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HomeMy WebLinkAboutItem 27 - Water Supply Assessment for Cabrillo Town Center Project Public Works Agency www.santa-ana.org/public-works Item # 27 City of Santa Ana 20 Civic Center Plaza, Santa Ana, CA 92701 Staff Report May 16, 2023 TOPIC: Water Supply Assessment for Cabrillo Town Center Project AGENDA TITLE Adopt a Resolution Approving the Water Supply Assessment for the Cabrillo Town Center Project Located at 1901 East Fourth Street RECOMMENDED ACTION Adopt a resolution approving the Water Supply Assessment for the Cabrillo Town Center project located at 1901 East Fourth Street. DISCUSSION In June 2021, the City of Santa Ana filed its 2020 Urban Water Management Plan (UWMP) (Exhibit 1) with the California Department of Water Resources in accordance with California Water Code Section 10610, et seq., which requires UWMPs to be filed every five years. The UWMP, among its several functions, estimates water supply sufficiency by forecasting the City’s water supply capacity and anticipated consumer water demand to ensure that available water supply will meet or exceed demand. UWMPs are point-in-time estimates that, by nature, cannot fully capture future effects of large changes unknown at the time it was developed. For this reason, California Water Code Section 10910 requires large projects be reviewed individually for water supply sufficiency via a Water Supply Assessment document. The City must concur that adequate water supply exists for residential development projects consisting of 500 dwelling units or more before development may proceed. The proposed development is a mixed-use project that includes commercial space and up to 507 residential dwelling units, and therefore requires a Water Supply Assessment (Exhibit 2). Staff has reviewed the project’s Water Supply Assessment, concluded that the City has adequate supply to service the project upon its completion, and recommends that the City Council adopt a resolution approving the assessment (Exhibit 3). This is the first Water Supply Assessment brought for the City Council’s specific review and consideration since the completion of the 2020 UWMP. City staff will evaluate future Water Supply Assessments by adjusting the demand projections of the UWMP Water Supply Assessment for Cabrillo Town Center Project May 16, 2023 Page 2 3 4 3 0 for the anticipated demand of this project to determine the unutilized water supply available for additional development. When the future revised 2025 UWMP is filed again, any current or projected water demand from this project will be incorporated into the new baseline consumer water demand projections. FISCAL IMPACT There is no fiscal impact associated with this action. EXHIBIT(S) 1. City of Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan 2. Water Supply Assessment for the Cabrillo Town Center Project 3. Resolution Approving the Water Supply Assessment Submitted By: Nabil Saba, Executive Director of Public Works Approved By: Kristine Ridge, City Manager 2020 Urban Water Management Plan Final June 2021 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 2020 URBAN WATER MANAGEMENT PLAN Prepared for: City of Santa Ana Public Works Agency Water Resources Division 20 Civic Center Plaza Santa Ana, California 92701 Prepared by: Arcadis U.S., Inc. 320 Commerce Suite 200 Irvine California 92602 Tel 714 730 9052 Fax 714 730 9345 Our Ref: 30055240 Date: June 2021 Sarina Sriboonlue, P.E. Project Manager Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com i CONTENTS Acronyms and Abbreviations ....................................................................................................................... ix Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................ ES-1 1 Introduction and UWMP Overview ..................................................................................................... 1-1 Overview of Urban Water Management Plan Requirements ...................................................... 1-1 UWMP Organization .................................................................................................................... 1-2 2 UWMP Preparation ............................................................................................................................ 2-1 Individual Planning and Compliance ........................................................................................... 2-1 Coordination and Outreach ......................................................................................................... 2-2 2.2.1 Integration with Other Planning Efforts .................................................................................. 2-2 2.2.2 Wholesale and Retail Coordination ........................................................................................ 2-3 2.2.3 Public Participation ................................................................................................................. 2-4 3 System Description ............................................................................................................................ 3-1 Agency Overview ......................................................................................................................... 3-1 3.1.1 Formation and Purpose .......................................................................................................... 3-1 3.1.2 City Council ............................................................................................................................ 3-3 Water Service Area and Facilities ............................................................................................... 3-3 3.2.1 Water Service Area ................................................................................................................ 3-3 3.2.2 Water Facilities ....................................................................................................................... 3-4 Climate ......................................................................................................................................... 3-6 Population, Demographics, and Socioeconomics ....................................................................... 3-7 3.4.1 Population .............................................................................................................................. 3-7 3.4.2 Demographics and Socioeconomics ...................................................................................... 3-7 3.4.3 CDR Projection Methodology ................................................................................................. 3-8 Land Uses .................................................................................................................................... 3-8 3.5.1 Current Land Uses ................................................................................................................. 3-8 3.5.2 Projected Land Uses .............................................................................................................. 3-9 4 Water Use Characterization ............................................................................................................... 4-1 Water Use Overview .................................................................................................................... 4-1 Past and Current Water Use ....................................................................................................... 4-1 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com ii Water Use Projections ................................................................................................................. 4-3 4.3.1 Water Use Projection Methodology........................................................................................ 4-3 4.3.1.1 Weather Variability and Long-Term Climate Change Impacts ....................................... 4-5 4.3.2 25-Year Water Use Projection ............................................................................................... 4-5 4.3.2.1 Water Use Projections for 2021-2025 ............................................................................ 4-6 4.3.2.2 Water Use Projections for 2025-2045 ............................................................................ 4-6 4.3.2.3 Water Use Projections for Lower Income Households .................................................. 4-8 Water Loss ................................................................................................................................. 4-10 5 Conservation Target Compliance..................................................................................................... 5-13 Baseline Water Use ................................................................................................................... 5-13 5.1.1 Ten to 15-Year Baseline Period (Baseline GPCD) .............................................................. 5-14 5.1.2 Five-Year Baseline Period (Target Confirmation) ................................................................ 5-14 5.1.3 Service Area Population ....................................................................................................... 5-14 SBx7-7 Water Use Targets ........................................................................................................ 5-14 5.2.1 SBx7-7 Target Methods ....................................................................................................... 5-15 5.2.2 2020 Targets and Compliance ............................................................................................. 5-15 Orange County 20x2020 Regional Alliance .............................................................................. 5-17 6 Water Supply Characterization .......................................................................................................... 6-1 Water Supply Overview ............................................................................................................... 6-1 Imported Water ............................................................................................................................ 6-4 6.2.1 Colorado River Supplies ........................................................................................................ 6-5 6.2.2 State Water Project Supplies ................................................................................................. 6-7 6.2.3 Storage ................................................................................................................................. 6-11 6.2.4 Planned Future Sources ...................................................................................................... 6-12 Groundwater .............................................................................................................................. 6-12 6.3.1 Historical Groundwater Production ...................................................................................... 6-13 6.3.2 Basin Characteristics ........................................................................................................... 6-14 6.3.3 Sustainable Groundwater Management Act ........................................................................ 6-17 6.3.4 Basin Production Percentage ............................................................................................... 6-17 6.3.4.1 2020 OCWD Groundwater Reliability Plan .................................................................. 6-19 6.3.4.2 OCWD Engineer’s Report ............................................................................................ 6-19 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com iii 6.3.5 Recharge Management ........................................................................................................ 6-20 6.3.6 MET Groundwater Replenishment Program ........................................................................ 6-20 6.3.7 MET Conjunctive Use Program / Cyclic Storage Program with OCWD .............................. 6-21 6.3.8 Overdraft Conditions ............................................................................................................ 6-21 6.3.9 Planned Future Sources ...................................................................................................... 6-22 Surface Water ............................................................................................................................ 6-22 6.4.1 Existing Sources................................................................................................................... 6-22 6.4.2 Planned Future Sources ...................................................................................................... 6-22 Stormwater ................................................................................................................................ 6-23 6.5.1 Existing Sources................................................................................................................... 6-23 6.5.2 Planned Future Sources ...................................................................................................... 6-23 Wastewater and Recycled Water .............................................................................................. 6-23 6.6.1 Agency Coordination ............................................................................................................ 6-23 6.6.1.1 OCWD Green Acres Project ........................................................................................ 6-23 6.6.1.2 OCWD Groundwater Replenishment System .............................................................. 6-24 6.6.2 Wastewater Description and Disposal ................................................................................. 6-24 6.6.3 Current Recycled Water Uses .............................................................................................. 6-26 6.6.4 Projected Recycled Water Uses .......................................................................................... 6-26 6.6.5 Potential Recycled Water Uses ............................................................................................ 6-28 6.6.6 Optimization Plan ................................................................................................................. 6-28 Desalination Opportunities ........................................................................................................ 6-29 6.7.1 Ocean Water Desalination ................................................................................................... 6-30 6.7.2 Groundwater Desalination .................................................................................................... 6-31 Water Exchanges and Transfers ............................................................................................... 6-31 6.8.1 Existing Exchanges and Transfers ....................................................................................... 6-31 6.8.2 Planned and Potential Exchanges and Transfers ................................................................ 6-32 Summary of Future Water Projects ........................................................................................... 6-33 6.9.1 City Initiatives ....................................................................................................................... 6-33 6.9.2 Regional Initiatives ............................................................................................................... 6-33 Energy Intensity.................................................................................................................... 6-35 6.10.1 Water Supply Energy Intensity ......................................................................................... 6-35 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com iv 6.10.1.1 Operational Control and Reporting Period ............................................................... 6-38 6.10.1.2 Volume of Water Entering Processes ...................................................................... 6-38 6.10.1.3 Energy Consumption and Generation ...................................................................... 6-38 6.10.2 Wastewater and Recycled Water Energy Intensity .......................................................... 6-38 6.10.2.1 Operational Control and Reporting Period ............................................................... 6-41 6.10.2.2 Volume of Wastewater Entering Processes ............................................................. 6-41 6.10.2.3 Energy Consumption and Generation ...................................................................... 6-41 6.10.3 Key Findings and Next Steps ........................................................................................... 6-41 7 Water Service Reliability and Drought Risk Assessment .................................................................. 7-1 Water Service Reliability Overview .............................................................................................. 7-1 Factors Affecting Reliability ......................................................................................................... 7-3 7.2.1 Climate Change and the Environment ................................................................................... 7-3 7.2.2 Regulatory and Legal ............................................................................................................. 7-4 7.2.3 Water Quality .......................................................................................................................... 7-4 7.2.3.1 Imported Water ............................................................................................................... 7-5 7.2.3.2 Groundwater ................................................................................................................... 7-5 7.2.4 Locally Applicable Criteria ...................................................................................................... 7-8 Water Service Reliability Assessment ......................................................................................... 7-8 7.3.1 Normal Year Reliability ........................................................................................................... 7-8 7.3.2 Single Dry Year Reliability ...................................................................................................... 7-9 DWR Submittal Table 7-3 Retail: Single Dry Year Supply and Demand Comparison ................................... 7-10 7.3.3 Multiple Dry Year Reliability ................................................................................................. 7-10 Management Tools and Options ............................................................................................... 7-12 Drought Risk Assessment ......................................................................................................... 7-13 7.5.1 DRA Methodology ................................................................................................................ 7-13 7.5.2 Total Water Supply and Use Comparison ............................................................................ 7-15 7.5.3 Water Source Reliability ....................................................................................................... 7-17 8 Water Shortage Contingency Planning .............................................................................................. 8-1 Layperson Description ................................................................................................................. 8-1 Overview of the WSCP ................................................................................................................ 8-1 Summary of Water Shortage Response Strategy and Required DWR Tables ........................... 8-2 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com v 9 Demand Management Measures ....................................................................................................... 9-1 Demand Management Measures for Retail Suppliers ................................................................. 9-1 9.1.1 Water Waste Prevention Ordinances ..................................................................................... 9-1 9.1.2 Metering ................................................................................................................................. 9-3 9.1.3 Conservation Pricing .............................................................................................................. 9-3 9.1.4 Public Education and Outreach .............................................................................................. 9-4 9.1.5 Programs to Assess and Manage Distribution System Real Loss ....................................... 9-10 9.1.6 Water Conservation Program Coordination and Staffing Support ....................................... 9-11 9.1.7 Other Demand Management Measures (DMMs) ................................................................. 9-11 9.1.7.1 Residential Program ..................................................................................................... 9-11 9.1.7.2 Commercial, Industrial and Institutional (CII) Programs .............................................. 9-12 9.1.7.3 Landscape Programs ................................................................................................... 9-12 Implementation over the Past Five Years.................................................................................. 9-14 Water Use Objectives (Future Requirements) .......................................................................... 9-15 10 Plan Adoption, Submittal, and Implementation ................................................................................ 10-1 Overview .............................................................................................................................. 10-1 Agency Coordination ............................................................................................................ 10-2 Public Participation ............................................................................................................... 10-3 UWMP Submittal .................................................................................................................. 10-3 Amending the Adopted UWMP or WSCP ............................................................................ 10-3 11 References ....................................................................................................................................... 11-1 TABLES Table 2-1: Plan Identification...................................................................................................................... 2-1 Table 2-2: Supplier Identification ............................................................................................................... 2-2 Table 2-3 Retail: Water Supplier Information Exchange ............................................................................ 2-4 Table 3-1: Retail Only: Public Water Systems ........................................................................................... 3-6 Table 3-2: Retail: Population - Current and Projected ............................................................................... 3-7 Table 3-3: City of Santa Ana Service Area Dwelling Units by Type .......................................................... 3-8 Table 3-4: Buildout Potential of the City ................................................................................................... 3-12 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com vi Table 4-1 Retail: Demands for Potable and Non-Potable Water – Actual ................................................. 4-2 Table 4-2: Water Use Projections for 2021 to 2025 ................................................................................... 4-6 Table 4-3: Retail: Use for Potable and Non-Potable Water – Projected .................................................... 4-7 Table 4-4 Retail: Total Water Use (Potable and Non-Potable) .................................................................. 4-8 Table 4-5 Retail Only: Inclusion in Water Use Projections ....................................................................... 4-8 Table 4-6: SCAG 6th Cycle Household Allocation Based on Median Household Income ........................ 4-9 Table 4-7: Projected Water Use Needed for Low Income Households (AF) ........................................... 4-10 Table 4-8: Retail: Last Five Years of Water Loss Audit Reporting .......................................................... 4-11 Table 5-1: Baselines and Targets Summary ............................................................................................ 5-16 Table 5-2: 2020 Compliance .................................................................................................................... 5-17 Table 6-1: Retail: Water Supplies – Actual ................................................................................................ 6-2 Table 6-2: Retail: Water Supplies – Projected ........................................................................................... 6-3 Table 6-3: MET SWP Program Capabilities ............................................................................................... 6-9 Table 6-4: Retail: Groundwater Volume Pumped .................................................................................... 6-14 Table 6-5: Management Actions Based on Changes in Groundwater Storage ....................................... 6-18 Table 6-6: Retail: Wastewater Collected Within Service Area in 2020 ................................................... 6-25 Table 6-7: Retail: Recycled Water Direct Beneficial Uses Within Service Area ...................................... 6-27 Table 6-8: Retail: 2015 UWMP Recycled Water Use Projection Compared to 2020 Actual ................... 6-28 Table 6-9: Recommended Energy Intensity – Multiple Water Delivery Products .................................... 6-36 Table 6-10: Recommended Energy Intensity – Wastewater & Recycled Water ..................................... 6-39 Table 7-1 Retail: Basis of Water Year Data (Reliability Assessment) ....................................................... 7-2 Table 7-2: Retail: Normal Year Supply and Demand Comparison ............................................................ 7-9 Table 7-3: Retail: Single Dry Year Supply and Demand Comparison ..................................................... 7-10 Table 7-4: Retail: Multiple Dry Years Supply and Demand Comparison ................................................. 7-11 Table 7-5: Five-Year Drought Risk Assessment Tables to Address Water Code Section 10635(b) ....... 7-15 Table 8-1: Water Shortage Contingency Plan Levels ................................................................................ 8-4 Table 9-1: Water Rates Effective January 1, 2020 .................................................................................... 9-3 Table 9-2: Water Tier Allocations Effective January 1, 2020 ..................................................................... 9-4 Table 9-3: City of Santa Ana Water Conservation Efficiency Program Participation .............................. 9-14 Table 9-4: MET Programs to Assist in Meeting WUO ............................................................................. 9-16 Table 9-5: CII BMP Implementation Programs Offered ........................................................................... 9-18 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com vii Table 10-1: External Coordination and Outreach .................................................................................... 10-1 Table 10-2: Retail: Notification to Cities and Counties ............................................................................ 10-2 FIGURES Figure 3-1: Regional Location of City of Santa Ana ................................................................................... 3-2 Figure 3-2: City of Santa Ana Water Service Area .................................................................................... 3-4 Figure 3-3: Water System Facilities ........................................................................................................... 3-5 Figure 3-4: Special Planning Areas of the City of Santa Ana .................................................................. 3-11 Figure 4-1: Water Use Projection Methodology Diagram .......................................................................... 4-4 Figure 4-2: Water Loss Audit for FY 2015/16 to FY 2019/20 ................................................................... 4-11 Figure 4-3: Water Loss Performance Indicators for FY 2015/16 to FY 2019/20 ..................................... 4-12 Figure 6-1: City’s Projected Water Supply Sources (AF) ........................................................................... 6-4 Figure 6-2: Map of the OC Basin ............................................................................................................. 6-16 Figure 8-1: UWMP Overview ..................................................................................................................... 8-2 Figure 9-1: Youth Outreach Flyer .............................................................................................................. 9-5 Figure 9-2: Outreach and Education Material ............................................................................................ 9-5 Figure 9-3: Outreach Event Photo 1 .......................................................................................................... 9-6 Figure 9-4: Outreach Event Photo 2 .......................................................................................................... 