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CORRESPONDENCE - WS-1 OPPOSITION
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CORRESPONDENCE - WS-1 OPPOSITION
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Clerk of the Council
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WS-1
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2/6/2018
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More than a third of US households live in <br />rental housing. After the Great Recession and <br />housing market crash, the number of renters <br />surged across all ages, races/ethnicities, <br />and household types, with especially large <br />increases among higher -income and older <br />households. Nevertheless, younger, lower- <br />income, and minority households are still <br />the most likely to rent and thus make up <br />large shares of renters. While growth in <br />rental demand now appears to be slowing, <br />demographic changes will continue to drive <br />strong increases in the number of renter <br />households over the coming decades. <br />A DECADE OF SOARING DEMAND COMING TO AN END <br />Rental housing demand has grown at an unprecedented pace for <br />more than a decade. According to the Census Bureau's Housing <br />Vacancy Survey, the number of renter households jumped by nearly <br />a third, or roughly 10 million, between the homeownership peak <br />in 2004 and 2016, From 2010 through 2016, growth has averaged <br />976,000 renters per year, far exceeding the 430,000-500,000 added <br />annually in the 1970s and 1980s when the baby boomers started to <br />enter the rental market. As of mid -2017, the number of US renters <br />stood at 43 million. <br />The surge in renter households erased a decade of declining <br />demand between 1994 and 2004, when the national rentership rate <br />fell from 36 percent to just 31 percent (Figure 7). The share of renter <br />households was back up above 36 percent by early 2015, where it <br />has stabilized now that fewer owners are losing their homes to <br />foreclosure and more young households are buying first homes. As <br />a result, rental markets generally are drawing less demand from <br />homeowner markets. <br />The latest survey data are beginning to reflect these trends. All <br />of three annual Census Bureau household surveys reported slow- <br />downs in renter growth in 2016. Indeed, the Housing Vacancy Survey <br />showed a year -over -year decline in the number of renter households <br />in mid -2017. But given that the trend is new and survey data are <br />unprecise, the full extent and duration of the decline in rental <br />demand are still unclear. Assuming that the homeownership rate <br />does stabilize, renters should continue to account for roughly a third <br />of household growth in the years ahead. <br />THE SURGE IN HIGH-INCOME RENTERS <br />Households of all ages, incomes, races/ethnicities, and family types <br />helped to fuel the recent growth in renters, but the role of high- <br />income households is particularly noteworthy. According to the <br />Current Population Survey, households with real annual incomes <br />of $50,000 or more—a group that accounted for just one-third of all <br />renter households in 2006—drove well over half (60 percent) of the <br />growth in renter households from 2006 to 2016. Moreover, house - <br />7 <br />
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