rearrest <br />for a sex crime (tables 21 and 22) are <br />from 2 to 3'/? percentage points higher <br />than rates of rearrest for a sex crime <br />against a child (tables 34 and 35), <br />suggesting that rates of rearrest for a <br />sex crime against a child could be, at <br />most, a few percentage points below <br />actual rates. <br />No data on precise ages <br />of molested children <br />This section also documents the ages <br />of the children that the men were <br />alleged to have molested after their <br />release from prison. Sex crime statutes <br />contained in the arrest records of the <br />released prisoners were used to obtain <br />ages. The first step was to identify <br />those sex crime statutes that were <br />applicable just to children. Among <br />those that were, some were found to <br />apply just to children whose age fell <br />within a certain range (for example, <br />under 12, or 13 to 15, or 16 to 17). <br />Those statutes applicable to children <br />within specified age ranges became <br />the source of information on the <br />approximate ages of the allegedly <br />molested children. Information on <br />precise ages could not be determined <br />because statutes applicable just to <br />children of a specific age (for example, <br />just to 12-year-olds, or just to age <br />15-year-olds) do not exist. <br />A// sex offenders <br />Following their release in 1994, 209 <br />of the total 9,691 released sex offend- <br />ers (2.2%) were rearrested for a sex <br />offense against a child (table 34). For <br />virtually all 209, the rearrest offense <br />was a felony. For the reason given <br />earlier, the 2.2% figure undercounts <br />the percentage rearrested for a sex <br />offense against a child. It seems <br />unlikely that the correct figure could be <br />as high as 5.3% (table 21), which is the <br />percentage rearrested for a sex crime <br />against a person of any age. The only <br />way it could be that high is if none of <br />the sex crime arrests after release <br />were crimes in which the victim was an <br />adult, an unlikely possibility. The more <br />likely possibility is that the 2.2% figure <br />undercounts the rate by a maximum of <br />1 or 2 percentage points. <br />An estimated 76% of the children alleg- <br />edly molested by the 209 men after <br />their prison release were age 13 or <br />younger, 12% were 14- or 15-years- <br />old, and the remaining 12% were 16- <br />or 17-years-old. <br />Prisons in the 15 States in the study <br />released 272,111 prisoners altogether <br />in 1994, 9,691 of whom were the sex <br />offenders in this report. As previously <br />stated, 2.2% of the 9,691 sex offenders <br />were rearrested for a child sex crime <br />after their release. That rate is high <br />compared to the rate for the remaining <br />262,420 non-sex offenders. Of the <br />262,420 non-sex offenders, less than <br />half of 1 percent (1,042 of the 262,420) <br />were rearrested for a sex offense <br />against a child within the 3-year <br />followup period (not shown in table). <br />Since each of the 1 ,042 was charged <br />at arrest with molesting at least 1 child, <br />the total number they allegedly moles- <br />ted was conservatively estimated at <br />1,042. Of the conservatively estimated <br />1,042 children, 65% were age 13 or <br />younger, 1 1 % were 14- or 15-years- <br />old, and 24% were 16- or 17-years-old <br />(not shown in table). (These percent- <br />ages were based on the 554 cases out <br />of the 1,042 in which the approximate <br />age of the child could be determined.) <br />Table 34. Of sex offenders released from prison in '1994, percent rearrested <br />for a sex crime against a child, and percent of their alleged victims, <br />by age of victim and type of sex offender <br />Percent rearrested for a sex crime <br />against a child within 3 years <br />Sexual <br />All Rapists assaulters <br />Total 2.2% 1 .4 % 2.5 <br />Number released 9,69'1 3,11 S 6,576 <br />Age of child that sex offender was Percent of <br />charged with molesting after release allegedly molested children <br />13 or younger 76.2% 89.3 % 72.3 <br />14-15 11.5 O.O` '14.9 <br />16-17 '12.3 '10.7' '12.8 <br />Number of molested children 209 44 ? 65 <br />Note: The 9,69'1 sex offenders were released in 15 States. The approximate ages of the children <br />allegedly molested by the 209 prisoners after their release were available for 58.4% of the 209. <br />"Number of molested children" was set to equal the number of released sex offenders rearrested <br />for child molesting. <br />'Percentage based on 1 O or fewer cases. <br />30 Recidivism of Sex Offenders Re/eased from Prison in 1994 <br />5OA-79
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