9-6 Figure 9-5: Outreach Event Photo 3 .......................................................................................................... 9-7 Figure 9-6: Outreach Event Photo 4 .......................................................................................................... 9-7 Figure 9-7: Landscape Transformation Program Outreach Flyer, Page 1 ................................................ 9-8 Figure 9-8: Landscape Transformation Program Outreach Flyer, Page 2 ................................................ 9-8 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com viii APPENDICES Appendix A. UWMP Water Code Checklist Appendix B. DWR Standardized Tables Appendix C. Reduced Delta Reliance Appendix D. SBx7-7 Verification and Compliance Forms Appendix E. 2021 OC Water Demand Forecast for MWDOC and OCWD Technical Memorandum Appendix F. AWWA Water Loss Audits Appendix G. 2017 Basin 8-1 Alternative Appendix H. Water Shortage Contingency Plan Appendix I. Water Use Efficiency Implementation Report Appendix J. Demand Management Measures Appendix K. Notice of Public Hearing Appendix L. Adopted UWMP and WSCP Resolutions Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com ix ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS % Percent 20x2020 20% water use reduction in GPCD by year 2020 ADU Accessory Dwelling Unit Act Urban Water Management Planning Act of 1983 AF Acre-Feet AFY Acre-Feet per Year AWWA American Water Works Association BEA Basin Equity Assessment Biops Biological Opinions BPP Basin Production Percentage CCC California Coastal Commission CDR Center for Demographic Research at California State Fullerton CEC Constituents of Emerging Concern CEE Consortium for Energy Efficiency CII Commercial/Industrial/Institutional CIP Capital Improvement Program City City of Westminster CPTP Coastal Pumping Transfer Program CRA Colorado River Aqueduct CTE Career Technical Education CUP Conjunctive Use Program CVP Central Valley Project DAC Disadvantaged Communities DCP Delta Conveyance Project DDW California State Division of Drinking Water Delta Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta DRA Drought Risk Assessment DMM Demand Management Measure DOF Department of Finance DVL Diamond Valley Lake DWR Department of Water Resources FIRO Forecast Informed Reservoir Operations FY Fiscal Year GAP Green Acres Project GHG Greenhouse Gas GPCD Gallons per Capita per Day gpf Gallons per Flush GSA Groundwater Sustainability Agency Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com x GSP Groundwater Sustainability Plan GWRS Groundwater Replenishment System GWRSFE Groundwater Replenishment System Final Expansion H2O2 Hydrogen Peroxide HECW High Efficiency Clothes Washer HEN High Efficiency Nozzle HET High Efficiency Toilet HOA Home Owners Association IPR Indirect Potable Reuse IRP Integrated Water Resources Plan JADU Junior Accessory Dwelling Unit kWh Kilowatt-Hour LRP Local Resources Program LTFP Long-Term Facilities Plan MAF Million Acre-Feet MCL Maximum Contaminant Level MET Metropolitan Water District of Southern California MF Microfiltration MG Million Gallon MGD Million Gallons per Day MHI Median Household Income MNWD Moulton Niguel Water District MTBE Methyl Tertiary Butyl Ether MWDOC Municipal Water District of Orange County MWELO Model Water Use Efficiency Landscape Ordinance NDMA N-nitrosodimethylamine NPDES National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System NRW Non-Revenue Water OC Orange County OC Basin Orange County Groundwater Basin OC San Orange County Sanitation District OCWD Orange County Water District ORP On-Site Retrofit Program PFAS Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances PFOA perfluorooctanoic acid PFOS perfluorooctane sulfanate Poseidon Poseidon Resources LLC PPCP Pharmaceuticals and Personal Care Product PPT Parts Per Trillion PSA Public Service Announcement Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com xi QWEL Qualified Water Efficient Landscaper RA Replenishment Assessment RHNA Regional Housing Needs Assessment RO Reverse Osmosis RUWMP Regional Urban Water Management Plan SBx7-7 Senate Bill 7 as part of the Seventh Extraordinary Session SCAB South Coast Air Basin SCAG Southern California Association of Governments SCWD South Coast Water District SMWD Santa Margarita Water District SDP Seawater Desalination Program sf Square Feet STEAM Science Technology Engineering Arts and Mathematics SWP State Water Project SWRCB California State Water Resources Control Board TAF Thousand Acre-Feet TDS Total Dissolved Solids USBR United States Bureau of Reclamation UV Ultraviolet UWMP Urban Water Management Plan UWMP Act Urban Water Management Planning Act of 1983 VOC Volatile Organic Compound Water Code California Water Code WBIC Weather-Based Irrigation Controller WF-21 Water Factory 21 WSAP Water Supply Allocation Plan WSCP Water Shortage Contingency Plan WSIP Water Savings Inventory Program WUO Water Use Objective Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com ES-1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY INTRODUCTION AND UWMP OVERVIEW The City of Santa Ana prepared this 2020 Urban Water Management Plan (UWMP) to submit to the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) to satisfy the UWMP Act of 1983 (UWMP Act or Act) and subsequent California Water Code (Water Code) requirements. The City is a retail water supplier that provides water to its residents and other customers using the imported potable water supply obtained from its regional wholesaler, Metropolitan Water District of Southern California (MET), local groundwater from the Orange County Groundwater Basin (OC Basin), and recycled water from the Orange County Water District (OCWD). UWMPs are comprehensive documents that present an evaluation of a water supplier’s reliability over a long-term (20-25 year) horizon. This 2020 UWMP provides an assessment of the present and future water supply sources and demands within the City’s service area. It presents an update to the 2015 UWMP on the City’s water resource needs, water use efficiency programs, water reliability assessment and strategies to mitigate water shortage conditions. It also presents a new 2020 Water Shortage Contingency Plan (WSCP) designed to prepare for and respond to water shortages. This 2020 UWMP contains all elements to meet compliance of the new requirements of the Act as amended since 2015. UWMP PREPARATION The City coordinated the preparation of this 2020 UWMP with other key entities, including MET (regional wholesaler for Southern California and the direct supplier of imported water to the City, Municipal Water District of Orange County ([MWDOC] (regional wholesale supplier for OC)), and OCWD (OC Basin manager and provider of recycled water in north OC). While the City is not a member agency of MWDOC, the City developed this UWMP in conjunction with other MWDOC-led efforts such as population projection from the Center for Demographic Research at California State University Fullerton (CDR). SYSTEM DESCRIPTION Governed by a non-partisan seven-member City Council, the City is one of the oldest cities in Orange County, incorporated in 1886 and became an original member agency of the MET on February 27, 1931. The City’s water service area covers 27.5 square miles and includes the City of Santa Ana and a small neighborhood in the City of Orange, near Tustin Avenue and Fairhaven by the northeast corner of Santa Ana. The City operates ten reservoirs with a storage capacity of 49 million gallons (MG), seven pumping stations, 21 groundwater wells, four pressure regulating stations and seven import water connections and manages 510-mile water mains system with 45,037 service connections. Situated in the South Coast Air Basin (SCAB), the City’s climate is characterized by Southern California’s “Mediterranean” climate with mild winters, warm summers and moderate rainfall. Regarding land use, the City is predominantly single and multi-family residential community. Moving forward, the City will continue planning for its Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA) allocation and future planned developments beyond 2020 will primarily be multiuse projects, in the ‘focus areas’ identified in the City’s General Plan. The current population of 335,086 is projected to increase by 2.9% over the next 25 years. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com ES-2 WATER USE CHARACTERIZATION Water use within the City’s service area has been relatively stable in the past decade with an annual average of 36,245 AF. Potable and non-potable water use accounts for an average of 99% and 1% of total City water use, respectively. In fiscal year (FY) 2019/20, the City’s water use was 33,240 AF of potable water (groundwater and imported) and 249 AF of direct recycled water for landscape irrigation. In FY 2019-20, the City’s potable water use profile comprised of 65.5% residential use, 24.5% commercial, industrial, and institutional (CII), and 4.0% large landscape/irrigation. Non-revenue water and other uses account for 5.9% of City’s water demand. Water Use Projections: 5-year and 25-year The City’s service area is almost completely built-out and is projected to add minimum land use and small population increase. Water demand is likely to increase by 1.2% over the next 5 years. In the longer term, water demand is projected to be stable from 2025 through 2045 (a slight decrease of 0.2% over the 20-year period). The projected potable and non-potable water use for 2045 is 33,578 AF and 249 AF, respectively. This demand projection considers such factors as current and future demographics, future water use efficiency measures, and long-term weather variability. CONSERVATION TARGET COMPLIANCE Retail water suppliers are required to comply with the requirements of Water Conservation Act of 2009, also known as SBx7-7 (Senate Bill 7 as part of the Seventh Extraordinary Session), which was signed into law in 2010 and requires the State of California to reduce urban water use by 20% by 2020 from a 2013 baseline. The retail water suppliers can comply individually or as a region in collaboration with other retail water suppliers, in order to be eligible for water related state grants and loans. The City is part of the Orange County 20x2020 Regional Alliance created in collaboration with MWDOC, its retail member agencies as well as the Cities of Anaheim and Fullerton. The Alliance was created to assist OC retail agencies in complying with SBx7-7. The City met its 2020 water use target and is in compliance with SBx7-7; the actual 2020 consumption was 66 gallons per capita per day (GPCD), which is below its 2020 target of 116 GPCD. WATER SUPPLY CHARACTERIZATION The City meets all of its demands with a combination of local groundwater, imported water, and recycled water. The City works together with two primary agencies, MET and OCWD, to ensure a safe and reliable water supply that will continue to serve the community in periods of drought and shortage. The sources of imported water supplies include water from the Colorado River and the State Water Project (SWP) provided by MET. The City’s main source of water supply is groundwater from the OC Basin. Imported water and recycled water supplement the City’s water supply portfolio. In FY 2019-20, the City’s water supplies consisted of 76% groundwater, 23% imported water, and 1% recycled water. It is projected that by 2045, the City’s water supply portfolio will shift to 84% groundwater, 15% imported water, and 1% recycled water. Note that these representations of supply match the projected demand. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com ES-3 The City also has a ten-year purchase agreement with MET that allows the City to purchase significantly more imported water, should the need arise. The City does not own or operate wastewater treatment facilities but owns and operates the wastewater collection system in its service area that sends all wastewater to OC San for treatment and disposal. The City benefits from its direct and indirect uses of recycled water. OCWD’s Green Acres Project (GAP) produces recycled water for direct non-potable reuses such as landscape irrigation. OCWD’s Groundwater Replenishment System (GWRS) produces recycled water for indirect potable reuse (IPR) through the replenishment of the OC Basin. WATER SERVICE RELIABILITY AND DROUGHT RISK ASSESSMENT Every urban water supplier is required to assess the reliability of their water service to its customers under a normal year, a single dry year, and a drought period lasting five consecutive years. The water service reliability assessment compares projected supply to projected demand for the three hydrological conditions between 2025 and 2045. Factors affecting reliability, such as climate change and regulatory impacts, are accounted for as part of the assessment. The City depends on a combination of imported and local supplies to meet its water demands and has taken numerous steps to ensure it has adequate supplies. MET’s 2020 UWMP concludes that they can meet full-service demands of their member agencies through 2045 during normal years, single-dry years, and multiple-dry years. Consequently, the City is projected to meet full-service demands through 2045 for all scenarios, due to diversified supply and conservation measures. The Drought Risk Assessment (DRA) evaluates the City’s near-term ability to supply water assuming the City is experiencing a drought over the next five years. Even under the assumption of a drought over the next five years, MET’s 2020 UWMP concludes a surplus of water supplies would be available to all of its Member Agencies, including the City, should the need for additional supplies arise to close any local supply gap. Additionally, the City partakes in various efforts to reduce its reliance on imported water supplies such as increasing the use of local groundwater and recycled water supplies. WATER SHORTAGE CONTINGENCY PLANNING Water shortage contingency planning (WSCP) is a strategic planning process that the City engages in to prepare for and respond to water shortages. A water shortage, when water supply available is insufficient to meet the normally expected customer water use at a given point in time, may occur due to a number of reasons, such as water supply quality changes, climate change, drought, and catastrophic events (e.g., earthquake). The City’s WSCP provides real-time water supply availability assessment and structured steps designed to respond to actual conditions. This level of detailed planning and preparation will help maintain reliable supplies and reduce the impacts of supply interruptions. The WSCP serves as the operating manual that the City will use to prevent catastrophic service disruptions through proactive, rather than reactive, mitigation of water shortages. The WSCP contains the processes and procedures that will be deployed when shortage conditions arise so that the City’s governing body, its staff, and its retail agencies can easily identify and efficiently implement pre-determined steps to mitigate a water shortage to the level appropriate to the degree of water shortfall anticipated. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com ES-4 DEMAND MANAGEMENT MEASURES The City, along with other retail water agencies in Orange County, recognizes the need to use existing water supplies efficiently. This ethic of efficient use of water has evolved as a result of the development and implementation of water use efficiency programs that make good economic sense and reflect responsible stewardship of the region’s water resources. The City participate in regional water savings programs and works closely with MET and MWDOC to promote regional efficiency. PLAN ADOPTION, SUBMITTAL, AND IMPLEMENTATION The Water Code requires the UWMP to be adopted by the Supplier’s governing body. Before the adoption of the UWMP, the City notified the public and the cities and counties within its service area per the Water Code and held a public hearing to receive input from the public on the UWMP. Post adoption, the City submitted the UWMP to DWR and other key agencies and made the document available for public review no later than 30 days after filing with DWR. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 1-1 1 INTRODUCTION AND UWMP OVERVIEW The City of Santa Ana (City) prepared this 2020 Urban Water Management Plan (UWMP or Plan) to submit to the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) to satisfy the UWMP Act of 1983 (Act or UWMP Act) and subsequent California Water Code (Water Code) requirements. The City is a retail water supplier that provides water to its residents and other customers using the imported potable water supply obtained from its regional wholesaler, Metropolitan Water District of Southern California (MET), local groundwater from the Orange County Groundwater Basin (OC Basin), and recycled water from the Orange County Water District (OCWD). The City, as one of MET’s 26 member agencies, prepared this 2020 UWMP in collaboration with MET, Municipal Water District of Orange County (MWDOC), OCWD, and other key agencies. UWMPs are comprehensive documents that present an evaluation of a water supplier’s reliability over a long-term (20-25 year) horizon. In response to the changing climatic conditions and regulatory updates since the 2015 UWMP, the City has been proactively managing its water supply and demand. The water loss audit program, water conservation measures and efforts for increased self-reliance in order to reduce dependency on imported water from the Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta (Delta) are some of the water management efforts that the City is a part of to maintain the reliability of water supply for its service area. This 2020 UWMP provides an assessment of the present and future water supply sources and demands within the City’s service area. It presents an update to the 2015 UWMP on City’s water resource needs, water use efficiency programs, water reliability assessment and strategies to mitigate water shortage conditions. It presents a new 2020 Water Shortage Contingency Plan (WSCP) designed to prepare for and respond to water shortages. This 2020 UWMP contains all elements to meet compliance of the new requirements of the Act as amended since 2015. Overview of Urban Water Management Plan Requirements The UWMP Act enacted by California legislature requires every urban water supplier (Supplier) providing water for municipal purposes to more than 3,000 customers or supplying more than 3,000 acre-feet (AF) of water annually to prepare, adopt, and file an UWMP with the California DWR every five years in the years ending in zero and five. For this 2020 UWMP cycle, DWR placed emphasis on achieving improvements for long term reliability and resilience to drought and climate change in California. Legislation related to water supply planning in California has evolved to address these issues, namely Making Conservation a Way of Life [Assembly Bill (AB) 1668 and Senate Bill (SB) 606] and Water Loss Performance Standard SB555. New UWMP requirements in 2020 are a direct result of these new water regulations. Two complementary components were added to the 2020 UWMP. First is the WSCP to assess the Supplier’s near term 5-year drought risk assessment (DRA) and provide a structured guide for the Supplier to deal with water shortages. Second is the Annual Water Supply Demand Assessment (WSDA) to assess the current year plus one dry year i.e., short-term demand/supply outlook. Analyses over near- and long-term horizons together will provide a more complete picture of Supplier’s reliability and will serve to inform appropriate actions it needs to take to build up capacity over the long term. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 1-2 The various key new additions in the 2020 UWMP included as a result of the most recent water regulations are: Water Shortage Contingency Plan (WSCP) – WSCP helps a Supplier to better prepare for drought conditions and provides the steps and water use efficiency measures to be taken in times of water shortage conditions. WSCP now has more prescriptive elements, including an analysis of water supply reliability; the water use efficiency measures for each of the six standard water shortage levels, that correspond to water shortage percentages ranging from 0 - 10% to greater than 50%; an estimate of potential to close supply gap for each measure; protocols and procedures to communicate identified actions for any current or predicted water shortage conditions; procedures for an annual water supply and demand assessment; monitoring and reporting requirements to determine customer compliance; reevaluation and improvement procedures for evaluating the WSCP. Drought Risk Assessment – The Suppliers are now required to compare their total water use and supply projections and conduct a reliability assessment of all their sources for a consecutive five-year drought period beginning 2021. Five Consecutive Dry-Year Water Reliability Assessment - The three-year multiple dry year reliability assessment in previous UWMPs has now been extended from three to five consecutive dry years to include a more comprehensive assessment of the reliability of the water sources to improve preparedness of Suppliers for extended drought conditions. Seismic Risk – The UWMP now includes a seismic risk assessment of the water supply infrastructure and a plan to mitigate any seismic risks on the water supply assets. Groundwater Supplies Coordination – The UWMP should be in accordance with the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act of 2014 and consistent with the Groundwater Sustainability Plans, wherever applicable. Lay Description – To provide a better understanding of the UWMP to the general public, a lay description of the UWMP is included, especially summarizing the Supplier’s detailed water service reliability assessment and the planned management steps and actions to mitigate any possible shortage scenarios. UWMP Organization This UWMP is organized into 10 main sections aligned with the DWR Guidebook recommendations. The subsections are customized to tell the City’s story of water supply reliability and ways to overcome any water shortages over a planning horizon of the next 25 years. Section 1 Introduction and UWMP Overview gives an overview of the UWMP fundamentals and briefly describes the new additional requirements passed by the Legislature for 2020 UWMP. Section 2 UWMP Preparation identifies this UWMP as an individual planning effort of the City, lists the type of year and units of measure used and introduces the coordination and outreach activities conducted by the City to develop this UWMP. Section 3 System Description gives a background on the City’s water system and its climate characteristics, population projection, demographics, socioeconomics, and predominant current and projected land uses of its service area. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 1-3 Section 4 Water Use Characterization provides historical, current, and projected water use by customer category for the next 25 years within the City’s service area and the projection methodology used by MWDOC to develop the 25-year projections. Section 5 Conservation Target Compliance reports the SB X7-7 water use conservation target compliance of the City (individually and as a member of the OC 20x2020 Regional Alliance). Section 6 Water Supply Characterization describes the current water supply portfolio of the City as well as the planned and potential water supply projects and water exchange and transfer opportunities. Section 7 Water Service Reliability and Drought Risk Assessment assesses the reliability of the City’s water supply service to its customers for a normal year, single dry year, and five consecutive dry years scenarios. This section also includes a DRA of all the supply sources for a consecutive five-year drought period beginning 2021. Section 8 Water Shortage Contingency Planning is a brief summary of the standalone WSCP document (Appendix H) which provides a structured guide for the City to deal with water shortages, incorporating prescriptive information and standardized action levels, lists the appropriate actions and water use efficiency measures to be taken to ensure water supply reliability in times of water shortage conditions, along with implementation actions in the event of a catastrophic supply interruption. Section 9 Demand Management Measures provides a comprehensive description of the water conservation programs that the City has implemented, is currently implementing, and plans to implement in order to meet its urban water use reduction targets. Section 10 Plan Adoption, Submittal, and Implementation provides a record of the process the City followed to adopt and implement its UWMP. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 2-1 2 UWMP PREPARATION The City’s 2020 UWMP is an individual UWMP for the City to meet the Water Code compliance as a retail water supplier. While the City opted to prepare its own UWMP and meet Water Code compliance individually, the development of this UWMP involved close coordination with its whole supplier, MET and the regional whole supplier for Orange County (OC), MWDOC along with other key entities within the region. Individual Planning and Compliance The City opted to prepare its own UWMP (Table 2-1) and comply with the Water Code individually, while closely coordinating with MET, MWDOC and various key entities as discussed in Section 2.2 to ensure regional integration. The UWMP Checklist was completed to confirm the compliance of this UWMP with the Water Code (Appendix A). One consistency with MWDOC and the majority of its retail member agencies that are part of the OC 20x2020 Regional Alliance is that the City selected to report demands and supplies using fiscal year (FY) basis (Table 2-2). Table 2-1: Plan Identification DWR Submittal Table 2-2: Plan Identification Select Only One Type of Plan Name of RUWMP or Regional Alliance if applicable Individual UWMP Water Supplier is also a member of a RUWMP Water Supplier is also a member of a Regional Alliance Orange County 20x2020 Regional Alliance Regional Urban Water Management Plan (RUWMP) NOTES: Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 2-2 Table 2-2: Supplier Identification DWR Submittal Table 2-3: Supplier Identification Type of Supplier (select one or both) Supplier is a wholesaler Supplier is a retailer Fiscal or Calendar Year (select one) UWMP Tables are in calendar years UWMP Tables are in fiscal years If using fiscal years provide month and date that the fiscal year begins (mm/dd) 7/1 Units of measure used in UWMP (select from drop down) Unit AF NOTES: The energy intensity data is reported in calendar year consistent with the Greenhouse Gas Protocol. Coordination and Outreach 2.2.1 Integration with Other Planning Efforts The City, as a retail water supplier, coordinated this UWMP preparation effort with other key entities, including MET (regional wholesaler for Southern California and the direct supplier of imported water to the City and MWDOC), MWDOC (regional wholesale supplier for OC), and OCWD (OC Basin manager and provider of recycled water in north OC). While the City is not a member agency of MWDOC, the City developed this Plan in conjunction with other MWDOC-led efforts such as population projection from the Center for Demographic Research at California State University Fullerton (CDR). Some of the key planning and reporting documents that were used to develop this UWMP are: MET’s 2020 UWMP was developed as a part of the 2020 IRP planning process and provides the basis for the projections of the imported supply availability over the next 25 years for the City’s service area. MET’s 2020 WSCP provides a water supply assessment and guide for MET’s intended actions during water shortage conditions. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 2-3 2021 OC Water Demand Forecast for MWDOC and OCWD Technical Memorandum (Demand Forecast TM) provides the basis for water demand projections for the City, MWDOC’s member agencies as well as Anaheim and Fullerton. MET’s 2020 Integrated Water Resources Plan (IRP) is a long-term planning document to ensure water supply availability in Southern California and provides a basis for water supply reliability in Orange County. OCWD’s Groundwater Reliability Plan (to be finalized after July 2021) provides the latest information on groundwater management and supply projection for the OC Basin, the primary source of groundwater for 19 retail water suppliers in OC. OCWD’s 2019-20 Engineer’s Report provides information on the groundwater conditions and basin utilization of the OC Basin. OCWD’s 2017 Basin 8-1 Alternative is an alternative to the Groundwater Sustainability Plan (GSP) for the OC Basin and provides significant information related to sustainable management of the basin in the past and hydrogeology of the basin, including groundwater quality and basin characteristics. Local Hazard Mitigation Plan provides the basis for the seismic risk analysis of the water system facilities. Water Master Plan of the City provides information on water infrastructure planning projects and plans to address any required water system improvements. Statewide Water Planning In addition to regional coordination with various agencies described above, the City as a MET member agency is currently a part of MET’s statewide planning effort to reduce reliance on the water imported from the Delta. It is the policy of the State of California to reduce reliance on the Delta in meeting California’s future water supply needs through a statewide strategy of investing in improved regional supplies, conservation, and water use efficiency. This policy is codified through the Delta Stewardship Council’s Delta Plan Policy WR P1 and is measured through Supplier reporting in each Urban Water Management Planning cycle. WR P1 is relevant to water suppliers that plan to participate in multi-year water transfers, conveyance facilities, or new diversions in the Delta. Through significant local and regional investment in water use efficiency, water recycling, advanced water technologies, local and regional water supply projects, and improved regional coordination of local and regional water supply efforts, the City has demonstrated a reduction in Delta reliance and a subsequent improvement in regional self-reliance. For a detailed description and documentation of the City’s consistency with Delta Plan Policy WR P1 see Section 7.4 and Appendix C. 2.2.2 Wholesale and Retail Coordination The City developed its UWMP in conjunction with the MET’s 2020 UWMP. As part of the 2020 UWMP coordination process, the City provided its water demand projections over the next 25 years to MET (Table 2-3). The projections of the City’s water demand over the next 25 years were facilitated by MWDOC, the wholesale member of the OC 20x2020 Regional Alliance, by using the historical water use and initial water use projections provided to MWDOC by the City. