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TARLE <br />PERCENT CHANGE IN TOTAL POPULATION <br />BY AGE COMPAPIStONS <br />Berkeley vs. Alameda County <br />Santa Monica vs. Los Angeles County <br />1990.1990 <br />sources:'. 1980 US, Census, Table 15, ST". <br />1990 US. Census, Table Pia, W -3z. <br />The greatest declines occur in the age groups to 14 and 15 to 24. The latter population, age <br />15 to 24, consists of those who are more likely to rent than own a home. In the subject cities, <br />a large proportion of these persons are more likely to be in college or starting out in a new <br />career. One argument that could accountfor the decline of almost 11 percent In the 15 to 24 <br />year age group in Berkeley is that the college student population is declining, or moving out <br />of Berkeley. The Census data show, however, thatthe proportion of col legestudents i n the city <br />remained the same, 27,5 percent in 1980 and 27.4 percent in 1990. Also, the constant <br />proportion of students suggest replacement, and that the declines are not students simply <br />completing college and moving to another area for work or continued schooling. Therefore, <br />it can be suggested that the persons moving out of Berkeley are other than college students. <br />instead, they are persons who cannot afford to purchase a home in Berkeley and cannot find <br />rental housing. <br />The data show declines for the age group 5 to 14, also, This group is the most likely to be part <br />of a family. The recent increases, slight but real, in the birth rate magnifies the large declines <br />in this age group, compared to the increases shown for the counties. <br />The last group that deserves attention is persons over the age of 64, another group that has a <br />high probability of beinga renter, With respect to the overal I aging of the general population, <br />it is not surprising to seethe extraordinary gains in both the counties, Berkeley, on the other <br />hand, shows less than a one percent increase, and Santa Monica, an almost two percent <br />decrease in the proportion of persons who fall Into this group, The data, once more, show that <br />the restrictive rent control has not met their goals. In the case of the subjectcities, It appears <br />that the age groups most likely to decline In size are those In which families are more likely <br />to occur, affecting family composition, and In the elderly population. <br />The Cal knia State Unhwshy--Real Costs h Land Use Matfute <br />1980-1990 Percent Change <br />Alameda <br />Santa <br />Los Angeles <br />Population and Age <br />Berkeley <br />County <br />Monica <br />County <br />Total Population <br />-0,580!e <br />18.74% <br />-1 AD% <br />20,83% <br />Age Groups tin years) <br />Less than S <br />16.19 <br />31.73 <br />14.37 <br />31.38 <br />5-14 <br />-11.48 <br />9.39 <br />-21,04 <br />1340 <br />15.24 <br />„1041 <br />-5.54 <br />-3734 <br />4.12 <br />25-64 <br />5.22 <br />2636 <br />10.16 <br />27.04 <br />More than 64 <br />0,68 <br />25.45 <br />-1,70 <br />23.51 <br />sources:'. 1980 US, Census, Table 15, ST". <br />1990 US. Census, Table Pia, W -3z. <br />The greatest declines occur in the age groups to 14 and 15 to 24. The latter population, age <br />15 to 24, consists of those who are more likely to rent than own a home. In the subject cities, <br />a large proportion of these persons are more likely to be in college or starting out in a new <br />career. One argument that could accountfor the decline of almost 11 percent In the 15 to 24 <br />year age group in Berkeley is that the college student population is declining, or moving out <br />of Berkeley. The Census data show, however, thatthe proportion of col legestudents i n the city <br />remained the same, 27,5 percent in 1980 and 27.4 percent in 1990. Also, the constant <br />proportion of students suggest replacement, and that the declines are not students simply <br />completing college and moving to another area for work or continued schooling. Therefore, <br />it can be suggested that the persons moving out of Berkeley are other than college students. <br />instead, they are persons who cannot afford to purchase a home in Berkeley and cannot find <br />rental housing. <br />The data show declines for the age group 5 to 14, also, This group is the most likely to be part <br />of a family. The recent increases, slight but real, in the birth rate magnifies the large declines <br />in this age group, compared to the increases shown for the counties. <br />The last group that deserves attention is persons over the age of 64, another group that has a <br />high probability of beinga renter, With respect to the overal I aging of the general population, <br />it is not surprising to seethe extraordinary gains in both the counties, Berkeley, on the other <br />hand, shows less than a one percent increase, and Santa Monica, an almost two percent <br />decrease in the proportion of persons who fall Into this group, The data, once more, show that <br />the restrictive rent control has not met their goals. In the case of the subjectcities, It appears <br />that the age groups most likely to decline In size are those In which families are more likely <br />to occur, affecting family composition, and In the elderly population. <br />The Cal knia State Unhwshy--Real Costs h Land Use Matfute <br />