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 2-4 Table 2-3 Retail: Water Supplier Information Exchange DWR Submittal Table 2-4 Retail: Water Supplier Information Exchange The retail Supplier has informed the following wholesale supplier(s) of projected water use in accordance with Water Code Section 10631. Wholesale Water Supplier Name MET NOTES: 2.2.3 Public Participation For further coordination with other key agencies and to encourage public participation in the review and update of this Plan, the City held a public hearing and notified key entities and the public per the Water Code requirements. Sections 10.2 and 10.3 describe these efforts in detail. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-1 3 SYSTEM DESCRIPTION Governed by a non-partisan seven-member City Council, the City is one of the oldest cities in Orange County, incorporated in 1886 and became an original member agency of the MET on February 27, 1931. The City’s water service area covers 27.5 square miles and includes the City of Santa Ana and a small neighborhood in the City of Orange, near Tustin Avenue and Fairhaven by the northeast corner of Santa Ana. The City operates ten reservoirs with a storage capacity of 49 million gallons (MG), seven pumping stations, 21 groundwater wells, four pressure regulating stations and seven import water connections and manages 510.1-mile water mains system with 45,037 service connections. Lying in the South Coast Air Basin (SCAB), its climate is characterized by Southern California’s “Mediterranean” climate with mild winters, warm summers and moderate rainfall. In terms of land use, the City is a predominantly single and multi-family residential community. Moving forward, the City will continue planning for its Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA) allocation and future planned developments beyond 2020 will primarily be multiuse projects, in the ‘focus areas’ listed in the General Plan of the City. The current population of 335,086 is projected to increase by only 2.9% over the next 25 years. Agency Overview This section provides information on the formation and history of the City, its organizational structure, roles, objectives and relationship to MET. 3.1.1 Formation and Purpose The City is one of the oldest cities in Orange County incorporated in 1886. The City was, for many years, a ranching community with some farming. To serve this growing agricultural and domestic community, a municipal water system was formed in 1886. The original source of water supply for the City was from shallow irrigation wells. As the City continued to grow and change from agriculture to an urban community, the need for additional sources of water was recognized if economic development were to continue. To tap into water sources from outside the area, the City joined with 12 other Southern California cities to form and be an original member agency of the MET on February 27, 1931. MET, as a regional wholesaler, supplies imported water to Southern California from the Colorado River and from the State Water Project from Northern California. MET’s primary purpose is to develop, store and distribute water at wholesale rates to its member public agencies for domestic and municipal uses. The City’s location is shown on Figure 3-1. In 1933, the OCWD was formed by a special act of the State Legislature to manage Orange County’s groundwater supply and protection of the County’s rights to water in the Santa Ana River. In 1953, the City became a member of OCWD. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-2 Figure 3-1: Regional Location of City of Santa Ana Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-3 3.1.2 City Council The City is governed by a non-partisan seven-member City Council, elected to serve staggered four-year terms, except for the Mayor, who serves a two-year term. The City Council appoints the City Manager and various members of commissions, committees, and citizen advisory groups, all of which may weigh in on water management issues and decisions for the City. The current Council members are:  Vicente Sarmiento, Mayor  Thai Viet Phan (Ward 1)  David Penaloza, Mayor Pro Tem (Ward 2)  Jessie Lopez (Ward 3)  Phil Bacerra (Ward 4)  Johnathan Ryan Hernandez (Ward 5)  Nelida Mendoza (Ward 6) Water Service Area and Facilities 3.2.1 Water Service Area The City is in the heart of Orange County and is the eleventh largest City in California. The City’s Water Utility provides water service within a 27.5 square mile service area. The service area includes the City of Santa Ana and a small neighborhood in the City of Orange, near Tustin Avenue and Fairhaven by the northeast corner of Santa Ana. A map of the City's water service area is shown as Figure 3-2. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-4 Figure 3-2: City of Santa Ana Water Service Area 3.2.2 Water Facilities The City maintains 510.1 miles of water mains, ten reservoirs with a storage capacity of 49 MG, seven pumping stations, 21 groundwater wells, four pressure regulating stations and seven import water connections. Figure 3-3 shows the City’s water system facilities. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-5 Figure 3-3: Water System Facilities Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-6 Fourteen of the City Wells pump into surface reservoirs with booster stations pumping the water into the distribution system. The remaining seven wells pump directly into the City’s distribution system. Water pumped from all of the wells has been naturally filtered as it passes through underlying aquifers of sand, gravel, and soil. This well water only requires disinfectant treatment for system distribution. The City maintains seven imported water connections to receive water through MET’s Orange County and East Orange County Feeder pipelines. These seven metered connections with a total capacity of 60,580 gallons per minute (gpm) transfer water into the City’s distribution system. System Pressures – Reducing distribution system pressures will, to a certain degree, conserve water and pumping energy by reducing leaking in water and plumbing systems, as well as reducing waste or water when turning water fixtures on and off. The City continually reviews the pressure zones to determine the feasibility of reducing system pressures by lowering settings on distribution system pressure regulators. The reviews have indicated that potential fire protection requirement deficiencies occur when pressures are reduced. Therefore, the City maintains safe yet efficient system pressures. Peak Demand – Water system demand patterns are a result of climatological, land use, sociological, and institutional factors, all of which affect the amount of water consumed. Reduction in peak demands can reduce the need for construction of new water storage and conveyance facilities and, in certain instances, the development of new water sources. The City’s computerized telemetry system allows water system operators to operate the system more efficiently through the ability to stage and prioritize water production facilities usage to meet these ever-changing demand patterns. The system connections and water volume supplied are summarized in Table 3-1. Table 3-1: Retail Only: Public Water Systems DWR Submittal Table 2-1 Retail Only: Public Water Systems Public Water System Number Public Water System Name Number of Municipal Connections 2020 Volume of Water Supplied 2020 CA3010038 City of Santa Ana 45,037 33,489 TOTAL 45,037 33,489 NOTES: Climate The City is located within the SCAB that encompasses all of OC, and the urban areas of Los Angeles, San Bernardino, and Riverside counties. The SCAB climate is characterized by Southern California’s “Mediterranean” climate: a semi-arid environment with mild winters, warm summers, and moderate rainfall. Local rainfall has limited impacts on reducing water demand in the City, except for landscape irrigation demand. Water that infiltrates into the soil may enter groundwater supplies depending on the local geography. However, due to the large extent of impervious cover in Southern California, rainfall runoff Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-7 quickly flows to a system of concrete storm drains and channels that lead directly to the ocean. OCWD is one agency that has successfully captured stormwater along the Santa Ana River and in recharge basins for years and used it as an additional source of supply for groundwater recharge. Based on the 2017 Basin 8-1 Alternative Plan, OCWD captured an average annual stormwater volume of approximately 44,000 AF over the period of ten years, from Water Year 2006-07 to 2015-16; however, this period’s rainfall was 17% below the long term average using San Bernardino precipitation data. Based on a longer period (1989-2015) of rainfall and captured stormwater records, the average year water budget of OCWD assumes a stormwater capture volume of 52,000 AF. Population, Demographics, and Socioeconomics 3.4.1 Population According to CDR, the City’s service area has a 2020 population of 335,086, a decrease from the 2015 population of 338,336. Overall, the population increases with a moderate growth of 2.9% over the 25-year period from 2020 to 2045. The growth is slightly higher in the first 15 years until 2035 and tapered off from there. Table 3-2 shows the population projections in five-year increments out to 2045 within the City’s service area. Table 3-2: Retail: Population - Current and Projected DWR Submittal Table 3-1 Retail: Population - Current and Projected Population Served 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045(opt) 335,086 343,358 347,511 347,952 347,785 345,018 NOTES: Source - Center for Demographic Research at California State University, Fullerton, 2020 3.4.2 Demographics and Socioeconomics As shown in Table 3-3 below, the total number of dwelling units in the City is expected to increase by 4.6% in the next 25 years from 78,650 in 2020 to 82,243 in 2045. Table 3-3 also shows a breakdown of the total dwelling units by type for the 25-year period from 2020 to 2045. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-8 Table 3-3: City of Santa Ana Service Area Dwelling Units by Type City of Santa Ana Service Area Dwelling Units by Type Dwelling Units 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Total 78,650 82,043 82,061 82,225 82,238 82,243 Single Family 34,133 34,329 34,329 34,333 34,337 34,341 All Other* 44,517 47,714 47,732 47,892 47,901 47,902 Source: Center for Demographic Research at California State University, Fullerton, 2020 *Includes duplex, triplex, apartment, condo, townhouse, mobile home, etc. Yachts, houseboats, recreational vehicles, vans, etc. are included if is primary place of residence. Does not include group quartered units, cars, railroad box cars, etc. In addition to the types and proportions of dwelling units, various socio-economic factors such as age distribution, education levels, general health status, income and poverty levels affect City’s water management and planning. Based on U.S. Census Bureau's QuickFacts, the City has about 9% of population of 65 years and over, 26.9% under the age of 18 years and 7.4% under the age of 5 years. 59.6% of the City’s population with an age of more than 25 years has a minimum of high school graduate and 15% of this age group has at least a bachelor’s degree. 3.4.3 CDR Projection Methodology The City obtains its services area population and dwelling unit data from MWDOC via CDR. MWDOC contracts with CDR to update the historic population estimates for 2010 to the current year and provide an annual estimate of population served by the water suppliers in OC. CDR uses GIS and data from the 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Censuses, State Department of Finance (DOF) population estimates, and the CDR annual population estimates. These annual estimates incorporate annual revisions to the DOF annual population estimates, often for every year back to the most recent Decennial Census. As a result, all previous estimates were set aside and replaced with the most current set of annual estimates. Annexations and boundary changes for water suppliers are incorporated into these annual estimates. In the summer of 2020, projections by water supplier for population and dwelling units by type were estimated using the 2018 Orange County Projections dataset. Growth for each of the five-year increments was allocated using GIS and a review of the traffic analysis zones (TAZ) with a 2019 aerial photo. The growth was added to the 2020 estimates by the water supplier. Land Uses 3.5.1 Current Land Uses The City’s service area can best be described as a predominantly single and multi-family residential community located in central Orange County. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-9 Based on the zoning designation collected and aggregated by Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) around 2018, the current land use within the City’s service area can be categorized as follows:  Single family residential – 48%  Multi-family residential – 14.1%  Commercial – 10.8%  Industrial – 7.1%  Institutional/Governmental – 10.3%  Open space and parks – 8.4%  Other – 1.1% (e.g., Undevelopable or Protected Land, Water, and Vacant)  No land use designations – 0.2% 3.5.2 Projected Land Uses Moving forward, the City will continue planning for its RHNA allocation and new developments may potentially include Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs). RHNA - State law requires jurisdictions to provide their share of the RHNA allocation. SCAG determines the housing growth needs by income for local jurisdictions through RHNA. The City’s RHNA allocation for the 2021 - 2029 is 3,095 units. This includes 586 units for very low-income households, 362 units for low-income households, 523 units for moderate-income households, and 1,624 units for above moderate-income households. Accessory Dwelling Units – ADUs are separate small dwellings embedded within residential properties. There has been an increase in the construction of ADUs in California in response to the rise in interest to provide affordable housing supply. The Legislature updated the ADU law effective January 1, 2020 to clarify and improve various provisions to promote the development of ADUs. (AB-881, "Accessory dwelling units," and AB-68, "Land use: accessory dwelling units”) These include:  allowing ADUs and Junior Accessory Dwelling Units (JADUs) to be built concurrently with a single-family dwelling. JADUs max size is 500 square feet (sf).  opening areas where ADUs can be created to include all zoning districts that allow single-family and multi-family uses  maximum size cannot be less than 850 sf for a one-bedroom ADU or 1,000 sf for more than one bedroom (California Department of Housing and Community Development, 2020) About 92% of the ADUs in California are being built in the single family zoned parcels (University of California Berkeley, 2020). The increase in ADUs implies an increase in number of people per dwelling unit which potentially translates to higher water demand. In coordination with the General Plan Advisory Group, the City identified the following five focus areas suitable for new growth and development in the October 2020 Public Hearing Draft General Plan:  South Main Street  Grand Avenue/17th Street  West Santa Ana Boulevard  55 Freeway/Dyer Road Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-10  South Bristol Street These five areas are along major travel corridors, the Orange County Streetcar line, and/or linked to the Downtown. The intent is to expand opportunities for development through a transition to multiuse land use designations near transit corridors. The Industrial Flex designation is being introduced on areas already designated for industrial land uses in order to allow for cleaner industrial and commercial uses, professional office, and creative live-work spaces. Additionally, the City has seven planning areas including specific plans and other special zoning areas, that were adopted before the General Plan and have remaining development capacity:  Adaptive Reuse Overlay (2014)  Bristol Street Corridor Specific Plan (1991/2018)  Harbor Mixed Use Corridor Specific Plan (2014)  MainPlace Specific Plan (2019)  Metro East Overlay Zone (2007/2018)  Midtown Specific Plan (1996)  Transit Zoning Code Specific Devt (2010) Figure 3-4 below shows the above listed five focus areas and the seven planning areas of the City. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-11 Figure 3-4: Special Planning Areas of the City of Santa Ana Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-12 Table 3-4 lists the buildout potential of the City based on the City’s October 2020 Public Hearing Draft General Plan. Table 3-4: Buildout Potential of the City Planning Area Existing1 Buildout Dwelling Units Building (square feet)2 Dwelling Units Building (square feet)2 Specific Plan / Special Zoning 4,685 13,924,891 20,524 16,958,445 Adaptive Reuse Overlay Zone3 260 976,935 1,260 976,935 Bristol Street Corridor Specific Plan 136 140,348 135 143,139 Harbor Corridor Specific Plan 1,324 1,767,937 4,622 1,967,982 MainPlace Specific Plan 0 1,108,080 1,900 2,426,923 Metro East Overlay Zone 844 2,516,056 5,551 4,685,947 Midtown Specific Plan 607 1,885,065 607 1,818,253 Transit Zoning Code 1,514 5,530,470 6,449 4,939,266 Focus Areas 6,380 13,421,155 23,955 15,684,285 South Main Street 1,720 1,685,978 2,308 946,662 Grand Avenue/17th Street 561 1,400,741 2,283 703,894 West Santa Ana Boulevard 2,658 3,090,472 3,920 2,808,805 55 Freeway/Dyer Road 1,221 5,666,453 9,952 6,142,283 South Bristol Street 220 1,577,511 5,492 5,082,641 All Other Areas of the City4 67,727 39,772,550 70,574 40,325,086 Citywide Total 78,792 67,118,596 115,053 72,967,816 Source: City of Santa Ana with assistance from PlaceWorks, 2020. Notes: 1."Existing" represents conditions as of December 2019 as derived from the City of Santa Ana Planning Information Network and projects already under construction per the January 2020 monthly development project report. 2.Only includes nonresidential building square footage. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 3-13 Planning Area Existing1 Buildout Dwelling Units Building (square feet)2 Dwelling Units Building (square feet)2 3.The figures shown on the row for the Adaptive Reuse Overlay represent parcels that are exclusively in the Adaptive Reuse Overlay boundary. Figures for parcels that are within the boundaries of both the Adaptive Reuse Overlay Zone and a specific plan, other special zoning, or focus area boundary are accounted for in the respective specific plan, other special zoning, or focus area. 4.The City has included an assumption for growth on a small portion (5%) of residential parcels through the construction of second units, which is distributed throughout the City and is not concentrated in a subset of neighborhoods. Additional growth includes known projects in the pipeline and an increase of 10% in building square footage and employment for the professional office surrounding the Orange County Global Medical Center and along Broadway north of the Midtown Specific Plan as well as the commercial and retail along 1st Street south of the West Santa Ana Boulevard focus area. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-1 4 WATER USE CHARACTERIZATION Water Use Overview Water use within the City’s service area has been relatively stable in the past decade with an annual average of 36,245 AF. The potable and non-potable water use accounts for an average of 99% and 1% of total City water use, respectively. In FY2019/20, the City’s water use was 33,240 AF of potable water (groundwater and imported) and 249 AF of direct recycled water for landscape irrigation. In FY2019-20, the City’s potable water use profile was comprised of 65.5% residential use, 24.5% commercial, industrial, and institutional (CII), and 4.0% large landscape/irrigation, with non-revenue water and other uses comprising about 5.9%. As described in Section 3, the City’s service area is almost completely built-out and is projected to add minimum land use and small population increase. Water demand is likely to increase ~1.2% over the next 5 years. In the longer term, water demand is projected to decrease ~0.2% from 2025 through 2045. The projected potable and non-potable water use for 2045 is 33,578 AF and 249 AF, respectively. The passive savings are anticipated to continue for the next 25 years and are considered in the water use projections. Permanent water conservation requirements and water conservation strategies are discussed in Section 8 and 9 of this document. Past and Current Water Use Water use within the City’s service area has been relatively stable in the past decade with an annual average of 36,245 AF. A stable trend is expected because the city is essentially built-out and the rate of population growth is expected to average less than 0.12% per year for the next 25 years. Water conservation efforts also kept per capita water use down. As a result of Governor Jerry Brown’s mandatory water conservation order in 2014, the City’s water use in the last five years decreased below the 10-year average. Between FY2015/16 and FY2019/20, water use within the City’s service area ranged from 33,148 to 35,343 acre-feet per year (AFY) (potable and non-potable combined). In the past decade, between FY2010/11 and FY 2019/20, potable and non-potable water use accounts for an average of 99% and 1% of total City water use, respectively. Potable water uses include demands from residential, CII, and large landscape irrigation. Non-potable use includes the use of recycled water for large landscape and golf course irrigation. As of FY2019/20 there are 45,037 active service connections in the City’s water distribution system. Of these, 18 are recycled water accounts. Table 4-1 summarizes the City’s total water demand for potable and non-potable water for FY2019-20. The City has a mix of commercial uses (markets, restaurants, etc.), public entities (schools, fire stations and government offices), industrial uses and office complexes. Single and multi- family residential water demand combined accounts for 65.5% of the total water demand. Commercial use, governmental/institutional, and industrial account for 16.1%, 5.4%, and 3.0% of total demand, respectively. Large landscape (irrigation) accounts for 4.0% of total demand. Other uses and non-revenue water account for 5.9%. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-2 Table 4-1 Retail: Demands for Potable and Non-Potable Water – Actual DWR Submittal Table 4-1 Retail: Demands for Potable and Non-Potable1 Water - Actual Use Type 2020 Actual Additional Description (as needed) Level of Treatment When Delivered Volume2 Single Family Drinking Water 11,916 Multi-Family Drinking Water 9,872 Commercial Drinking Water 5,364 Industrial Drinking Water 987 Institutional/Governmental Drinking Water 1,788 Landscape Represents large landscape (with irrigation meters) served by potable water and not recycled water Drinking Water 1,349 Losses Non-revenue water Drinking Water 1,940 Other Water-only customer outside of City boundary Drinking Water 24 TOTAL 33,240 1 Recycled water demands are NOT reported in this table. Recycled water demands are reported in Table 6-4. 2 Units of measure (AF, CCF, MG) must remain consistent throughout the UWMP as reported in Table 2-3. NOTES: Volumes reported in AF. This table only represents potable water; recycled water projections are shown in Table 4-4 (DWR Submittal Tables 4-3) and Table 6-8 (DWR Submittal Tables 6-4). Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-3 Water Use Projections A key component of this 2020 UWMP is to provide an insight into the City’s future water demand outlook. This section discusses the considerations and methodology used to estimate the 25-year water use projection. Overall, total water demand is projected to increase 1.0% between 2020 and 2045. While both single residential use is projected to decrease, multifamily residential use and usage by CII are projected to increase. Demands for large landscape applications are projected to increase. Non-revenue water is projected to decrease in the same period. 4.3.1 Water Use Projection Methodology In 2021, MWDOC and OCWD, in collaboration with member agencies and MET member agencies, led the effort to update water demand projections originally done as part of the 2021 OC Water Demand Forecast for MWDOC and OCWD. The updated demand projections, prepared by CDM Smith, were for the Orange County region as a whole, and provided retail agency specific demands. The projections span the years of 2025-2050 and are based upon information surveyed from each Orange County water agency. The forecast methodology began with a retail water agency survey that asked for FY 2017-18, FY 2018-19 and FY 2019-20 water use by major sector, including number of accounts. If an agency provided recycled water to customers that information was also requested. Given that FY 2017-18 was a slightly above-normal demand year (warmer/drier than average) and FY 2018-19 was a slightly below-normal demand year (cooler/wetter than average), water use from these two years were averaged to represent an average-year base water demand. For the residential sectors (single-family and multifamily) the base year water demand was divided by households in order to get a total per unit water use (gallons per home per day). In order to split household water use into indoor and outdoor uses, three sources of information were used, along with CDM Smith’s expertise. The sources of information included: (1) the Residential End Uses of Water (Water Research Foundation, 2016); (2) California’s plumbing codes and landscape ordinances; and (3) CA DWR’s Model Water Efficient Landscape Ordinance (MWELO) calculator. Three different periods of residential end uses of water were analyzed as follows: Pre-2010 efficiency levels – Has an average indoor water use that is considered to be moderately efficient, also does not include the most recent requirements for MWELO. High-efficiency levels – Includes the most recent plumbing codes that are considered to be highly efficient, and also includes the most recent requirements for MWELO. Current average efficiency levels – Represents the weighted average between pre-2010 efficiency and high efficiency levels, based on average age of homes for each retail water agency. For outdoor residential water use, the indoor per capita total was multiplied by each agency-specific persons per household in order to get an indoor residential household water use (gallons per day per home), and then was subtracted from the base year total household water use for single-family and multifamily for each agency based on actual water use as reported by the agency surveys. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-4 For existing residential homes, the current average indoor and outdoor water use for each agency were used for the year 2020. It was assumed that indoor water uses would reach the high efficiency level by 2040. Based on current age of homes, replacement/remodeling rates, and water utility rebate programs it is believed this assumption is very achievable. It was also assumed that current outdoor water use would be reduced by 5% by 2050. For new homes, the indoor high efficiency level was assumed for the years 2025 through 2050. Outdoor uses for new homes were assumed to be 25% and 30% lower than current household water use for single-family and multifamily homes, respectively. This methodology is illustrated in Figure 4-1 below. Figure 4-1: Water Use Projection Methodology Diagram Existing and projected population, single-family and multifamily households for each retail water agency were provided by CDR under contract by MWDOC and OCWD. CDR provides historical and future demographics by census tracts for all of Orange County (Section 3.4). Census tract data is then clipped to retail water agency service boundaries in order to produce historical and projected demographic data by agency. For the CII water demands, which have been fairly stable from a unit use perspective (gallons/account/day), it was assumed that the unit demand in FY 2019-20 would remain the same from 2020-2025 to represent COVID-19 impacts. Reviewing agency water use data from FY 2017-18 through FY2019-20 revealed that residential water use increased slightly in FY 2019-20 while CII demands decreased slightly as a result of COVID-19. From 2030 to 2050, the average CII unit use from FY 2017-18 and 2018-19 was used. These unit use factors were then multiplied by an assumed growth of CII accounts under three broad scenarios:  Low Scenario – assuming no growth in CII accounts  Mid Scenario – assuming 0.5% annual growth in CII accounts  High Scenario – assuming 1.5% annual growth in CII accounts Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-5 For most retail agencies, the Mid Scenario of CII account growth was used, but for those retail agencies that have had faster historical growth the High Scenario was used. For those retail agencies that have had relatively stable CII water demand, the Low Scenario was used. For Santa Ana, the mid-scenario was used. For those agencies that supply recycled water for non-potable demands, MWDOC used agency-specified growth assumptions. Most agencies have already maximized their recycled water and thus are not expecting for this category of demand to grow. However, a few agencies in South Orange County do expect moderate growth in recycled water customers. For large landscape customers served currently by potable water use, MWDOC assumed these demands to be constant through 2050, except for agencies that have growing recycled water demands. For the agencies that have growing recycled water demands, large landscape demands served by potable water reduced accordingly. For non-revenue water, which represents the difference in total water production less all water billed to customers, this percentage was held constant through 2050. Note that 2050 data was not presented in the UWMP. An agency’s water use demand projection is the summation of their residential water demand, CII demands, large landscape and recycled water demands, and water losses all projected over the 25-year time horizon. These demands were provided to each of the Orange County water agencies for their review, feedback, and revision before being finalized. 4.3.1.1 Weather Variability and Long-Term Climate Change Impacts In any given year water demands can vary substantially due to weather. In addition, long-term climate change can have an impact on water demands into the future. For the 2014 OC Water Reliability Study, CDM Smith developed a statistical model of total water monthly production from 1990 to 2014 from a sample of retail water agencies. This model removed impacts from population growth, the economy and drought restrictions in order to estimate the impact on water use from temperature and precipitation. The results of this statistical analysis are:  Hot/dry weather demands will be 5.5% greater than current average weather demands  Cooler/wet weather demands will be 6% lower than current average weather demands  Climate change impacts will increase current average weather demands by: o 2% in 2030 o 4% in 2040 o 6% in 2050 4.3.2 25-Year Water Use Projection The projected demand values were provided by MWDOC and reviewed by the City as part of the UWMP effort. As the regional wholesale supplier for much of Orange County, MWDOC works in collaboration with each of its retail agencies as well as MET (its wholesaler), and the City (who is a direct Member Agency of MET) to develop demand projections for imported water. The City has been proactively decreasing its reliance on imported water by pursuing a variety of water conservation strategies within the service area. Future water savings and low-income water use are included in these projected values. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-6 4.3.2.1 Water Use Projections for 2021-2025 The water use projection for normal year conditions without drought for 2021-2025 is presented in Table 4-2. This table will be adjusted to estimate the five-years’ cumulative drought effects as described in the five-year DRA in Section 7. A linear increase in total water demand is expected between 2021 and 2025. Table 4-2: Water Use Projections for 2021 to 2025 Retail: Total Water Demand FY Ending 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total Water Demand (AF) 33,568 33,647 33,725 33,804 33,882 NOTES: 4.3.2.2 Water Use Projections for 2025-2045 Table 4-3 is a projection of the City’s water demand for 2025-2045. While single and multifamily residential use is projected to decrease due to water use efficiency measures, usage by CII is projected to increase. CII projections for 2025 through 2045 were broken down into commercial, industrial, and institutional/governmental using proportions reported for each billing sector in FY 2019-20. Demands for large landscape applications are projected to stay consistent, as are projections for non-revenue water. The demand data presented in this section accounts for passive savings in the future. Passive savings are water savings as a result of codes, standards, ordinances and public outreach on water conservation and higher efficiency fixtures. Passive savings are anticipated to continue through 2045 and will result in continued water saving and reduced consumption levels. Permanent water conservation requirements and water conservation strategies are discussed in Section 8 and 9 of this document. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-7 Table 4-3: Retail: Use for Potable and Non-Potable Water – Projected DWR Submittal Table 4-2 Retail: Use for Potable and Non-Potable1 Water - Projected Use Type Additional Description (as needed) Projected Water Use2 Report To the Extent that Records are Available 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Add additional rows as needed Single Family 11,961 11,675 11,390 11,105 11,101 Multi-Family 10,648 10,415 10,211 9,976 9,967 Commercial 5,486 6,155 6,309 6,466 6,466 Industrial 1,009 1,132 1,161 1,190 1,190 Institutional/Governmental 1,828 2,051 2,102 2,155 2,155 Landscape 1,501 1,501 1,501 1,501 1,501 Losses Non-revenue water 1,198 1,217 1,207 1,197 1,196 TOTAL 33,633 34,146 33,881 33,589 33,578 1 Recycled water demands are NOT reported in this table. Recycled water demands are reported in Table 6-4. 2 Units of measure (AF, CCF, MG) must remain consistent throughout the UWMP as reported in Table 2-3. NOTES: Volumes reported in AF. This table only represents potable water; recycled water projections are shown in Table 4-4 (DWR Submittal Tables 4-3) and Table 6-8 (DWR Submittal Tables 6-4). Source - CDM Smith, 2021 Based on the information provided above, the total demand for potable water is listed below in (Table 4-4). The City currently provides recycled water in its service area and is projected to grow its use. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-8 Table 4-4 Retail: Total Water Use (Potable and Non-Potable) DWR Submittal Table 4-3 Retail: Total Water Use (Potable and Non-Potable) 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 (opt) Potable Water, Raw, Other Non-potable 33,240 33,633 34,146 33,881 33,589 33,578 Recycled Water Demand1 249 249 249 249 249 249 Optional Deduction of Recycled Water Put Into Long-Term Storage2 TOTAL WATER USE 33,489 33,882 34,395 34,130 33,838 33,827 1Recycled water demand fields will be blank until Table 6-4 is complete 2 Long term storage means water placed into groundwater or surface storage that is not removed from storage in the same year. Supplier may deduct recycled water placed in long-term storage from their reported demand. This value is manually entered into Table 4-3. NOTES: Volumes in AF Future water savings and low-income water use are included in these projected values (Table 4-5). Table 4-5 Retail Only: Inclusion in Water Use Projections DWR Submittal Table 4-5 Retail Only: Inclusion in Water Use Projections Are Future Water Savings Included in Projections? (Refer to Appendix K of UWMP Guidebook) Yes If "Yes" to above, state the section or page number, in the cell to the right, where citations of the codes, ordinances, or otherwise are utilized in demand projections are found. Section 8 and 9 Are Lower Income Residential Demands Included In Projections? Yes NOTES: 4.3.2.3 Water Use Projections for Lower Income Households Since 2010, the UWMP Act has required retail water suppliers to include water use projections for single-family and multi-family residential housing for lower income and affordable households. This will assist the City in complying with the requirement under Government Code Section 65589.7 granting Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-9 priority for providing water service to lower income households. A lower income household is defined as a household earning below 80% of the MHI. DWR recommends retail suppliers rely on the housing elements of city or county general plans to quantify planned lower income housing with the City's service area (DWR, 2020). RHNA assists jurisdictions in updating general plan's housing elements section. The RHNA identifies additional housing needs and assesses households by income level for the City through 2010 decennial Census and 2005-2009 American Community Survey data. The sixth cycle of the RHNA covers the planning period of October 2021 to October 2029. The SCAG adopted the RHNA Allocation Plan for this cycle on March 4, 2021. The California Department of Housing and Community Development reviewed the housing elements data submitted by jurisdictions in the SCAG region and concluded the data meets statutory requirements for the assessment of current housing needs. Under the assumption that the RHNA household allocations adequately represent ratios of the City’s overall future income categories (not the exact ratio of all household by income but a conservative one for low-income household estimates), the RHNA low-income percentage can be used to estimate future low income demands. One objective of RHNA is to increase affordable housing, therefore RHNA has been allocating additional low-income households to various regions. Because relying on the RHNA distribution of households by income category is likely to produce an overestimate of low-income water demands, this approach represents a conservative projection of future low-income water use. Table 4-6 presents the City’s RHNA housing allocation. RHNA classifies low income housing into two categories: very low income (<30% - 50% MHI), and low income (51% - 80% MHI). Altogether 30.6% of the City’s allocated housing need for the planning period of October 2021 to October 2029 are considered low-income housing (SCAG, 2021). Table 4-6: SCAG 6th Cycle Household Allocation Based on Median Household Income Household Category by Income Number of Households % of Total Allocated Households Very Low Income 586 18.9% Low Income 362 11.7% Moderate Income 523 16.9% Above Moderate Income 1,624 52.5% Total Future Allocated Households 3,095 100.0% By applying the percentage of low-income housing from the SCAG report to the total projected SF/MF residential demand calculated in Table 4-3 above, low-income demand can be conservatively estimated for both SF and MF through 2045. For example, the total low-income single family residential demand is projected to be 3,664 AF in 2025 and 3,400 AF in 2045 (Table 4-7). Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-10 Table 4-7: Projected Water Use Needed for Low Income Households (AF) Water Use Sector FY Ending 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Total Residential Demand (AF) 22,609 22,090 21,601 21,081 21,068 Single-Family Residential Demand - Low Income Households (AF) 3,664 3,576 3,489 3,401 3,400 Multi-Family Residential Demand - Low Income Households (AF) 3262 3190 3128 3056 3053 Total Low Income Households Demand (AF) 6,925 6,766 6,616 6,457 6,453 Water Loss The City has conducted annual water loss audit since 2015 per the American Water Works Association (AWWA) methodology per SB 555 to understand the relationship between water loss, operating costs, and revenue losses. Non-revenue water for FY2015/16 – FY2019/20 (Figure 4-2) consists of three components: real losses (e.g., leakage in mains and service lines, and storage tank overflows), apparent losses (unauthorized consumption, customer metering inaccuracies and systematic data handling errors), and unbilled water (e.g., hydrant flushing, firefighting, and blow-off water from well start-ups). The City’s real losses ranged from 157 AFY to 1,007 AFY and apparent losses ranged from 803 AFY to 858 AFY between FY2015/16 – FY2019/20. The unbilled water ranged from 82 AFY to 411 AFY in the same timeframe. In the latest water loss audit (FY2019/20), the City’s total water loss was 1856 AFY (Table 4-8), compared to the total water use of 33,489 AF in FY2019/20. The total water loss consists of real loss of 1,007 AFY and apparent loss of 849 AFY in FY2019/20. The non-revenue water was 1,940 AFY. The active and inactive service connections were relatively consistent in the last five years with 45,037 connections in FY2019/20. The real loss performance indicator was 20 gals/connection/day in FY2019/20. Figure 4-3 presents the performance indicators of gallons of real and apparent loss per connection per day. Understanding and controlling water loss from a distribution system is an effective way for the City to achieve regulatory standards and manage their existing resources. The California State Water Resources Control Board (SWRCB) is still developing water loss performance standards; these standards have not yet been adopted. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-11 Table 4-8: Retail: Last Five Years of Water Loss Audit Reporting Submittal Table 4-4 Retail: Last Five Years of Water Loss Audit Reporting Reporting Period Start Date (mm/yyyy) Volume of Water Loss 1,2 07/2015 961 07/2016 1236 07/2017 1638 07/2018 1649 07/2019 1856 1 Taken from the field "Water Losses" (a combination of apparent losses and real losses) from the AWWA worksheet. 2 Units of measure (AF, CCF, MG) must remain consistent throughout the UWMP as reported in Table 2-3. NOTES: Water Loss in AFY Figure 4-2: Water Loss Audit for FY 2015/16 to FY 2019/20 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020Water Loss (AFY)Year Real Loss Apparent Loss Unbilled Water Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 4-12 Figure 4-3: Water Loss Performance Indicators for FY 2015/16 to FY 2019/20 0 5 10 15 20 25 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020Gal/connection/dayYear Real Loss Apparent Loss Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 5-13 5 CONSERVATION TARGET COMPLIANCE The Water Conservation Act of 2009, also known as SBx7-7 (Senate Bill 7 as part of the Seventh Extraordinary Session), signed into law on February 3, 2010, requires the State of California to reduce urban water use by 20% by the year 2020 (20x2020). To achieve this each retail urban water supplier must determine baseline water use during their baseline period and target water use for the years 2015 and 2020 to meet the state’s water reduction goal. Retail water suppliers are required to comply with SBx7-7 individually or as a region in collaboration with other retail water suppliers, or demonstrate they have a plan or have secured funding to be in compliance, in order to be eligible for water related state grants and loans on or after July 16, 2016. The City’s actual 2020 water use is lower than its 2020 water use target, therefore, demonstrating compliance with SBx7-7. In its 2015 UWMP, the City revised its baseline per capita water use calculations using 2010 U.S. Census data. Changes in the baseline calculations resulted in updated per capita water use targets. The following sections describe the efforts by the City to comply with the requirements of SBx7-7 and efforts by MWDOC to assist retail agencies, including the formation of a Regional Alliance to provide additional flexibility to all water suppliers in Orange County. A discussion of programs implemented to support retail agencies in achieving their per capita water reduction goals is covered in Section 8 – Demand Management Measures of this UWMP. Complimentary to information presented in this section are SBx7-7 Verification and Compliance Forms, a set of standardized tables required by DWR to demonstrate compliance with the Water Conservation Act in this 2020 UWMP (Appendix D) including calculations of recycled water used for groundwater recharge (indirect reuse) to offset a portion of the agency’s potable demand when meeting the regional as well as individual water use targets. Baseline Water Use The baseline water use is the City’s gross water use divided by its service area population, reported in GPCD. Gross water use is a measure of water that enters the distribution system of the supplier over a 12-month period with certain allowable exclusions. These exclusions are:  Recycled water delivered within the service area  Indirect recycled water  Water placed in long term storage  Water conveyed to another urban supplier  Water delivered for agricultural use  Process water Water suppliers within the OCWD Groundwater Basin, including the City, have the option of choosing to deduct recycled water used for indirect potable reuse (IPR) from their gross water use to account for the Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 5-14 recharge of recycled water into the OC Basin by OCWD, historically through Water Factory 21 (WF-21), and now by the Groundwater Replenishment System (GWRS). Water suppliers must report baseline water use for two baseline periods, the 10- to 15-year baseline (baseline GPCD) and the five-year baseline (target confirmation) as described below. 5.1.1 Ten to 15-Year Baseline Period (Baseline GPCD) The first step to calculating the City’s water use targets is to determine its base daily per capita water use (baseline water use). The baseline water use is calculated as a continuous (rolling) 10-year average during a period, which ends no earlier than December 31, 2004 and no later than December 31, 2010. Water suppliers whose recycled water made up 10% or more of their 2008 retail water delivery can use up to a 15-year average for the calculation. The City did not have recycled water use in 2008; therefore, a 10-year baseline period is used. The City’s baseline water use is 130 GPCD, obtained from the 10-year period July 1, 1995 to June 30, 2005. 5.1.2 Five-Year Baseline Period (Target Confirmation) Water suppliers are required to calculate water use, in GPCD, for a five-year baseline period. This number is used to confirm that the selected 2020 target meets the minimum water use reduction requirements. Regardless of the compliance option adopted by the City, it will need to meet a minimum water use target of 5% reduction from the five-year baseline water use. This five-year baseline water use is calculated as a continuous five-year average during a period, which ends no earlier than December 31, 2007 and no later than December 31, 2010. The City’s five-year baseline water use is 122 GPCD, obtained from the five-year period July 1, 2003 to June 30, 2008. 5.1.3 Service Area Population The City’s service area boundaries correspond with the boundaries for a city or census designated place. This allows the City to use service area population estimates prepared by the DOF. CDR is the entity which compiles population data for Orange County based on DOF data. The calculation of the City’s baseline water use and water use targets in the 2010 UWMP was based on the 2000 U.S. Census population numbers obtained from CDR. The baseline water use and water use targets in the 2015 UWMP were revised based on the 2010 U.S. Census population obtained from CDR in 2012. That baseline remained in use in the 2020 calculations. SBx7-7 Water Use Targets In the 2020 UWMP, the City may update its 2020 water use target by selecting a different target method than what was used previously. The target methods and determination of the 2015 and 2020 targets are described below. The City selected Option 3 consistent with 2015 and maintained the same 2015 and 2020 target water uses as reported in its 2015 UWMP. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 5-15 5.2.1 SBx7-7 Target Methods DWR has established four target calculation methods for urban retail water suppliers to choose from. The City is required to adopt one of the four options to comply with SBx7-7 requirements. The four options include: Option 1 requires a simple 20% reduction from the baseline by 2020 and 10% by 2015. Option 2 employs a budget-based approach by requiring an agency to achieve a performance standard based on three metrics o Residential indoor water use of 55 GPCD o Landscape water use commensurate with the Model Landscape Ordinance o 10% reduction in baseline CII water use Option 3 is to achieve 95% of the applicable state hydrologic region target as set forth in the State’s 202020 Water Conservation Plan. Option 4 requires the subtraction of Total Savings from the baseline GPCD: o Total savings includes indoor residential savings, meter savings, CII savings, and landscape and water loss savings. With MWDOC’s assistance in the calculation of the City’s base daily per capita use and water use targets, the City selected to comply with Option 3 consistent with the option selected in 2010 and 2015. 5.2.2 2020 Targets and Compliance Under Compliance Option 3, to achieve 95% of the South Coast Hydrologic Region target as set forth in the State’s 20x2020 Water Conservation Plan, the City’s 2020 target is 142 GPCD. In addition, the confirmed 2020 target needs to meet a minimum of 5% reduction from the five-year baseline water use which is 116 GPCD. Therefore, the City’s confirmed 2020 target is 116 GPCD as summarized in Table 5-1. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 5-16 Table 5-1: Baselines and Targets Summary DWR Submittal Table 5-1 Baselines and Targets Summary from SB X7-7 Verification Form Retail Supplier or Regional Alliance Only Baseline Period Start Year * End Year * Average Baseline GPCD* Confirmed 2020 Target* 10-15 year 1996 2005 130 116 5 Year 2004 2008 122 *All cells in this table should be populated manually from the supplier's SBX7-7 Verification Form and reported in Gallons per Capita per Day (GPCD) NOTES: The City’s actual 2020 consumption is 66 GPCD which is below its 2020 target of 116 GPCD (Table 5-2). The City met its 2020 water use target and is in compliance with SBx7-7. As shown in Table 5-2, the City did not make any adjustments in its compliance for GPCD using weather normalization, economic adjustment, or extraordinary events. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 5-17 Table 5-2: 2020 Compliance DWR Submittal Table 5-2: 2020 Compliance from SB X7-7 2020 Compliance Form Retail Supplier or Regional Alliance Only 2020 GPCD 2020 Confirmed Target GPCD* Did Supplier Achieve Targeted Reduction for 2020? Y/N Actual 2020 GPCD* 2020 TOTAL Adjustments* Adjusted 2020 GPCD* (Adjusted if applicable) 66 0 66 116 Y *All cells in this table should be populated manually from the supplier's SBX7-7 2020 Compliance Form and reported in Gallons per Capita per Day (GPCD) NOTES: Orange County 20x2020 Regional Alliance A retail supplier may choose to meet the SBx7-7 targets on its own or it may form a regional alliance with other retail suppliers to meet the water use target as a region. Within a Regional Alliance, each retail water supplier will have an additional opportunity to achieve compliance under both an individual target and a regional target.  If the Regional Alliance meets its water use target on a regional basis, all agencies in the alliance are deemed compliant.  If the Regional Alliance fails to meet its water use target, each individual supplier will have an opportunity to meet their water use targets individually. The City is a member of the Orange County 20x2020 Regional Alliance formed by MWDOC, its wholesaler. This regional alliance consists of 29 retail agencies in Orange County as described in MWDOC’s 2020 UWMP. MWDOC provides assistance in the calculation of each retail agency’s baseline water use and water use targets. In 2020, the regional baseline and targets were revised from 2015 to account for any revisions made by the retail agencies to their individual 2015 and 2020 targets. The regional water use target is the weighted average of the individual retail agencies’ targets (by population). The Orange County 20x2020 Regional Alliance weighted 2020 target is 159 GPCD. The actual 2020 water use in the region is 109 GPCD, i.e., the region met its 2020 GPCD goal. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-1 6 WATER SUPPLY CHARACTERIZATION As a counterpart to Section 4’s Water Use Characterization, this section characterizes the City’s water supply. This section includes identification and quantification of water supply sources through 2045, descriptions of each water supply source and their management, opportunities for exchanges and transfers, and discussion regarding any planned future water supply projects. This section also includes the energy intensity of the water service, a new UWMP requirement. Water Supply Overview The City meets all of its demands with a combination of imported water, local groundwater, and recycled water. The City works together with two primary agencies, MET and OCWD, to ensure a safe and reliable water supply that will continue to serve the community in periods of drought and shortage. The sources of imported water supplies include water from the Colorado River and the State Water Project (SWP) provided by MET. The City’s main source of water supply is groundwater from the Orange County Groundwater Basin. Imported water and recycled water make up the rest of the City’s water supply portfolio. In FY 2019-20, the City relied on 76% groundwater, 23% imported water, and 1% recycled water (Table 6-1). It is projected that by 2045, the water supply portfolio will change to approximately to 84% groundwater, 15% imported water, and 1% recycled water (Table 6-2 and Figure 6-1). Note that these representations of supply match the projected demand. However, the City has a ten-year purchase agreement with MET that allows the City to purchase significantly more MET water, should the need arise. This agreement is further discussed is Section 6.2 Additionally, GWRS supplies are included as part of groundwater pumping numbers. The following subsections provide a detailed discussion of the City’s water sources as well as the future water supply portfolio for the next 25 years. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-2 Table 6-1: Retail: Water Supplies – Actual DWR Submittal Table 6-8 Retail: Water Supplies — Actual Water Supply Additional Detail on Water Supply 2020 Actual Volume (AF) Water Quality Groundwater (not desalinated) Orange County Groundwater Basin 25,591 Drinking Water Purchased or Imported Water MET 7,649 Drinking Water Recycled Water Green Acres Project (OCWD) 249 Recycled Water Total 33,489 NOTES: Source - MWDOC, 2020 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-3 Table 6-2: Retail: Water Supplies – Projected DWR Submittal Table 6-9 Retail: Water Supplies — Projected Water Supply Additional Detail on Water Supply Projected Water Supply (AF) Report To the Extent Practicable 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Reasonably Available Volume Reasonably Available Volume Reasonably Available Volume Reasonably Available Volume Reasonably Available Volume Groundwater (not desalinated) Orange County Groundwater Basin 28,588 29,024 28,799 28,551 28,541 Purchased or Imported Water MET 5,045 5,122 5,082 5,038 5,037 Recycled Water OCWD 249 249 249 249 249 Total 33,882 34,395 34,130 33,838 33,827 NOTES: Source - CDM Smith, 2021 Groundwater volumes assume OCWD’s basin production percentage (BPP) to be 85% for all years. Volumes of groundwater and imported water may vary depending on OCWD's actual BPP projections, which are established annually. This table only considers direct use of recycled water - this does not include indirect potable recharge. Per the ten-year (CY 2015 through CY 2024) purchase agreement with MET, the City is contractually able to purchase more MET water, should the need arise. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-4 Figure 6-1: City’s Projected Water Supply Sources (AF) Imported Water The City supplements its local water supply with imported water purchased from MET. In FY 2019-20, the City relied on approximately 7,649 AFY – approximately 23% of the City’s water supply portfolio for FY 2019-20 – of imported water from MET to meet its demands. MET’s principal sources of water are the Colorado River via the Colorado River Aqueduct (CRA) and the Lake Oroville watershed in Northern California through the SWP. For Orange County, the water obtained from these sources is treated at the Robert B. Diemer Filtration Plant located in Yorba Linda. Typically, the Diemer Filtration Plant receives a blend of Colorado River water from Lake Mathews through the MET Lower Feeder and SWP water through the Yorba Linda Feeder. The City currently maintains seven imported water connections to the MET system. In December 2002, the City entered into a 10-year water purchase agreement with MET. This water purchase agreement is a 10-year commitment to purchase a minimum quantity of water on an annual basis and a minimum quantity of water over the course of the 10-year commitment. In return, the City is able to purchase a greater percentage of MET water at a lower, Tier 1 rate. This purchase agreement was renewed, and the current ten-year term is effective January 1, 2015 through December 31, 2024. The City’s annual purchase commitment average is 8,086 AF, with a maximum average annual value set at 19,617 AF. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-5 6.2.1 Colorado River Supplies Background The Colorado River was MET’s original source of water after MET’s establishment in 1928. The CRA, which is owned and operated by MET, transports water from the Colorado River to its terminus Lake Mathews, in Riverside County. The actual amount of water per year that may be conveyed through the CRA to MET’s member agencies is subject to the availability of Colorado River water. Approximately 40 million people rely on the Colorado River and its tributaries for water with 5.5 million acres of land using Colorado River water for irrigation. The CRA includes supplies from the implementation of the Quantification Settlement Agreement and its related agreements to transfer water from agricultural agencies to urban uses. The 2003 Quantification Settlement Agreement enabled California to implement major Colorado River water conservation and transfer programs, in order to stabilize water supplies and reduce the state’s demand on the river to its 4.4 million acre-feet (MAF) entitlement. Colorado River transactions are potentially available to supply additional water up to the CRA capacity of 1.25 MAF on an as-needed basis. Water from the Colorado River or its tributaries is available to users in California, Arizona, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, Wyoming, and Mexico. California is apportioned the use of 4.4 MAF of water from the Colorado River each year plus one-half of any surplus that may be available for use collectively in Arizona, California, and Nevada. In addition, California has historically been allowed to use Colorado River water apportioned to, but not used by, Arizona or Nevada. MET has a basic entitlement of 550,000 AFY of Colorado River water, plus surplus water up to an additional 662,000 AFY when the following conditions exists (MET, 2021):  Water is unused by the California holders of priorities 1 through 3  Water is saved by the Palo Verde land management, crop rotation, and water supply program  When the U.S. Secretary of the Interior makes available either one or both of the following: o Surplus water o Colorado River water that is apportioned to but unused by Arizona and/or Nevada. Current Conditions and Supply MET has not received surplus water for a number of years. The Colorado River supply faces current and future imbalances between water supply and demand in the Colorado River Basin due to long-term drought conditions. Analysis of historical records suggests a potential change in the relationship between precipitation and runoff in the Colorado River Basin. The past 21 years (1999-2020) have seen an overall drying trend, even though the period included several wet or average years. The river basin has substantial storage capacity, but the significant reduction in system reservoir storage in the last two decades is great enough to consider the period a drought (DWR, 2020a). At the close of 2020, system storage was at or near its lowest since 2000, so there is very little buffer to avoid a shortage from any future period of reduced precipitation and runoff (MET, 2021). Looking ahead, the long-term imbalance in the Colorado River Basin’s future supply and demand is projected to be approximately 3.2 MAF by the year 2060 (USBR, 2012). Over the years, MET has helped fund and implement various programs to improve Colorado River supply reliability and help resolve the imbalance between supply and demand. Implementation of such programs Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-6 have contributed to achievements like achieving a record low diversion of the Colorado River in 2019, a level not seen since the 1950s. Colorado River water management programs include: Imperial Irrigation District / MET Conservation Program – Under agreements executed in 1988 and 1989, this program allows MET to fund water efficiency improvements within Imperial Irrigation District’s service area in return for the right to divert the water conserved by those investments. An average of 105,000 AFY of water has been conserved since the program’s implementation. Palo Verde Land Management, Crop Rotation, and Water Supply Program – Authorized in 2004, this 35-year program allows MET to pay participating farmers to reduce their water use, and for MET to receive the saved water. Over the life of the program, an average of 84,500 AFY has been saved and made available to MET. Bard Seasonal Fallowing Program – Authorized in 2019, this program allows MET to pay participating farmers in Bard to reduce their water use between the late spring and summer months of selected years, which provides up to 6,000 AF of water to be available to MET in certain years. Management of MET-Owned Land in Palo Verde – Since 2001, MET has acquired approximately 21,000 acres of irrigable farmland that are leased to growers, with incentives to grow low water-using crops and experiment with low water-consumption practices. If long-term water savings are realized, MET may explore ways to formally account them for Colorado River supplies. Southern Nevada Water Authority (SNWA) and MET Storage and Interstate Release Agreement – Entered in 2004, this agreement allows SNWA to store its unused, conserved water with MET, in exchange for MET to receive additional Colorado River water supply. MET has relied on the additional water during dry years, especially during the 2011-2016 California drought, and SNWA is not expected to call upon MET to return water until after 2026. Lower Colorado Water Supply Projects – Authorized in 1980s, this project provides up to 10,000 AFY of water to certain entities that do not have or have insufficient rights to use Colorado River water. A contract executed in 2007 allowed MET to receive project water left unused by the project contractors along the River – nearly 10,000 AF was received by MET in 2019 and is estimated for 2020. Exchange Programs – MET is involved in separate exchange programs with the United States Bureau of Reclamation, which takes place at the Colorado River Intake and with San Diego County Water Authority (SDCWA), which exchanges conserved Colorado River water. Lake Mead Storage Program – Executed in 2006, this program allows MET to leave excessively conserved water in Lake Mead, for exclusive use by MET in later years. Quagga Mussel Control Program – Developed in 2007, this program introduced surveillance activities and control measures to combat quagga mussels, an invasive species that impact the Colorado River’s water quality. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-7 Lower Basin Drought Contingency Plan – Signed in 2019, this agreement incentivizes storage in Lake Mead through 2026 and overall, it increases MET’s flexibility to fill the CRA as needed (MET, 2021). Future Programs / Plans The Colorado River faces long-term challenges of water demands exceeding available supply with additional uncertainties due to climate change. Climate change impacts expected in the Colorado River Basin include the following:  More frequent, more intense, and longer lasting droughts, which will result in water deficits  Continued dryness in the Colorado River Basin, which will increase the likelihood of triggering a first-ever shortage in the Lower Basin  Increased temperatures, which will affect the percentage of precipitation that falls as rain or snow, as well as the amount and timing of mountain snowpack (DWR, 2020b) Acknowledging the various uncertainties regarding reliability, MET plans to continue ongoing programs, such as those listed earlier in this section. Additionally, MET supports increasing water recycling in the Colorado River Basin and is in the process of developing additional transfer programs for the future (MET, 2021). 6.2.2 State Water Project Supplies Background The SWP consists of a series of pump stations, reservoirs, aqueducts, tunnels, and power plants operated by DWR and is an integral part of the effort to ensure that business and industry, urban and suburban residents, and farmers throughout much of California have sufficient water. Water from the SWP originates at Lake Oroville, which is located on the Feather River in Northern California. Much of the SWP water supply passes through the Delta. The SWP is the largest state-built, multipurpose, user-financed water project in the United States. Nearly two-thirds of residents in California receive at least part of their water from the SWP, with approximately 70% of SWP’s contracted water supply going to urban users and 30% to agricultural users. The primary purpose of the SWP is to divert and store water during wet periods in Northern and Central California and distribute it to areas of need in Northern California, the San Francisco Bay area, the San Joaquin Valley, the Central Coast, and SSouthern California (MET, 2021). The Delta is key to the SWP’s ability to deliver water to its agricultural and urban contractors. All but five of the 29 SWP contractors receive water deliveries below the Delta (pumped via the Harvey O. Banks or Barker Slough pumping plants). However, the Delta faces many challenges concerning its long-term sustainability such as climate change posing a threat of increased variability in floods and droughts. Sea level rise complicates efforts in managing salinity levels and preserving water quality in the Delta to ensure a suitable water supply for urban and agricultural use. Furthermore, other challenges include continued subsidence of Delta islands, many of which are below sea level, and the related threat of a catastrophic levee failure as the water pressure increases, or as a result of a major seismic event. Current Conditions and Supply Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-8 “Table A” water is the maximum entitlement of SWP water for each water contracting agency. Currently, the combined maximum Table A amount is 4.17 million acre-feet per year (MAFY). Of this amount, 4.13 MAFY is the maximum Table A water available for delivery from the Delta. On average, deliveries are approximately 60% of the maximum Table A amount (DWR, 2020b). SWP contractors may receive Article 21 water on a short-term basis in addition to Table A water if requested. Article 21 of SWP contracts allows contractors to receive additional water deliveries only under specific conditions, generally during wet months of the year (December through March). Because a SWP contractor must have an immediate use for Article 21 supply or a place to store it outside of the SWP, there are few contractors like MET that can access such supplies. Carryover water is SWP water allocated to an SWP contractor and approved for delivery to the contractor in a given year, but not used by the end of the year. The unused water is stored in the SWP’s share of San Luis Reservoir, when space is available, for the contractor to use in the following year. Turnback pool water is Table A water that has been allocated to SWP contractors that has exceeded their demands. This water can then be purchased by another contractor depending on its availability. SWP Delta exports are the water supplies that are transferred directly to SWP contractors or to San Luis Reservoir storage south of the Delta via the Harvey O. Banks pumping plant. Estimated average annual Delta exports and SWP Table A water deliveries have generally decreased since 2005, when Delta export regulations affecting SWP pumping operations became more restrictive due to federal biological opinions (Biops). The Biops protect species listed as threatened or endangered under the federal and state Endangered Species Acts (ESAs) and affect the SWP’s water delivery capability because they restrict SWP exports in the Delta and include Delta outflow requirements during certain times of the year, thus reducing the available supply for export or storage. Before being updated by the 2019 Long-Term Operations Plan, the prior 2008 and 2009 Biops resulted in an estimated reduction in SWP deliveries of 0.3 MAF during critically dry years to 1.3 MAF in above normal water years as compared to the previous baseline. However, the 2019 Long-Term Operations Plan and Biops are expected to increase SWP deliveries by an annual average of 20,000 AF as compared to the previous Biops (MET, 2021). Average Table A deliveries decreased in the 2019 SWP Final Delivery Capability Report compared to 2017, mainly due to the 2018 Coordinated Operation Agreement (COA) Addendum and the increase in the end of September storage target for Lake Oroville. Other factors that also affected deliveries included changes in regulations associated with the Incidental Take Permit (ITP) and the Reinitiation of Consultation for Long-Term Operations (RoC on LTO), a shift in Table A to Article 21 deliveries which occurred due to higher storage in SWP San Luis, and other operational updates to the SWP and federal Central Valley Project (CVP) (DWR, 2020b). Since 2005, there are similar decreasing trends for both the average annual Delta exports and the average annual Table A deliveries (Table 6-3). Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-9 Table 6-3: MET SWP Program Capabilities Year Average Annual Delta Exports (MAF) Average Annual Table A Deliveries (MAF) 2005 2.96 2.82 2013 2.61 2.55 2019 2.52 2.41 Percent Change*-14.8% -14.3% *Percent change is between the years 2019 and 2005. Ongoing regulatory restrictions, such as those imposed by the Biops on the effects of SWP and the CVP operations on certain marine life, also contribute to the challenge of determining the SWP’s water delivery reliability. In dry, below-normal conditions, MET has increased the supplies delivered through the California Aqueduct by developing flexible CVP/SWP storage and transfer programs. The goal of the storage/transfer programs is to develop additional dry-year supplies that can be conveyed through the available Harvey O. Banks pumping plant capacity to maximize deliveries through the California Aqueduct during dry hydrologic conditions and regulatory restrictions. In addition, SWRCB has set water quality objectives that must be met by the SWP including minimum Delta outflows, limits on SWP and CVP Delta exports, and maximum allowable salinity level. The following factors affect the ability to estimate existing and future water delivery reliability: Water availability at the source: Availability can be highly variable and depends on the amount and timing of rain and snow that fall in any given year. Generally, during a single-dry year or two, surface and groundwater storage can supply most water deliveries, but multiple-dry years can result in critically low water reserves. Fisheries issues can also restrict the operations of the export pumps even when water supplies are available. Water rights with priority over the SWP: Water users with prior water rights are assigned higher priority in DWR’s modeling of the SWP’s water delivery reliability, even ahead of SWP Table A water. Climate change: Mean temperatures are predicted to vary more significantly than previously expected. This change in climate is anticipated to bring warmer winter storms that result in less snowfall at lower elevations, reducing total snowpack. From historical data, DWR projects that by 2050, the Sierra snowpack will be reduced from its historical average by 25 to 40%. Increased precipitation as rain could result in a larger number of “rain-on-snow” events, causing snow to melt earlier in the year and over fewer days than historically, affecting the availability of water for pumping by the SWP during summer. Furthermore, water quality may be adversely affected due to the anticipated increase in wildfires. Rising sea levels may result in potential pumping cutbacks on the SWP and CVP. Regulatory restrictions on SWP Delta exports: The Biops protect special-status species such as delta smelt and spring- and winter-run Chinook salmon and imposed substantial constraints on Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-10 Delta water supply operations through requirements for Delta inflow and outflow and export pumping restrictions. Restrictions on SWP operations imposed by state and federal agencies contribute substantially to the challenge of accurately determining the SWP’s water delivery reliability in any given year (DWR, 2020b). Ongoing environmental and policy planning efforts: Governor Gavin Newsom ended California WaterFix in May 2019 and announced a new approach to modernize Delta Conveyance through a single tunnel alternative. The EcoRestore Program aims to restore at least 30,000 acres of Delta habitat, with the near-term goal of making significant strides toward that objective by 2020 (DWR, 2020b). Delta levee failure: The levees are vulnerable to failure because most original levees were simply built with soils dredged from nearby channels and were not engineered. A breach of one or more levees and island flooding could affect Delta water quality and SWP operations for several months. When islands are flooded, DWR may need to drastically decrease or even cease SWP Delta exports to evaluate damage caused by salinity in the Delta. Operational constraints likely will continue until a long-term solution to the problems in the Bay-Delta is identified and implemented. New Biops for listed species under the Federal ESA or by the California Department of Fish and Game’s issuance of incidental take authorizations under the Federal ESA and California ESA might further adversely affect SWP and CVP operations. Additionally, new litigation, listings of additional species or new regulatory requirements could further adversely affect SWP operations in the future by requiring additional export reductions, releases of additional water from storage or other operational changes impacting water supply operations. Future Programs / Plans MET’s Board approved a Delta Action Plan in June 2007 that provides a framework for staff to pursue actions with other agencies and stakeholders to build a sustainable Delta and reduce conflicts between water supply conveyance and the environment. The Delta Action Plan aims to prioritize immediate short-term actions to stabilize the Delta while an ultimate solution is selected, and mid-term steps to maintain the Delta while a long-term solution is implemented. Currently, MET is working towards addressing four elements: Delta ecosystem restoration, water supply conveyance, flood control, protection and storage development. In May 2019, Governor Newsom ended California WaterFix, announced a new approach to modernize Delta Conveyance through a single tunnel alternative, and released Executive Order 10-19 that directed state agencies to inventory and assess new planning for the project. DWR then withdrew all project approvals and permit applications for California WaterFix, effectively ending the project. The purpose of the Delta Conveyance Project (DCP) gives rise to several project objectives (MET, 2021). In proposing to make physical improvements to the SWP Delta conveyance system, the project objectives are:  To address anticipated rising sea levels and other reasonably foreseeable consequences of climate change and extreme weather events.  To minimize the potential for public health and safety impacts from reduced quantity and quality of SWP water deliveries, and potentially CVP water deliveries, south of the Delta resulting from a major earthquake that causes breaching of Delta levees and the inundation of brackish water into the areas in which existing pumping plants operate. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-11  To protect the ability of the SWP, and potentially the CVP, to deliver water when hydrologic conditions result in the availability of sufficient amounts, consistent with the requirements of state and federal law.  To provide operational flexibility to improve aquatic conditions in the Delta and better manage risks of further regulatory constraints on project operations. 6.2.3 Storage Storage is a major component of MET’s dry year resource management strategy. MET’s likelihood of having adequate supply capability to meet projected demands, without implementing its Water Supply Allocation Plan (WSAP), is dependent on its storage resources. Due to the pattern of generally drier hydrology, the groundwater basins and local reservoirs have dropped to low operating levels and remain below healthy storage levels. For example, the Colorado River Basin’s system storage at the close of 2020, was at or near its lowest since 2000, so there is very little buffer to avoid a shortage from any future period of reduced precipitation and runoff (MET, 2021). MET stores water in both DWR and MET surface water reservoirs. MET’s surface water reservoirs are Lake Mathews, Lake Skinner, and Diamond Valley Lake, which have a combined storage capacity of over 1 MAF. Approximately 650,000 AF are stored for seasonal, regulatory, and drought use, while approximately 370,000 AF are stored for emergency use. MET also has contractual rights to DWR surface Reservoirs, such as 65 TAF of flexible storage at Lake Perris (East Branch terminal reservoir) and 154 TAF of flexible storage at Castaic Lake (West Branch terminal reservoir) that provides MET with additional options for managing SWP deliveries to maximize the yield from the project. This storage can provide MET with up to 44 TAF of additional supply over multiple dry years, or up to 219 TAF to Southern California in a single dry year (MET, 2021). MET endeavors to increase the reliability of water supplies through the development of flexible storage and transfer programs including groundwater storage (MET, 2021). These include: Lake Mead Storage Program: Executed in 2006, this program allows MET to leave excessively conserved water in Lake Mead, for exclusive use by MET in later years. MET created “Intentionally Created Surplus” (ICS) water in 2006-2007, 2009-2012, and 2016-2019, and withdrew ICS water in 2008 and 2013-2015. As of January 1, 2021, MET had a total of 1.3 MAF of Extraordinary Conservation ICS water. Semitropic Storage Program: The maximum storage capacity of the program is 350 TAF, and the minimum and maximum annual yields available to MET are 34.7 TAF and 236.2 TAF, respectively. The specific amount of water MET can expect to store in and subsequently receive from the program depends on hydrologic conditions, any regulatory requirements restricting MET’s ability to export water for storage and demands placed by other program participants. During wet years, MET has the discretion to use the program to store portions of its SWP supplies which are in excess, and during dry years, the Semitropic Water Storage District returns MET’s previously stored water to MET by direct groundwater pump-in or by exchange of surface water supplies. Arvin-Edison Storage Program: The storage program is estimated to deliver 75 TAF, and the specific amount of water MET can expect to store in and subsequently receive from the program Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-12 depends on hydrologic conditions and any regulatory requirements restricting MET’s ability to export water for storage. During wet years, MET has the discretion to use to program to store portions of its SWP supplies which are in excess, and during dry years, the Arvin-Edison Water Storage District returns MET’s previously stored water to MET by direct groundwater pump-in or by exchange of surface water supplies. Antelope Valley-East Kern (AVEK) Water Agency Exchange and Storage Program: Under the exchange program, for every two AF MET receives, MET returns 1 AF back to AVEK, and MET will also be able to store up to 30 TAF in the AVEK’s groundwater basin, with a dry-year return capability of 10 TAF. High Desert Water Bank Program: Under this program, MET will have the ability to store up to 280 TAF of its SWP Table A or other supplies in the Antelope Valley groundwater basin, and in exchange will provide funding for the construction of monitoring and production wells, turnouts from the California Aqueduct, pipelines, recharge basins, water storage, and booster pump facilities. The project is anticipated to be in operation by 2025. Kern-Delta Water District Storage Program: This groundwater storage program has 250 TAF of storage capacity, and water for storage can either be directly recharged into the groundwater basin or delivered to Kern-Delta Water District farmers in lieu of pumping groundwater. During dry years, the Kern-Delta Water District returns MET’s previously stored water to MET by direct groundwater pump-in return or by exchange of surface water supplies. Mojave Storage Program: MET entered into a groundwater banking and exchange transfer agreement with Mojave Water Agency that allows for the cumulative storage of up to 390 TAF. The agreement allows for MET to store water in an exchange account for later return. 6.2.4 Planned Future Sources Beyond the programs highlighted in Sections 6.2.1 through 6.2.3, MET continues to invest in efforts to meet its goal of long-term regional water supply reliability, focusing on the following:  Continuing water conservation  Developing water supply management programs outside of the region  Developing storage programs related to the Colorado River and the SWP  Developing storage and groundwater management programs within the Southern California region  Increasing water recycling, groundwater recovery, stormwater and seawater desalination  Pursuing long-term solutions for the ecosystem, regulatory and water supply issues in the California Bay-Delta (MET, 2021) Groundwater Historically, local groundwater has been the cheapest and most reliable source of supply for the City. The City draws water from the Basin. In FY 2019-20, the City relied on approximately 25,591 AFY – Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-13 approximately 76% of the City’s water supply portfolio for FY 2019-20 – from the OC Basin to meet its demands. This section describes the OC Basin and the management measures taken by OCWD, the basin manager to optimize local supply and minimize overdraft. This section also provides information on historical groundwater production as well as a 25-year projection of the City's groundwater supply. The OCWD was formed in 1933 by a special legislative act of the California State Legislature to protect and manage the County's vast, natural, groundwater supply using the best available technology and defend its water rights to the OC Basin. This legislation is found in the State of California Statutes, Water – Uncodified Acts, Act 5683, as amended. The OC Basin is managed by OCWD under the Act, which functions as a statutorily-imposed physical solution. The OCWD Management Area includes approximately 89% of the land area of the OC Basin, and 98% of all groundwater production occurs within the area. OCWD monitors the basin by collecting groundwater elevation and quality data from wells and manages an electronic database that stores water elevation, water quality, production, recharge, and other data on over 2,000 wells and facilities within and outside OCWD boundaries (City of La Habra et al., 2017). Groundwater levels are managed within a safe basin operating range to protect the long-term sustainability of the OC Basin and to protect against land subsidence. OCWD regulates groundwater levels in the OC Basin by regulating the annual amount of pumping and setting the Basin Production Percentage (BPP) for the water year. As defined in the District Act, the BPP is the ratio of water produced from groundwater supplies within the district to all water produced within the district from both supplemental sources and groundwater within the district (OCWD, 2020). On a per agency basis including the City, the BPP is the total percentage amount of groundwater allowed to be produced towards that agency’s or city’s demand. For the City, the remaining percentage of potable water demand is achieved through MET water. 6.3.1 Historical Groundwater Production The City pumps groundwater through its 21 active operating groundwater wells. One of the City’s wells is currently offline but is being rehabilitated with goals to be completed by the end of 2021. The City has experienced relative stability in the groundwater volume pumped for the last five years (Table 6-4). Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-14 Table 6-4: Retail: Groundwater Volume Pumped DWR Submittal Table 6-1 Retail: Groundwater Volume Pumped Supplier does not pump groundwater. The supplier will not complete the table below. All or part of the groundwater described below is desalinated. Groundwater Type Location or Basin Name 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Alluvial Basin Orange County Groundwater Basin 24,722 24,357 21,327 25,505 25,591 TOTAL 24,722 24,357 21,327 25,505 25,591 NOTES: Source: MWDOC, 2020 6.3.2 Basin Characteristics The OC Basin underlies the northerly half of Orange County beneath broad lowlands. The OC Basin, managed by OCWD, covers an area of approximately 350 square miles, bordered by the Coyote and Chino Hills to the north, the Santa Ana Mountains to the northeast, and the Pacific Ocean to the southwest. The OC Basin boundary extends to the Orange County-Los Angeles Line to the northwest, where groundwater flows across the county line into the Central Groundwater Basin of Los Angeles County. A map of the OC Basin is shown on Figure 6-2. The total thickness of sedimentary rocks in the OC Basin is over 20,000 feet, with only the upper 2,000 to 4,000 feet containing fresh water. The OC Basin’s full volume is approximately 66 MAF. There are three major aquifer systems that have been subdivided by OCWD, the Shallow Aquifer System, the Principal Aquifer System, and the Deep Aquifer System. These three aquifer systems are hydraulically connected as groundwater is able to flow between each other through intervening aquitards or discontinuities in the aquitards. The Shallow Aquifer system occurs from the surface to approximately 250 feet below ground surface. Most of the groundwater from this aquifer system is pumped by small water systems for industrial and agricultural use. The Principal Aquifer system occurs at depths between 200 and 1,300 feet below ground surface. Over 90% of groundwater production is from wells that are screened within the Principal Aquifer system. Only a minor amount of groundwater is pumped from the Deep Aquifer system, which underlies the Principal Aquifer system and is up to 2,000 feet deep in the center of the OC Basin. Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are a group of thousands of manmade chemicals that includes perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) and perfluorooctane sulfonate (PFOS). PFAS compounds were once commonly used in many products including, among many others, stain- and water-repellent fabrics, nonstick products (e.g., Teflon), polishes, waxes, paints, cleaning products, and fire-fighting foams. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-15 Beginning in the summer of 2019, the California State Division of Drinking Water (DDW) began requiring testing for PFAS compounds in some groundwater production wells in the OCWD area. Groundwater production in FY 2019-20 was expected to be approximately 325,000 AF but declined to 286,550 AF primarily due to PFAS impacted wells being turned off around February 2020. OCWD expects groundwater production to be in the area of 245,000 AF in FY 2020-21 due to the currently idled wells and additional wells being impacted by PFAS and turned off. As PFAS treatment systems are constructed, OCWD expects total annual groundwater production to slowly increase back to normal levels (310,000 to 330,000 AF) (OCWD, 2020). Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-16 Figure 6-2: Map of the OC Basin Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-17 6.3.3 Sustainable Groundwater Management Act In 2014, the State of California adopted the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) to help manage its groundwater sustainably, and limit adverse effects such as significant groundwater-level declines, land subsidence, and water quality degradation. SGMA requires all high- and medium-priority basins, as designated by DWR, be sustainably managed. DWR designated the non-adjudicated Coastal Plain of OC Basin (“Basin 8-1” or “Basin”) as a medium-priority basin, primarily due to heavy reliance on the Basin’s groundwater as a source of water supply. Compliance with SGMA can be achieved in one of two ways: 1) A Groundwater Sustainability Agency (GSA) is formed, and a Groundwater Sustainability Plan (GSP) is adopted, or 2) Special Act Districts created by statute, such as OCWD, and other agencies may prepare and submit an Alternative to a GSP (City of La Habra et al., 2017) The agencies within Basin 8-1, led by OCWD collaborated to submit an Alternative to a GSP in 2017, titled the “Basin 8-1 Alternative” to meet SGMA compliance. This document will be updated every five years. The current (2017) version is included in Appendix G. 6.3.4 Basin Production Percentage Background The OC Basin is not adjudicated and as such, pumping from the OC Basin is managed through a process that uses financial incentives to encourage groundwater producers to pump a sustainable amount of water. The framework for the financial incentives is based on establishing the BPP, the percentage of each Producer’s total water supply that comes from groundwater pumped from the OC Basin. Groundwater production at or below the BPP is assessed the Replenishment Assessment (RA). While there is no legal limit as to how much an agency pumps from the OC Basin, there is a financial disincentive to pump above the BPP. The BPP is set uniformly for all Producers by OCWD on an annual basis. Agencies that pump above the BPP are charged the RA plus the Basin Equity Assessment (BEA). The BEA is presently calculated so that the cost of groundwater production is equivalent to the cost of importing potable water supplies. This approach serves to discourage, but not eliminate, production above the BPP, and the BEA can be increased to discourage production above the BPP if necessary. The BPP is set based on groundwater conditions, availability of imported water supplies, and Basin management objectives. The supplies available for recharge must be estimated for a given year. The supplies of recharge water that are estimated are: 1) Santa Ana River stormflow, 2) Natural incidental recharge, 3) Santa Ana River baseflow, 4) GWRS supplies, and 5) other supplies such as imported water and recycled water purchased for the Alamitos Barrier. The BPP is a major factor in determining the cost of groundwater production from the OC Basin for that year. The BPP set for Water Year 2021-22 is 77%. BPP Adjustments for Basin Management OCWD has established management guidelines that are used to establish future BPPs, as seen in Table 6-5. Raising or lowering the BPP allows OCWD to manage the amount of pumping from the basin. OCWD has a policy to manage the groundwater basin within a sustainable range to avoid adverse impacts to the basin. OCWD seeks to maintain some available storage space in the basin to maximize surface water Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-18 recharge when such supplies are available, especially in relatively wet years. By keeping the basin relatively full during wet years, and for as long as possible in years with near-normal recharge, the maximum amount of groundwater could be maintained in storage to support pumping in future drought conditions. During dry hydrologic years when less water would be available for recharge, the BPP could be lowered to maintain groundwater storage levels. A component of OCWD’s BPP policy is to manage the groundwater basin so that the BPP will not fluctuate more that 5 percent from year to year. Based on most recent modeling of water supplies available for groundwater recharge and water demand forecasts, OCWD anticipates being able to sustain the BPP at 85% starting in 2025. The primary reasons for the higher BPP are the expected completion of the GWRS Final Expansion (GWRSFE) in 2023 and the relatively low water demands of approximately 400,000 AFY. Modeling and forecasts generate estimates based on historical averages. Consequently, forecasts use average hydrologic conditions which smooth the dynamic and unpredictable local hydrology. Variations in local hydrology are the most significant impact to supplies of water available to recharge the groundwater basin.The BPP projection of 85% is provided based upon average annual rainfall weather patterns. If the City were to experience a relatively dry period, the BPP could be reduced to maintain water storage levels, by as much as five percent. Table 6-5: Management Actions Based on Changes in Groundwater Storage Available Storage Space (amount below full basin condition, AF) Considered Basin Management Action Less than 100,000 Raise BPP 100,000 to 300,000 Maintain and / or raise BPP towards 75% goal 300,000 to 350,000 Seek additional supplies to refill basin and / or lower the BPP Greater than 350,000 Seek additional supplies to refill basin and lower the BPP BPP Exemptions In some cases, OCWD encourages pumping and treating groundwater that does not meet drinking water standards in order to protect water quality. This is achieved by using a financial incentive called the BEA Exemption. A BEA Exemption is used to promote beneficial uses of poor-quality groundwater and reduce or prevent the spread of poor-quality groundwater into non-degraded aquifer zones. OCWD uses a partial or total exemption of the BEA to compensate a qualified participating agency or Producer for the costs of treating poor quality groundwater, which typically include capital, interest and operations and maintenance costs for treatment facilities. When OCWD authorizes a BEA exemption for a project, it is obligated to provide the replenishment water for the production above the BPP and forgo the BEA revenue that OCWD would otherwise receive from the producer (City of La Habra et al., 2017). Similarly, for proactive water quality management, OCWD exempts a portion of the BEA for their Coastal Pumping Transfer Program (CPTP). The CPTP encourages inland groundwater producers to increase pumping and coastal producers to decrease pumping in order to reduce the groundwater basin drawdown Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-19 at the coast and protect against seawater intrusion. Inland pumpers can pump above the BPP without having to pay the full BEA for the amount pumped above the BPP (OCWD, 2015). Coastal pumpers receive BEA revenue from OCWD to assist in offsetting their additional water supply cost from taking less groundwater. 6.3.4.1 2020 OCWD Groundwater Reliability Plan In order to adapt to the substantial growth in water demands in OCWD’s management area, it is paramount to anticipate and understand future water demands and develop projects to increase future water supplies proactively to match demands. The GRP is a continuation of these planning efforts that estimates the OC Basin’s sustainable average annual production and extrapolates water needs of the OC Basin by combining recently completed water demand projections and modeling of Santa Ana River flows available for recharge. These data will be used to evaluate future water supply projects and guide management of the OC Basin. OCWD is currently developing the GRP, and the first public draft is expected to be available May 2021. Current water demand projections show a relatively slow increase over the 25-year planning horizon, which is generally of similar magnitude as the additional production from the GWRSFE in early 2023. Once complete, the GWRSFE will increase capacity from 100,000 to 134,000 AFY of high-quality recycled water. This locally controlled, drought proof supply of water reduces the region’s dependance on imported water. Historically, the Santa Ana River has served as the primary source of water to recharge the OC Basin. To determine the availability of future Santa Ana River flows, OCWD utilized surface water flow modeling of the upper watershed. Modeling was developed to predict the impacts future stormwater capture and wastewater recycling projects in the upper watershed would have on future Santa Ana River flow rates at Prado Dam. Santa Ana River base flows are expected to decrease as more water recycling projects are built in the upper watershed. OCWD continues to work closely with the US Army Corps of Engineers to temporarily impound and slowly release up to approximately 20,000 AF of stormwater in the Prado Dam Conservation Pool. To some extent, the losses in baseflow are partially offset through the capture of additional stormwater held in the Prado Dam Conservation Pool. When available, OCWD will continue to augment groundwater recharge through the purchase of imported water through MET. OCWD will diligently monitor and evaluate future water supply projects to sustainably manage and protect the OC Basin for future generations. 6.3.4.2 OCWD Engineer’s Report The OCWD Engineer’s Report reports on the groundwater conditions and investigates information related to water supply and groundwater basin usage within OCWD’s service area. The overall BPP achieved in the 2019 to 2020 water year within OCWD for non-irrigation use was 75.9%. The achieved pumping was less than the BPP established for the 2019 to 2020 water year primarily due to the water quality impacts of PFAS. As indicated in Section 6.3.4, a BPP of 77% was established for water year 2021-22. Analysis of the groundwater basin’s projected accumulated overdraft, the available supplies to the OC Basin (assuming average hydrology) and the projected pumping demands indicate that this level of pumping can be sustained for 2021-22 without detriment to the OC Basin (OCWD, 2021). Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-20 In FY 2021-22 additional production of approximately 22,000 AF above the BPP will be undertaken by the City of Tustin, City of Garden Grove, City of Huntington Beach, Mesa Water District, and IRWD. These agencies use the additional pumping allowance in order to accommodate groundwater quality improvement projects. As in prior years, production above the BPP from these projects would be partially or fully exempt from the BEA as a result of the benefit provided to the OC Basin by removing poor-quality groundwater and treating it for beneficial use (OCWD, 2021). 6.3.5 Recharge Management Recharging water into the OC Basin through natural and artificial means is essential to support pumping from the OC Basin. Active recharge of groundwater began in 1949, in response to increasing drawdown of the OC Basin and, consequently, the threat of seawater intrusion. The OC Basin’s primary source of recharge is flow from the Santa Ana River, which is diverted into recharge basins and its main Orange County tributary, Santiago Creek. Other sources of recharge water include natural infiltration, recycled water, and imported water. Natural recharge consists of subsurface inflow from local hills and mountains, infiltration of precipitation and irrigation water, recharge in small flood control channels, and groundwater underflow to and from Los Angeles County and the ocean. Recycled water for the OC Basin recharge is from two sources. The main source of recycled water is from the GWRS, which is injected into the Talbert Seawater Barrier and recharged in the Kraemer, Miller and Miraloma Basins (City of La Habra et al., 2017). The second source of recycled water is water purified at the Water Replenishment District’s Leo J. Vander Lans Treatment Facility, which supplies water to the Alamitos Seawater Barrier (owned and operated by the Los Angeles County Department of Public Works). OCWD’s share of the Alamitos Barrier injection total for water year 2018-19 was less than half of the total injection, based on barrier wells located within Orange County. The Water Replenishment District of Southern California (WRD) also works closely with OCWD to ensure that the water demands at the Alamitos Barrier are fulfilled through the use of recycled water as opposed to imported water, however the recycled portion was less than 33% for the last six years due to operational issues and wastewater supply interruptions (OCWD, 2020a). Injection of recycled water into these barriers is an effort by OCWD to control seawater intrusion into the OC Basin. Operation of the injection wells forms a hydraulic barrier to seawater intrusion. OCWD purchases imported water for recharge from MWDOC. Untreated imported water can be used to recharge the OC Basin through the surface water recharge system in multiple locations, such as Anaheim Lake, Santa Ana River, Irvine Lake, and San Antonio Creek. Treated imported water can be used for in-lieu recharge, as was performed extensively from 1977 to 2007 (City of La Habra et al., 2017). For detailed recharge management efforts from OCWD, refer to OCWD’s 2017 “Basin 8-1 Alternative Plan” (Appendix G). 6.3.6 MET Groundwater Replenishment Program In the past, OCWD, MWDOC, and MET have coordinated water management to increase storage in the OC Basin when imported supplies are available for this purpose. MET’s groundwater replenishment program was discontinued on January 1, 2013, and currently MET via MWDOC sells replenishment water to OCWD at the full service untreated MET rate. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-21 MWDOC’s imported water sales to OCWD since FY 1990-91 averages approximately 31,200 AF per year. Recently, due to low Santa Ana River flows as a result of low precipitation and increased use along the river, OCWD has needed to purchase more imported replenishment water per year than the average of 31,200 AFY over the last 25 years (this does not include water amounts from MET’s Conjunctive Use Program (CUP) or its Cyclic Storage Account). However, with the emergence of PFAS affecting groundwater production, the need to purchase imported water has been temporary suspended. Until PFAS treatment is in place for most groundwater producers in the region, imported replenishment water will be significantly reduced. 6.3.7 MET Conjunctive Use Program / Cyclic Storage Program with OCWD Since 2004, OCWD, MWDOC, and certain groundwater producers have participated in MET’s CUP. This program allows for the storage of MET water in the OC Basin. The existing MET program provides storage up to 66,000 AF of water in the OC Basin to be pumped by participating producers in place of receiving imported supplies during water shortage events in exchange for MET’s contribution to improvements in basin management facilities and an annual administrative fee. These improvements include eight new groundwater production wells, improvements to the seawater intrusion barrier, and construction of the Diemer Bypass Pipeline. The water is accounted for via the CUP program administered by the wholesale agencies and is controlled by MET such that it can be withdrawn over a three-year time period (OCWD, 2020). As of 2021, the CUP has not been in use since 2014. The CUP contract ends in 2028. The Cyclic Storage account is an alternative storage account with MET. However, unlike the CUP program, OCWD controls when the water is used. The Cyclic Water Storage Program allows MET to store water in a local groundwater basin during surplus conditions, where MET has limited space in its regional storage locations. Once the water is stored via direct delivery or In-lieu the groundwater agency has the ability to purchase this water at a future date or over a 5-year period. 6.3.8 Overdraft Conditions Annual groundwater basin overdraft, as defined in OCWD's Act, is the quantity by which production of groundwater supplies exceeds natural replenishment of groundwater supplies during a water year. This difference between extraction and replenishment can be estimated by determining the change in volume of groundwater in storage that would have occurred had supplemental water not been used for any groundwater recharge purpose, including seawater intrusion protection, advanced water reclamation, and the in-Lieu Program. The annual analysis of basin storage change and accumulated overdraft for water year 2019-20 has been completed. Based on the three-layer methodology, an accumulated overdraft of 200,000 AF was calculated for the water year ending June 30, 2020. The accumulated overdraft for the water year ending June 30, 2019 was 236,000 AF, which was also calculated using the three-layer storage method. Therefore, an annual increase of 36,000 AF in stored groundwater was calculated as the difference between the June 2019 and June 2020 accumulated overdrafts (OCWD, 2021). Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-22 6.3.9 Planned Future Sources The City plans to build two new future wells, build three new wells at existing sites, and rehabilitate two wells to ensure reliable local groundwater and continued drinking water safety. These well projects are further described in Section 6.9. On a regional scale, OCWD regularly evaluates potential projects and conducts studies to improve the existing facilities and build new facilities to include in their Long-Term Facilities Plans (LTFP). OCWD’s 2014 LTFP evaluated 65 potential projects for water supply, basin management, recharge facilities, operational improvements, and operational efficiency. Some of OCWD’s planned water projects that would increase supply are listed below. For a more detailed list of projects, refer to the 2014 LTFP (OCWD). GWRSFE – The Final Expansion of the GWRS is currently underway and is the third and final phase of the project. When the Final Expansion is completed in early 2023, the plant’s treatment capacity will increase from 100 to 130 MGD. To produce 130 MGD, additional treated wastewater from Orange County Sanitation District (OC San)’s Treatment Plant 2 is required. This recycled water represents a high quality, drought-proof source of water to protect and enhance the OC Basin. The Final Expansion project will include expanding the existing GWRS treatment facilities, constructing new conveyance facilities at OC San Plant 2, and rehabilitating an existing pipeline between OC San Plant 2 and the GWRS. Once completed, the GWRS plant will recycle 100% of OC San’s reclaimable sources and produce enough water to meet the needs of over one million people. Forecast Informed Reservoir Operations (FIRO) at Prado Dam – Stormwater represents a significant source of water used by OCWD to recharge the OC Basin. Much of this recharge is made possible by the capture of Santa Ana River stormflows behind Prado Dam in the Conservation Pool. FIRO represents the next generation of operating water reservoirs using the best available technology. Advances in weather and stormwater runoff forecasting hold promise to allow USACE to safety impound more stormwater while maintaining equivalent flood risk management capability behind Prado Dam. Preliminary modeling show that by expanding the Conservation Pool from elevation 505 to 512 ft msl, annual recharge to the groundwater basin could increase by as much as 4,500 to 7,000 AFY. Surface Water 6.4.1 Existing Sources There are, currently, no direct surface water uses in the City’s service area. 6.4.2 Planned Future Sources As of 2021, there are no planned direct uses of surface water in the City’s service area. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-23 Stormwater 6.5.1 Existing Sources There are, currently, no direct stormwater uses in the City’s Service area. 6.5.2 Planned Future Sources As of 2021, there are no planned stormwater uses in the City’s service area. Wastewater and Recycled Water The City is directly involved in wastewater services through its ownership and operation of the wastewater collection system in its service area. However, the City does not own or operate wastewater treatment facilities. The sewer system service area encompasses about 27.2 square miles and includes approximately 390 miles of sewer main. The wastewater system serves about 335,605 residents (Santa Ana’s Sewer Master Plan, 2016). For additional details on the City’s wastewater services, refer to the 2016 Santa Ana Sewer Master Plan. Recycled water is wastewater that is treated through primary, secondary, and tertiary processes and is acceptable for most non-potable water purposes such as irrigation, and commercial and industrial process water per Title 22 requirements. Recycled water opportunities have continued to grow in Southern California as public acceptance and the need to expand local water resources continues to be a priority. Recycled water also provides a degree of flexibility and added reliability during drought conditions when imported water supplies are restricted. The City is indirectly involved in recycled water production, through its supply of wastewater for IPR. The following sections expand on the existing agency collaboration involved in these efforts as well as the City’s projected recycled water use over the next 25 years. 6.6.1 Agency Coordination The City does not own or operate wastewater treatment facilities and sends all collected wastewater to Orange County Sanitation District (OC San) for treatment and disposal. OC San provides treated water to OCWD, the manager of the Orange County Groundwater Basin. OCWD strives to maintain and increase the reliability of the Orange County Groundwater Basin through replenishment with imported water, stormwater, and advanced treated wastewater. A full description of the Orange County Groundwater Basin is available in Section 6.3.2. OCWD and OC San have jointly constructed and expanded two water recycling projects to meet this goal including: 1) OCWD GAP, and 2) OCWD GWRS. 6.6.1.1 OCWD Green Acres Project OCWD owns and operates the GAP, a water recycling system that provides up to 8,400 AFY of recycled water for irrigation and industrial uses. GAP provides an alternate source of water that is mainly delivered to parks, golf courses, greenbelts, cemeteries, and nurseries in the cities of Costa Mesa, Fountain Valley, Newport Beach, and Santa Ana. OCWD produces and distributes GAP water for purchase by the City, which sells and distributes the water to recycled water customers. Approximately 100 sites use Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-24 GAP water, current recycled water users include Mile Square Park and Golf Courses in Fountain Valley, Costa Mesa Country Club, Chroma Systems carpet dyeing, Kaiser Permanente, and Caltrans. The City maintains an agreement with OCWD to supply GAP water to customers where available. 6.6.1.2 OCWD Groundwater Replenishment System OCWD’s GWRS allows Southern California to decrease its dependency on imported water and creates a local and reliable source of water. OCWD’s GWRS purifies secondary treated wastewater from OC San to levels that meet and exceed all state and federal drinking water standards. The GWRS Phase 1 plant has been operational since January 2008 and uses a three-step advanced treatment process consisting of microfiltration (MF), reverse osmosis (RO), and ultraviolet (UV) light with hydrogen peroxide. A portion of the treated water is injected into the seawater barrier to prevent seawater intrusion into the groundwater basin. The other portion of the water is pumped to ponds where the water percolates into deep aquifers and becomes part of Orange County’s water supply. The treatment process described on OCWD’s website is provided below (OCWD, GWRS, 2020). The GWRS first began operating in 2008 producing 70 million gallons of water per day (MGD) and in 2015, it underwent a 30 MGD expansion. Approximately 39,200 AFY of the highly purified water is pumped into the injection wells and 72,900 AFY is pumped to the percolation ponds in the City of Anaheim where the water is naturally filtered through sand and gravel to deep aquifers of the groundwater basin. The Orange County Groundwater Basin provides approximately 72% of the potable water supply for north and central Orange County. The design and construction of the first phase (78,500 AFY) of the GWRS project was jointly funded by OCWD and OC San; Phase 2 expansion (33,600 AFY) was funded solely by OCWD. The Final Expansion of the GWRS is currently underway and is the third and final phase of the project. When the Final Expansion is completed in 2023, the plant will produce 130 MGD. To produce 130 MGD, additional treated wastewater from OC San is required. This additional water will come from OC San’s Treatment Plant 2, which is in the City of Huntington Beach approximately 3.5 miles south of the GWRS. The Final Expansion project will include expanding the existing GWRS treatment facilities, constructing new conveyance facilities at OC San Plant 2 and rehabilitating an existing pipeline between OC San Plant 2 and the GWRS. Once completed, the GWRS plant will recycle 100% of OC San’s reclaimable sources and produce enough water to meet the needs of over one million people. 6.6.2 Wastewater Description and Disposal The City operates and maintains the local sewer system consisting of over 390 miles of pipeline, 7,630 manholes, and two lift stations that connect to OC San's trunk system to convey wastewater to OC San's treatment plants. OC San has an extensive system of gravity flow sewers, pump stations, and pressurized sewers. Collected wastewater is sent to OC San's plants located in the Cities of Huntington Beach and Fountain Valley. OC San’s Plant No. 1 in Fountain Valley has a capacity of 320 million gallons per day (MGD) and Plant No. 2 in Huntington Beach has a capacity of 312 MGD. Both plants share a common ocean outfall, but Plant No. 1 currently provides all its secondary treated wastewater to OCWD’s GWRS for beneficial reuse. The 120-inch diameter ocean outfall extends 4 miles off the coast of Huntington Beach. A 78-inch diameter emergency outfall also extends 1.3 miles off the coast. Table 6-6 summarizes the wastewater collected by the City and transported to OC San's system in 2020. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-25 Table 6-6: Retail: Wastewater Collected Within Service Area in 2020 DWR Submittal Table 6-2 Retail: Wastewater Collected Within Service Area in 2020 There is no wastewater collection system. The supplier will not complete the table below. Percentage of 2020 service area covered by wastewater collection system (optional) Percentage of 2020 service area population covered by wastewater collection system (optional) Wastewater Collection Recipient of Collected Wastewater Name of Wastewater Collection Agency Wastewater Volume Metered or Estimated? Volume of Wastewater Collected from UWMP Service Area 2020 Name of Wastewater Treatment Agency Receiving Collected Wastewater Treatment Plant Name Is WWTP Located Within UWMP Area? Is WWTP Operation Contracted to a Third Party? (optional) Add additional rows as needed City of Santa Ana Estimated 21,768 OC San Plant No. 1 / Plant No. 2 No No Total Wastewater Collected from Service Area in 2020: 21,768 NOTES: Assumed a return rate of 65% (City of Santa Ana, 2015) Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-26 6.6.3 Current Recycled Water Uses The City provides OCWD GAP recycled water to the southern part of the City. In FY 2019-20, approximately 249 AF of GAP water was used in the City’s service area. The current users/uses of recycled water are as follows:  Centennial Park and Soccer Fields  Bomo Koral Park  Flower Street Bike Trail  McFadden Intermediate School  Adams Park  Chroma Systems- Carpet Dyeing  Chroma Systems- Landscape  Kaiser Medical Office Landscape  Chick-fil-A Landscape  Santa Ana River Trail Landscape  Godinez High School Landscape  MacArthur Boulevard Median Landscape  Bear Street Median Landscape  Thornton Park  Harbor Boulevard Median Landscape  Santa Ana Valley High School Sports Complex Landscape Griset Park South Coast Park Plaza For indirect use, the City also benefits from OCWD’s GWRS system that provides IPR through replenishment of Orange County Groundwater Basin with water that meets state and federal drinking water standards. 6.6.4 Projected Recycled Water Uses The City will continue to receive recycled water from GAP and supply it to the various landscape irrigation sites mentioned in Section 9. The City will continue to supply wastewater to support the region’s IPR via GWRS. Current and projected recycled water use through 2045 are shown in Table 6-7 and are expected to remain constant. Although the 2015 UWMP acknowledged IPR of wastewater, it did not quantify projections. These projections will be prepared moving forward. The projected 2020 recycled water use from the City's 2015 UWMP are compared to the 2020 actual use in Table 6-8, where the actual use is slightly less than the projected. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-27 Table 6-7: Retail: Recycled Water Direct Beneficial Uses Within Service Area DWR Submittal Table 6-4 Retail: Recycled Water Direct Beneficial Uses Within Service Area Recycled water is not used and is not planned for use within the service area of the supplier. The supplier will not complete the table below. Name of Supplier Producing (Treating) the Recycled Water: Name of Supplier Operating the Recycled Water Distribution System: Supplemental Water Added in 2020 (volume)Include units Source of 2020 Supplemental Water Beneficial Use Type Potential Beneficial Uses of Recycled Water (Describe) Amount of Potential Uses of Recycled Water (Quantity) General Description of 2020 Uses Level of Treatment 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 (opt) Landscape irrigation (excludes golf courses) 249 AF Parks, street medians, institutional and commercial landscapes Tertiary 249 249 249 249 249 249 Total:249 249 249 249 249 249 *IPR - Indirect Potable Reuse NOTES: Table does not include groundwater recharge (IPR) numbers as they are not separate from OCWD's supply Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-28 Table 6-8: Retail: 2015 UWMP Recycled Water Use Projection Compared to 2020 Actual DWR Submittal Table 6-5 Retail: 2015 UWMP Recycled Water Use Projection Compared to 2020 Actual Recycled water was not used in 2015 nor projected for use in 2020. The Supplier will not complete the table below. Use Type 2015 Projection for 2020 2020 Actual Use Landscape irrigation (excludes golf courses) 320 249 Groundwater recharge (IPR) N/A 8,528 Total 320 8,777 NOTES: Groundwater recharge (IPR) estimated based on OCWD Groundwater Basin Production x Percent of Total Basin Production for 2020 (33.3%) 6.6.5 Potential Recycled Water Uses Potential recycled water users are locations where recycled water could replace potable water use. Since OCWD is limited in GAP plant capacity, additional users do not exist at the time and the City does not expect additional GAP use in the future. However, the City will continue to convey its wastewater to OC San's regional treatment facilities where the wastewater is treated and recycled for IPR. 6.6.6 Optimization Plan Studies of water recycling opportunities within Southern California provide a context for promoting the development of water recycling plans. It is recognized that broad public acceptance of recycled water requires continued education and public involvement. Currently, most of the recycled water available is being directed toward replenishment of the groundwater basin and improvements in groundwater quality. As a user of groundwater, the City supports the efforts of OCWD and OC San to use recycled water as a primary resource for groundwater recharge in Orange County. Financial Incentives The implementation of recycled water projects involves a substantial upfront capital investment for planning studies, Environmental Impact Reports (EIR), engineering design and construction before there is any recycled water to market. In some cases, these capital costs exceed the short-term expense of purchasing additional imported water supplies from MET. The establishment of new supplemental funding sources through federal, state, and regional programs now provides significant financial incentives for water agencies to develop and make use of recycled water locally. Potential sources of funding include federal, state, and local funding opportunities. These funding sources include the U.S. Department of Interior Bureau of Reclamation (USBR), California Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-29 Proposition 13 Water Bond, Proposition 84 and MET LRP. These funding opportunities may be sought by the City or possibly more appropriately by regional agencies. The City will continue to support seeking funding for regional water recycling projects and programs. Optimizing Recycled Water Use In Orange County, recycled water is used for irrigating golf courses, parks, schools, businesses, and communal landscaping, as well as for groundwater recharge. Recycled water users in the City receive their water from OCWD’s GAP. Analyses have indicated that present worth costs to expand recycled water within other areas of the City are not cost effective as compared to purchasing imported water from MET or using groundwater. The City will continue to conduct feasibility studies for recycled water and seek out creative solutions such as funding, regulatory requirements, institutional arrangement, and public acceptance for recycled water use with OCWD, MET, and other cooperative agencies. Desalination Opportunities In 2001, MET developed a Seawater Desalination Program (SDP) to provide incentives for developing new seawater desalination projects in MET’s service area. In 2014, MET modified the provisions of their LRP to include incentives for locally produced seawater desalination projects that reduce the need for imported supplies. To qualify for the incentive, proposed projects must replace an existing demand or prevent new demand on MET’s imported water supplies. In return, MET offers three incentive formulas under the program:  Sliding scale incentive up to $340 per AF for a 25-year agreement term, depending on the unit cost of seawater produced compared to the cost of MET supplies.  Sliding scale incentive up to $475 per AF for a 15-year agreement term, depending on the unit cost of seawater produced compared to the cost of MET supplies.  Fixed incentive up to $305 per AF for a 25-year agreement term. Developing local supplies within MET's service area is part of their IRP goal of improving water supply reliability in the region. Creating new local supplies reduce pressure on imported supplies from the SWP and Colorado River. On May 6th, 2015, the SWRCB approved an amendment to the state’s Water Quality Control Plan for the Ocean Waters of California (California Ocean Plan) to address effects associated with the construction and operation of seawater desalination facilities (Desalination Amendment). The amendment supports the use of ocean water as a reliable supplement to traditional water supplies while protecting marine life and water quality. The California Ocean Plan now formally acknowledges seawater desalination as a beneficial use of the Pacific Ocean and the Desalination Amendment provides a uniform, consistent process for permitting seawater desalination facilities statewide. If the following projects are developed, MET's imported water deliveries to Orange County could be reduced. These projects include the Huntington Beach Seawater Desalination Project and the Doheny Desalination Project. As for City-led initiatives, the City has not investigated seawater desalination as a result of economic and physical impediments. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-30 Brackish groundwater is groundwater with a salinity higher than freshwater, but lower than seawater. Brackish groundwater typically requires treatment using desalters. 6.7.1 Ocean Water Desalination Huntington Beach Seawater Desalination Project – Poseidon Resources LLC (Poseidon), a private company, is developing the Huntington Beach Seawater Desalination Project to be co-located at the AES Power Plant in the City of Huntington Beach along Pacific Coast Highway and Newland Street. The proposed project would produce up to 50 MGD (56,000 AFY) of drinking water to provide approximately 10% of Orange County’s water supply needs. Over the past several years, Poseidon has been working with OCWD on the general terms and conditions for selling the water to OCWD. OCWD and MWDOC have proposed a few distribution options to agencies in Orange County. The northern option proposes the water be distributed to the northern agencies closer to the plant within OCWD’s service area with the possibility of recharging/injecting a portion of the product water into the OC Basin. The southern option builds on the northern option by delivering a portion of the product water through the existing OC-44 pipeline for conveyance to the south Orange County water agencies. A third option is also being explored, which includes all of the product water to be recharged into the OC Basin. Currently, a combination of these options could be pursued. The Huntington Beach Seawater Desalination project plant capacity of 56,000 AFY would be the single largest source of new, local drinking water available to the region. In addition to offsetting imported demand, water from this project could provide OCWD with management flexibility in the OC Basin by augmenting supplies into the Talbert Seawater Barrier to prevent seawater intrusion. In May 2015, OCWD and Poseidon entered into a non-binding Term Sheet that provided the overall partner structure in order to advance the project. Based on the initial Term Sheet, which was updated in 2018, Poseidon would be responsible for permitting, financing, design, construction, and operations of the treatment plant while OCWD would purchase the production volume, assuming the product water quality and quantity meet specific contract parameters and criteria. Furthermore, OCWD would then distribute the water in Orange County using one of the proposed distribution options described above. Currently, the project is in the regulatory permit approval process with the Regional Water Quality Control Board and the California Coastal Commission. Once all of the required permits are approved, Poseidon will then work with OCWD and interested member agencies in developing a plan to distribute the water. Subsequent to the regulatory permit approval process, and agreement with interested parties, Poseidon estimates that the project could be online as early as 2027. Under guidance provided by DWR, the Huntington Beach Seawater Desalination Plant’s projected water supplies are not included in the supply projections due to its current status within the criteria established by State guidelines (DWR, 2020c). Doheny Desalination Project – South Coast Water District (SCWD) is proposing to develop an ocean water desalination facility in Dana Point. SCWD intends to construct a facility with an initial capacity of up to 5 million gallons per day (MGD). The initial up to 5 MGD capacity would be available for SCWD and potential partnering water agencies to provide a high quality, locally-controlled, drought-proof water supply. The desalination facility would also provide emergency backup water supplies, should an earthquake, system shutdown, or other event disrupt the delivery of imported water to the area. The Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-31 Project would consist of a subsurface slant well intake system (constructed within Doheny Beach State Park), raw (sea) water conveyance to the desalination facility site (located on SCWD owned property), a seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) desalination facility, brine disposal through an existing wastewater ocean outfall, solids handling facilities, storage, and potable water conveyance interties to adjacent local and regional distribution infrastructure. The Doheny Ocean Desalination Project has been determined as the best water supply option to meet reliability needs of SCWD and south Orange County. SCWD is pursuing the Project to ensure it meets the water use needs of its customers and the region by providing a drought-proof potable water supply, which diversifies SCWD’s supply portfolio and protects against long-term imported water emergency outages and supply shortfalls that could have significant impact to our coastal communities, public health, and local economy. Phase I of the Project (aka, the “Local” Project) will provide SCWD and the region with up to 5 MGD of critical potable water supply that, together with recycled water, groundwater, and conservation, will provide the majority of SCWD’s water supply through local reliable sources. An up to 15 MGD capacity project has been identified as a potential future “regional” project that could be phased incrementally, depending on regional needs. On June 27, 2019, SCWD certified the final EIR and approved the Project. The Final EIR included considerable additional information provided at the request of the Coastal Commission and the Regional Board, including an updated coastal hazard analysis, updated brine discharge modeling, and updated groundwater modeling, updated hydrology analysis. The approval of the Project also included a commitment to 100 percent carbon neutrality through a 100 percent offset of emissions through the expansion of Project mitigation and use of renewable energy sources. SCWD is currently in the permitting process and finalizing additional due diligence studies. If implemented, SCWD anticipates an online date of 2025. Under guidance provided by DWR, the Doheny Seawater Desalination Project’s projected water supplies are not included in the supply projections due to its current status within the criteria established by State guidelines (DWR, 2020c). 6.7.2 Groundwater Desalination There are currently no brackish groundwater opportunities within the City’s service area. Water Exchanges and Transfers Interconnections with other agencies result in the ability to share water supplies during short term emergency situations or planned shutdowns of major imported water systems. However, beyond short term outages, transfers can also be involved with longer term water exchanges to deal with droughts or water allocation situations. The following subsections describe the City’s existing and planned exchanges and transfers. 6.8.1 Existing Exchanges and Transfers Interconnections with other agencies result in the ability to share water supplies during short term emergency situations or planned shutdowns of major imported systems. The City maintains seven connections to MET's system and nine emergency connections with surrounding agencies, including the Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-32 Cities of Costa Mesa, Fountain Valley, Garden Grove, Orange, Tustin, and Southern California Water Company. These connections can provide a total supply of 60,580 gpm into the City's distribution system. The MET connections are typically operating as constant flow sources. 6.8.2 Planned and Potential Exchanges and Transfers The City does not currently have plans to introduce new exchanges and transfers. However, MET continues to help its retail agencies develop transfer and exchange opportunities that promote reliability within their systems. Therefore, MET will look to help its retail agencies navigate the operational and administrative issues of transfers within the MET distribution system. In an indirect regional scale, the Santa Ana River Conservation and Conjunctive Use Project (SARCCUP) is a joint project established by five regional water agencies within the Santa Ana River Watershed (Eastern Municipal Water District, Inland Empire Utilities Agency, Western Municipal Water District, OCWD, and San Bernardino Valley Municipal Water District). In 2016, SARCCUP was successful in receiving $55 million in grant funds from Proposition 84 through DWR. The overall SARCCUP program awarded by Proposition 84, consists of three main program elements:  Watershed-Scale Cooperative Water Banking Program  Water Use Efficiency: Landscape Design and Irrigation Improvements and Water Budget Assistance for Agencies  Habitat Creation and Arundo Donax Removal from the Santa Ana River The Watershed-Scale Cooperative Water Banking Program is the largest component of SARCCUP and since 2016, Valley, MET, and the four SARCCUP-MWD Member Agencies, with MWDOC representing OCWD, have been discussing terms and conditions for the ability to purchase surplus water from Valley to be stored in the Santa Ana River watershed. With the Valley and MET surplus water purchase agreement due for renewal, it was the desire of Valley to establish a new agreement with MET that allows a portion of its surplus water to be stored within the Santa Ana River watershed. An agreement between MET and four SARCCUP-MWD Member Agencies was approved earlier this year that gives the SARCCUP agencies the ability to purchase a portion (up to 50%) of the surplus water that San Bernardino Valley Municipal Water District (Valley), a SWP Contractor, sells to MET. Such water will be stored in local groundwater basins throughout the Santa Ana River watershed and extract during dry years to reduce the impacts from multiyear droughts. In Orange County, 36,000 AF can be stored in the OC Basin for use during dry years. More importantly, this stored SARCCUP water can be categorized as “extraordinary supplies”, if used during a MET allocation, and can enhance a participating agencies’ reliability during a drought. Moreover, if excess water is available MWDOC can purchase additional water for its service area. Further details remain to be developed between OCWD, retail agencies, and MWDOC in how the water will be distributed in Orange County and who participates. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-33 Summary of Future Water Projects The City continually reviews practices that will provide its customers with adequate and reliable supplies. Trained staff continue to ensure the water quality is safe and the water supply will meet present and future needs in an environmentally and economically responsible manner. Although the City has various projects planned to maintain and improve the water system (Section 6.9.1), there are currently no City-specific planned projects that have both a concrete timeline and a quantifiable increase in supply. 6.9.1 City Initiatives The City anticipates water demand in the City to remain relatively constant over the next 25 years. Any new water sources developed will primarily be to better manage the groundwater basin and replace or upgrade inefficient wells, rather than support population growth and new development. The projects that have been identified by the City to improve the City’s water supply reliability and enhance the operations of the City include major well rehabilitation and refurbishment, well casing rehabilitation, minor motor control center refurbishment, pump station rehabilitation, water main replacements, MET connection upgrades, emergency power projects, and miscellaneous improvements such as SCADA improvements. A Capital Improvement Program identified water projects to implement between FY 2017-18 through FY 2039-40. Those related to increasing the water supply are listed below – for a more detailed list of projects, refer to the City’s 2017 Water Master Plan (TetraTech, 2017). New Well Construction – The City has identified projects to build New Wells No. 1 and 2, as well as drill new wells for Wells No. 16, 22, and 24. These new wells will provide the City with further redundancy and allow the City to continue achieving pumping capacity for higher BPP rates. Major Well Rehabilitation – The City has identified projects for major well rehabilitation for Wells 29 and 32. 6.9.2 Regional Initiatives Beyond City-specific projects, the City consistently coordinates its long-term water shortage planning with MET and OCWD. MWDOC has identified the following future regional projects, some of which can indirectly benefit the City to further increase local supplies and offset imported supplies (CDM Smith, 2019): Poseidon Huntington Beach Ocean Desalination Project – Poseidon proposes to construct and operate the Huntington Beach Ocean Desalination Plant on a 12-acre parcel adjacent to the AES Huntington Beach Generating Station. The facility would have a capacity of 50 MGD and 56,000 AFY, with its main components consisting of a water intake system, a desalination facility, a concentrate disposal system, and a product water storage tank. This project would provide both system and supply reliability benefits to the SOC, the OC Basin, and Huntington Beach. The capital cost in the initial year for the plant is $1.22 billion. Doheny Ocean Desalination Project – SCWD is proposing to construct an ocean water desalination facility in Dana Point at Doheny State Beach. The facility would have an initial up to 5 MGD capacity, with the potential for future expansions up to 15 MGD. The project’s main components are a subsurface water Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-34 intake system, a raw ocean water conveyance pipeline, a desalination facility, a seawater reverse osmosis (SWRO) desalination facility, a brine disposal system, and a product water storage tank. San Juan Watershed Project – Santa Margarita Water District (SMWD) and other project partners have proposed a multi-phased project within the San Juan Creek Watershed to capture local stormwater and develop, convey, and recharge recycled water into the San Juan Groundwater Basin and treat the water upon pumping it out of the basin. The first phase includes the installation of three rubber dams within San Juan Creek to promote in-stream recharge of the basin, with an anticipated production of 700 AFY on average. The second phase would develop additional surface water and groundwater management practices by using stormwater and introducing recycled water for infiltration into the basin and has an anticipated production of 2,660 to 4,920 AFY. The third phase will introduce recycled water directly into San Juan Creek through live stream recharge, with an anticipated production of up to 2,660 AFY (SMWD, 2021). Cadiz Water Bank – SMWD and Cadiz, Inc. are developing this project to create a new water supply by conserving groundwater that is currently being lost to evaporation and recovering the conserved water by pumping it out of the Fenner Valley Groundwater Basin to convey to MET’s CRA. The project consists of a groundwater pumping component that includes an average of 50 TAFY of groundwater that can be pumped from the basin over a 50-year period, and a water storage component that allows participants to send surplus water supplies to be recharged in spreading basins and held in storage. South Orange County Emergency Interconnection Expansion – MWDOC has been working with the South Orange County (SOC) agencies on improvements for system reliability primarily due to the risk of earthquakes causing outages of the MET imported water system as well as extended grid outages. Existing regional interconnection agreements between IRWD and SOC agencies provides for the delivery of water through the IRWWD system to participating SOC agencies in times of emergency. MWDOC and IRWD are currently studying an expansion of the program, including the potential East Orange County Feeder No. 2 pipeline and an expanded and scalable emergency groundwater program, with a capital cost of $867,451. SARCCUP – SARCCUP is a joint project established between MET, MWDOC, Eastern MWD, Western MWD, Inland Empire Utilities Agency, and OCWD that can provide significant benefits in the form of additional supplies during dry years for Orange County. Surplus SWP water from San Bernardino Valley Water District (SBVMWD) can be purchased and stored for use during dry years. This water can even be considered an extraordinary supply under MET allocation Plan, if qualified under MET’s extraordinary supply guidelines. OCWD has the ability to store 36,000 AF of SARCCUP water and if excess water is available MWDOC has the ability to purchase additional water. Further details remain to be developed between OCWD, retail agencies, and MWDOC in how the water will be distributed in Orange County and who participates. Moulton Niquel Water District (MNWD) / OCWD Pilot Storage Program - OCWD entered into an agreement with MNWD to develop a pilot program to explore the opportunity to store water in the OC Basin. The purpose of such a storage account would provide MNWD water during emergencies and/or provide additional water during dry periods. As part of the agreement, OCWD hired consultants to evaluate where and how to extract groundwater from the OC Basin with several options to pump the water to MNWD via the East Orange County Feeder No. 2; as well as a review of existing Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-35 banking/exchange programs in California to determine what compensation methodologies could OCWD assess for a storage/banking program. Energy Intensity A new requirement for this 2020 UWMP is an energy intensity analysis of the Supplier’s water, wastewater, and recycled water systems, where applicable for a 12-month period. The City owns and operates a water distribution system and a wastewater collection system. This section reports the energy intensity for each system using data from CY2019. Water and energy resources are inextricably connected. Known as the "water-energy nexus", the California Energy Commission estimates the transport and treatment of water, treatment and disposal of wastewater, and the energy used to heat and consume water account for nearly 20% of the total electricity and 30% of non-power plant related natural gas consumed in California. In 2015, California issued new rules requiring 50% of its power to come from renewables, along with a reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to 40% below 1990 levels by 2030. Consistent with energy and water conservation, renewable energy production, and GHG mitigation initiatives, the City reports the energy intensity of its water and wastewater operations. The methodology for calculating water energy intensity outlined in Appendix O of the UWMP Guidebook was adapted from the California Institute for Energy Efficiency exploratory research study titled “Methodology for Analysis of the Energy Intensity of California’s Water Systems” (Wilkinson 2000). The study defines water energy intensity as the total amount of energy, calculated on a whole‐system basis, required for the use of a given amount of water in a specific location. UWMP reporting is limited to available energy intensity information associated with water processes occurring within an urban water supplier’s direct operational control. Operational control is defined as authority over normal business operations at the operational level. Any energy embedded in water supplies imparted by an upstream water supplier (e.g., water wholesaler) or consequently by a downstream water purveyor (e.g., retail water provider) is not included in the UWMP energy intensity tables. The City’s calculations conform to methodologies outlined in the UWMP Guidebook and Wilkinson study. 6.10.1 Water Supply Energy Intensity In CY 2019, the City consumed 496.9 kWh per AF for water extraction and distribution services (Table 6-9). The basis for calculations is provided in more detail in the following subsections. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-36 Table 6-9: Recommended Energy Intensity – Multiple Water Delivery Products Urban Water Supplier: City of Santa Ana Water Delivery Product (If delivering more than one type of product use Table O-1C) dropdown menu Table O-1A: Recommended Energy Reporting - Water Supply Process Approach Enter Start Date for Reporting Period 1/1/2019 Urban Water Supplier Operational Control End Date 12/31/2019 Water Management Process Non-Consequential Hydropower (if applicable) Is upstream embedded in the values reported? Water Volume Units Used Extract and Divert Place into Storage Convey- ance Treat- ment Distrib- ution Total Utility Hydrop ower Net Utility Volume of Water Entering Process 25504.78 0 0 0 31784.5 31784.5 0 31784.5 Energy Consumed (kWh)N/A 7142733 0 0 0 8650011 15792744 15792744 Energy Intensity (kWh/vol.)N/A 280.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 272.1 496.9 0.0 496.9 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-37 Quantity of Self-Generated Renewable Energy 0 kWh Data Quality (Estimate, Metered Data, Combination of Estimates and Metered Data) Combination of Estimates and Metered Data Data Quality Narrative: Volume of Water Entering Process: Extraction data based on MWDOC Compiled Water Audits “Volume From Own Sources” and Distribution data based on MWDOC Compiled Water Audits “Authorized Consumption.” Non-Revenue Water is not considered in this calculation – the energy efficiency is based on water delivered to customers. Energy consumption from Southern California Edison electric bills. Narrative: The City of Santa Ana relies on imported water and local groundwater to meet their customers' water needs. Operational control is limited to groundwater wells and potable water booster stations. This table does not include upstream embedded energy consumed prior to Santa Ana taking control. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-38 6.10.1.1 Operational Control and Reporting Period As described throughout the report, the City is a retail agency that relies on groundwater and imported water. Water supply energy intensity was calculated for the CY 2019. This is a standard for energy and GHG reporting to the Climate Registry, California Air Resources Board and the United States Environmental Protection Agency. Calendar year reporting provides consistency when assessing direct and indirect energy consumption within a larger geographical context, as fiscal year starting dates can vary between utilities and organizations. 6.10.1.2 Volume of Water Entering Processes According to the City water audits, the City extracted 25,504 AF of groundwater from the OC Basin and distributed 31,785 AF of both groundwater and imported water. Water volume is based on metered data. 6.10.1.3 Energy Consumption and Generation According to Southern California Edison Electricity Bills, groundwater wells consumed 7,142,733 kilowatt hours (kWh) of electricity and booster pumps and MET Connections along the distribution system consumed 8,650,011 kWh of electricity. Currently, the City does not generate renewable energy. In the process of writing this report, the City discovered that the consumption amounts on SCE meters did not match the consumption amounts listed in SCE bills. The City is in the process of establishing why the meters and bills do not match but for this report, the Energy Consumption listed in the tables reflects the consumption noted in SCE bills that the City receives. 6.10.2 Wastewater and Recycled Water Energy Intensity In CY 2019, the City consumed 2.8 KWh per AF for wastewater services (Table 6-10). The basis for calculations is provided in more detail in the following subsections. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-39 Table 6-10: Recommended Energy Intensity – Wastewater & Recycled Water Urban Water Supplier: City of Santa Ana Table O-2: Recommended Energy Reporting - Wastewater & Recycled Water Enter Start Date for Reporting Period 1/1/2019 Urban Water Supplier Operational Control End Date 12/31/2019 Water Management Process Is upstream embedded in the values reported? Collection / Conveyance Treatment Discharge / Distribution Total Volume of Water Units Used Volume of Wastewater Entering Process (volume units selected above)21768 0 0 0 Wastewater Energy Consumed (kWh)60245 0 0 60245 Wastewater Energy Intensity (kWh/volume)2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 Volume of Recycled Water Entering Process (volume units selected above)0 0 0 0 Recycled Water Energy Consumed (kWh)0 0 0 0 Recycled Water Energy Intensity (kWh/volume)0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Quantity of Self-Generated Renewable Energy related to recycled water and wastewater operations kWh Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-40 Data Quality (Estimate, Metered Data, Combination of Estimates and Metered Data) Combination of Estimates and Metered Data Data Quality Narrative: Wastewater volume is an estimate based on water consumption in the service area. Energy is based on billed consumption. Narrative: Santa Ana operates the local wastewater collection system but does not operate treatment facilities. Operational control is limited to a wastewater lift station in the local collection system. This table does not include downstream energy consumed to treat the wastewater, after Santa Ana's control. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-41 6.10.2.1 Operational Control and Reporting Period The City’s existing sewer system is made up of a network of gravity sewers. As explained in Section 6.6, the City owns and operates two wastewater lift stations but no treatment facilities. Similar to the water supply energy intensity, wastewater energy intensity was calculated for the 2019 calendar year. This is a standard for energy and GHG reporting. 6.10.2.2 Volume of Wastewater Entering Processes In CY 2019, the City collected and conveyed 21,768 AF of wastewater to OC San. The City provides water for indirect potable reuse but the City does not have operational control over any part of the recycled water system. 6.10.2.3 Energy Consumption and Generation According to estimates referencing Southern California Edison Electricity Bills, the City’s two wastewater lift stations consumed 60,245 kWh of electricity. There are no other wastewater facilities that are owned and operated by the City. Currently, the City does not generate renewable energy. Energy consumption data was estimated, based on pump hours. 6.10.3 Key Findings and Next Steps Calculating and disclosing direct operationally-controlled energy intensities is another step towards understanding the water-energy nexus. However, much work is still needed to better understand upstream and downstream (indirect) water-energy impacts. When assessing water supply energy intensities or comparing intensities between providers, it is important to consider reporting boundaries as they do not convey the upstream embedded energy or impacts energy intensity has on downstream users. Engaging one’s upstream and downstream supply chain can guide more informed decisions that holistically benefit the environment and are mutually beneficial to engaged parties. Suggestions for further study include:  Supply-chain engagement – The City relies on a variety of water sources for their customers. While some studies have used life cycle assessment tools to estimate energy intensities, there is a need to confirm this data. The 2020 UWMP requirement for all agencies to calculate energy intensity will help the City and neighboring agencies make more informed decisions that would benefit the region as a whole regarding the energy and water nexus. A similar analysis could be performed with upstream supply chain energy, for example, with State Project Water.  Internal benchmarking and goal setting – With a focus on energy conservation and a projected increase in water demand despite energy conservation efforts, the City’s energy intensities will likely decrease with time. Conceivably, in a case where water demand decreases, energy intensities may rise as the energy required to pump or treat is not always proportional to water delivered. In the course of exploring the water-energy nexus and pursuing renewable energy goals, there is a need to assess whether energy intensity is a meaningful indicator or if it makes Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 6-42 sense to use a different indicator to reflect the City’s commitment to energy and water conservation.  Regional sustainability – Water and energy efficiency are two components of a sustainable future. Efforts to conserve water and energy, however, may impact the social, environmental, and economic livelihood of the region. In addition to the relationship between water and energy, over time, it may also be important to consider and assess the connection these resources have on other aspects of a sustainable future. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-1 7 WATER SERVICE RELIABILITY AND DROUGHT RISK ASSESSMENT Building upon the water supply identified and projected in Section 6, this key section of the UWMP examines the City’s water supplies, water uses, and the resulting water supply reliability. Water service reliability reflects the City’s ability to meet the water needs of its customers under varying conditions. For the UWMP, water supply reliability is evaluated in two assessments: 1) the Water Service Reliability Assessment and 2) the DRA. The Water Service reliability assessment compares projected supply to projected demand in 2025 through 2045 for three hydrological conditions: a normal year, a single dry year, and a drought period lasting five consecutive years. The DRA, a new UWMP requirement, assesses near-term water supply reliability. It compares projected water supply and demand assuming the City’ experiences a drought period for the next five consecutive years. Factors affecting reliability, such as climate change and regulatory impacts, are accounted for. Water Service Reliability Overview Every urban water supplier is required to assess the reliability of their water service to their customers under normal, single-dry, and multiple dry water years. The City depends on a combination of imported and local supplies to meet its water demands and has taken numerous steps to ensure it has adequate supplies. Development of local supplies augments the reliability of the water system. There are various factors that may impact reliability of supplies such as legal, environmental, water quality and climatic which are discussed below. MET’s 2020 UWMP concludes that they can meet full-service demands of their member agencies starting 2025 through 2045 during normal years, single-dry year, and multiple-dry years. Consequently, the City is projected to meet full-service demands through 2045 for the same scenarios, due to diversified supply and conservation measures. MET’s 2020 IRP update describes the core water resources that will be used to meet full-service demands at the retail level under all foreseeable hydrologic conditions from 2025 through 2045. The foundation of MET’s resource strategy for achieving regional water supply reliability has been to develop and implement water resources programs and activities through its IRP preferred resource mix. This preferred resource mix includes conservation, local resources such as water recycling and groundwater recovery, Colorado River supplies and transfers, SWP supplies and transfers, in-region surface reservoir storage, in-region groundwater storage, out-of-region banking, treatment, conveyance, and infrastructure improvements. Table 7-1 shows the basis of water year data used to predict drought supply availability. Per the Demand Forecast TM, the average (normal) hydrologic condition for the Orange County region is represented by FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19 and the single-dry year hydrologic condition by FY 2013-14. The five consecutive years of FY 2011-12 to FY 2015-16 represent the driest five consecutive year historic sequence for the region. Locally, Orange County rainfall for the five-year period totaled 36 inches, the driest on record. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-2 Table 7-1 Retail: Basis of Water Year Data (Reliability Assessment) DWR Submittal Table 7-1 Retail: Basis of Water Year Data (Reliability Assessment) Year Type Base Year Available Supplies if Year Type Repeats Quantification of available supplies is not compatible with this table and is provided elsewhere in the UWMP. Location __________________________ Quantification of available supplies is provided in this table as either volume only, percent only, or both. Volume Available % of Average Supply Average Year 2018-2019 - 100% Single-Dry Year 2014 - 106% Consecutive Dry Years 1st Year 2012 - 106% Consecutive Dry Years 2nd Year 2013 - 106% Consecutive Dry Years 3rd Year 2014 - 106% Consecutive Dry Years 4th Year 2015 - 106% Consecutive Dry Years 5th Year 2016 - 106% NOTES: Assumes an increase of 6% above average year demands in dry and multiple dry years based on the Demand Forecast TM (CDM Smith, 2021). 106% represents the percent of average supply needed to meet demands of a single-dry and multiple-dry years. Since the City is able to meet all of its demand with imported water from MET (on top of local groundwater and recycled water) the percent of average supply value reported is equivalent to the percent of average demand under the corresponding hydrologic condition. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-3 The following sections provide a detailed discussion of the City’s water source reliability. Additionally, the following sections compare the City’s projected supply and demand under various hydrological conditions, to determine the City’s supply reliability for the 25-year planning horizon. Factors Affecting Reliability In order to prepare realistic water supply reliability assessments, various factors affecting reliability were accounted for. These include climate change and environmental requirements, regulatory changes, water quality impacts, and locally applicable criteria. 7.2.1 Climate Change and the Environment Changing climate patterns are expected to shift precipitation patterns and affect water supply availability. Unpredictable weather patterns will make water supply planning more challenging. Although climate change impacts are associated with exact timing, magnitude, and regional impacts of these temperature and precipitation changes, researchers have identified several areas of concern for California water planners (MET, 2021). These areas include:  A reduction in Sierra Nevada Mountain snowpack.  Increased intensity and frequency of extreme weather events.  Prolonged drought periods.  Water quality issues associated with increase in wildfires.  Changes in runoff pattern and amount.  Rising sea levels resulting in: o Impacts to coastal groundwater basins due to seawater intrusion. o Increased risk of damage from storms, high-tide events, and the erosion of levees. o Potential pumping cutbacks to the SWP and CVP. Other important issues of concern due to global climate change include:  Effects on local supplies such as groundwater.  Changes in urban and agricultural demand levels and patterns.  Increased evapotranspiration from higher temperatures.  Impacts to human health from water-borne pathogens and water quality degradation.  Declines in ecosystem health and function.  Alterations to power generation and pumping regime.  Increases in ocean algal blooms affected seawater desalination supplies. The major impact in California is that without additional surface storage, the earlier and heavier runoff (rather than snowpack retaining water in storage in the mountains), will result in more water being lost to the oceans. A heavy emphasis on storage is needed in California. In addition, the Colorado River Basin supplies have been inconsistent since about the year 2000, with precipitation near normal while runoff has been less than average in two out of every three years. Climate models are predicting a continuation of this pattern whereby hotter and drier weather conditions will result in continuing lower runoff, pushing the system toward a drying trend that is often characterized as long term drought. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-4 Dramatic swings in annual hydrologic conditions have impacted water supplies available from the SWP over the last decade. The declining ecosystem in the Delta has also led to a reduction in water supply deliveries, and operational constraints, which will likely continue until a long-term solution to these problems is identified and implemented (MET, 2021). Legal, environmental, and water quality issues may have impacts on MET supplies. It is felt, however, that climatic factors would have more of an impact than legal, water quality, and environmental factors. Climatic conditions have been projected based on historical patterns but severe pattern changes are still a possibility in the future (MET, 2021). 7.2.2 Regulatory and Legal Ongoing regulatory restrictions, such as those imposed by the Biops on the effects of SWP and the federal CVP operations on certain marine life, also contributes to the challenge of determining water delivery reliability. Endangered species protection and conveyance needs in the Delta have resulted in operational constraints that are particularly important because pumping restrictions impact many water resources programs – SWP supplies and additional voluntary transfers, Central Valley storage and transfers, and in-region groundwater and surface water storage. Biops protect special-status species listed as threatened or endangered under the ESAs and imposed substantial constraints on Delta water supply operations through requirements for Delta inflow and outflow and export pumping restrictions. In addition, the SWRCB has set water quality objectives that must be met by the SWP including minimum Delta outflows, limits on SWP and CVP Delta exports, and maximum allowable salinity level. SWRCB plans to fully implement the new Lower San Joaquin River (LSJR) flow objectives from the Phase 1 Delta Plan amendments through adjudicatory (water rights) and regulatory (water quality) processes by 2022. These LSJR flow objectives are estimated to reduce water available for human consumptive use. New litigation, listings of additional species under the ESAs, or regulatory requirements imposed by the SWRCB could further adversely affect SWP operations in the future by requiring additional export reductions, releases of additional water from storage, or other operational changes impacting water supply operations. The difficulty and implications of environmental review, documentation, and permitting pose challenges for multi-year transfer agreements, recycled water projects, and seawater desalination plants. The timeline and roadmap for getting a permit for recycled water projects are challenging and inconsistently implemented in different regions of the state. Indirect potable reuse projects face regulatory restraints such as treatment, blend water, retention time, and Basin Plan Objectives, which may limit how much recycled water can feasibly be recharged into the groundwater basins. New regulations and permitting uncertainty are also barriers to seawater desalination supplies, including updated Ocean Plan Regulations, Marine Life Protected Areas, and Once-Through Cooling Regulations (MET, 2021). 7.2.3 Water Quality The following sub-sections include narratives on water quality issues experienced in various water supplies, if any, and the measures being taken to improve the water quality of these sources. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-5 7.2.3.1 Imported Water MET is responsible for providing high quality potable water throughout its service area. Over 300,000 water quality tests are performed per year on MET’s water to test for regulated contaminants and additional contaminants of concern to ensure the safety of its waters. MET’s supplies originate primarily from the CRA and from the SWP. A blend of these two sources, proportional to each year’s availability of the source, is then delivered throughout MET’s service area. MET’s primary water sources face individual water quality issues of concern. The CRA water source contains higher total dissolved solids (TDS) and the SWP contains higher levels of organic matter, lending to the formation of disinfection byproducts. To remediate the CRA’s high level of salinity and the SWP’s high level of organic matter, MET blends CRA and SWP supplies and has upgraded all of its treatment facilities to include ozone treatment processes. In addition, MET has been engaged in efforts to protect its Colorado River supplies from threats of uranium, perchlorate, and chromium VI while also investigating the potential water quality impact of the following emerging contaminants: N-nitrosodimethylamine (NDMA), pharmaceuticals and personal care products (PPCP), microplastics, PFAS, and 1,4-dioxane (MET, 2021). While unforeseeable water quality issues could alter reliability, MET’s current strategies ensure the delivery of high-quality water. The presence of quagga mussels in water sources is a water quality concern. Quagga mussels are an invasive species that was first discovered in 2007 at Lake Mead, on the Colorado River. This species of mussels forms massive colonies in short periods of time, disrupting ecosystems and blocking water intakes. They can cause significant disruption and damage to water distribution systems. MET has had success in controlling the spread and impacts of the quagga mussels within the CRA, however the future could require more extensive maintenance and reduced operational flexibility than current operations allow. It also resulted in MET eliminating deliveries of CRA water into Diamond Valley Lake to keep the reservoir free from quagga mussels (MET, 2021). 7.2.3.2 Groundwater OCWD is responsible for managing the OC Basin. To maintain groundwater quality, OCWD conducts an extensive monitoring program that serves to manage the OC Basin’s groundwater production, control groundwater contamination, and comply with all required laws and regulations. A network of nearly 700 wells provides OCWD a source for samples, which are tested for a variety of purposes. OCWD collects samples each month to monitor Basin water quality. The total number of water samples analyzed varies year-to-year due to regulatory requirements, conditions in the basin and applied research and/or special study demands. These samples are collected and tested according to approved federal and state procedures as well as industry-recognized quality assurance and control protocols (City of La Habra et al., 2017). PFAS are of particular concern for groundwater quality, and since the summer of 2019, DDW requires testing for PFAS compounds in some groundwater production wells in the OCWD area. In February 2020, the DDW lowered its Response Levels (RL) for PFOA and PFOS to 10 and 40 parts per trillion (ppt) respectively. The DDW recommends Producers not serve any water exceeding the RL – effectively making the RL an interim Maximum Contaminant Level (MCL) while DDW undertakes administrative action to set a MCL. In response to DDW’s issuance of the revised RL, as of December 2020, Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-6 approximately 45 wells in the OCWD service area have been temporarily turned off until treatment systems can be constructed. As additional wells are tested, OCWD expects this figure may increase to at least 70 to 80 wells. The state has begun the process of establishing MCLs for PFOA and PFOS and anticipates these MCLs to be in effect by the Fall of 2023. OCWD anticipates the MCLs will be set at or below the RLs. In April 2020, OCWD as the groundwater basin manager, executed an agreement with the impacted Producers to fund and construct the necessary treatment systems for production wells impacted by PFAS compounds. The PFAS treatment projects includes the design, permitting, construction, and operation of PFAS removal systems for impacted Producer production wells. Each well treatment system will be evaluated for use with either granular activated carbon (GAC) or ion exchange (IX) for the removal of PFAS compounds. These treatment systems utilize vessels in a lead-lag configuration to remove PFOA and PFOS to less than 2 ppt (the current non-detect limit). Use of these PFAS treatment systems are designed to ensure the groundwater supplied by Producer wells can be served in compliance with current and future PFAS regulations. With financial assistance from OCWD, the Producers will operate and maintain the new treatment systems once they are constructed. To minimize expenses and provide maximum protection to the public water supply, OCWD initiated design, permitting, and construction of the PFAS treatment projects on a schedule that allows rapid deployment of treatment systems. Construction contracts were awarded for treatment systems for production wells in the City of Fullerton and Serrano Water District in Year 2020. Additional construction contracts will likely be awarded in the first and second quarters of 2021. OCWD expects the treatment systems to be constructed for most of the initial 45 wells above the RL within the next 2 to 3 years. As additional data are collected and new wells experience PFAS detections at or near the current RL, and/or above a future MCL, and are turned off, OCWD will continue to partner with the affected Producers and take action to design and construct necessary treatment systems to bring the impacted wells back online as quickly as possible. Groundwater production in FY 2019-20 was expected to be approximately 325,000 AF but declined to 286,550 AF primarily due to PFAS impacted wells being turned off around February 2020. OCWD expects groundwater production to be in the area of 245,000 AF in FY 2020-21 due to the currently idled wells and additional wells being impacted by PFAS and turned off. As PFAS treatment systems are constructed, OCWD expects total annual groundwater production to slowly increase back to normal levels (310,000 to 330,000 AF) (OCWD, 2020). Salinity is a significant water quality problem in many parts of Southern California, including Orange County. Salinity is a measure of the dissolved minerals in water including both TDS and nitrates. OCWD continuously monitors the levels of TDS in wells throughout the OC Basin. TDS currently has a California Secondary MCL of 500 mg/L. The portions of the OC Basin with the highest levels are generally located in the cities of Irvine, Tustin, Yorba Linda, Anaheim, and Fullerton. There is also a broad area in the central portion of the OC Basin where TDS ranges from 500 to 700 mg/L. Sources of TDS include the water supplies used to recharge the OC Basin and from onsite wastewater treatment systems, also known as septic systems. The TDS concentration in the OC Basin is expected to decrease over time as the TDS concentration of GWRS water used to recharge the OC Basin is approximately 50 mg/L (City of La Habra et al., 2017). Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-7 Nitrates are one of the most common and widespread contaminants in groundwater supplies, originating from fertilizer use, animal feedlots, wastewater disposal systems, and other sources. The MCL for nitrate in drinking water is set at 10 mg/L. OCWD regularly monitors nitrate levels in groundwater and works with producers to treat wells that have exceeded safe levels of nitrate concentrations. OCWD manages the nitrate concentration of water recharged by its facilities to reduce nitrate concentrations in groundwater. This includes the operation of the Prado Wetlands, which was designed to remove nitrogen and other pollutants from the Santa Ana River before the water is diverted to be percolated into OCWD’s surface water recharge system. Although water from the Deep Aquifer System is of very high quality, it is amber-colored and contains a sulfuric odor due to buried natural organic material. These negative aesthetic qualities require treatment before use as a source of drinking water. The total volume of the amber-colored groundwater is estimated to be approximately 1 MAF. There are other potential contaminants that are of concern to and are monitored by OCWD. These include: Methyl Tertiary Butyl Ether (MTBE) – MTBE is an additive to gasoline that increases octane ratings but became a widespread contaminant in groundwater supplies. The greatest source of MTBE contamination comes from underground fuel tank releases. The primary MCL for MTBE in drinking water is 13 µg/L. Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC) – VOCs come from a variety of sources including industrial degreasers, paint thinners, and dry cleaning solvents. Locations of VOC contamination within the OC Basin include the former El Toro marine Corps Air Station, the Shallow Aquifer System, and portions of the Principal Aquifer System in the Cities of Fullerton and Anaheim. NDMA – NDMA is a compound that can occur in wastewater that contains its precursors and is disinfected via chlorination and/or chloramination. It is also found in food products such as cured meat, fish, beer, milk, and tobacco smoke. The California Notification Level for NDMA is 10 ng/L and the RL is 300 ng/L. In the past, NDMA has been found in groundwater near the Talbert Barrier, which was traced to industrial wastewater dischargers. 1,4-Dioxane – 1,4-Dioxane is a suspected human carcinogen. It is used as a solvent in various industrial processes such as the manufacture of adhesive products and membranes. Perchlorate – Perchlorate enters groundwater through application of fertilizer containing perchlorate, water imported from the Colorado River, industrial or military sites that have perchlorate, and natural occurrence. Perchlorate was not detected in 84% of the 219 production wells tested between the years 2010 through 2014. Selenium – Selenium is a naturally occurring micronutrient found in soils and groundwater in the Newport Bay watershed. The bio-accumulation of selenium in the food chain may result in deformities, stunted growth, reduced hatching success, and suppression of immune systems in fish and wildlife. Management of selenium is difficult as there is no off-the-shelf treatment technology available. Constituents of Emerging Concern (CEC) – CECs are either synthetic or naturally occurring substances that are not currently regulated in water supplies or wastewater discharged but can Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-8 be detected using very sensitive analytical techniques. The newest group of CECs include pharmaceuticals, personal care products, and endocrine disruptors. OCWD’s laboratory is one of a few in the state of California that continuously develops capabilities to analyze for new compounds (City of La Habra et al., 2017). 7.2.4 Locally Applicable Criteria Within Orange County, there are no significant local applicable criteria that directly affect reliability. Through the years, the water agencies in Orange County have made tremendous efforts to integrate their systems to provide flexibility to interchange with different sources of supplies. There are emergency agreements in place to ensure all parts of the County have an adequate supply of water. In the northern part of the County, agencies are able to meet a majority of their demands through groundwater with very little limitation, except for the OCWD BPP. For the agencies in southern Orange County, most of their demands are met with imported water where their limitation is based on the capacity of their system, which is very robust. However, if a major earthquake on the San Andreas Fault occurs, it will be damaging to all three key regional water aqueducts and disrupt imported supplies for up to six months. The region would likely impose a water use reduction ranging from 10-25% until the system is repaired. However, MET has taken proactive steps to handle such disruption, such as constructing DVL, which mitigates potential impacts. DVL, along with other local reservoirs, can store a six to twelve-month supply of emergency water (MET, 2021). Water Service Reliability Assessment This Section assesses the City’s reliability to provide water services to its customers under various hydrological conditions. This is completed by comparing the projected long-term water demand (Section 4), to the projected water supply sources available to the City (Section 6), in five-year increments, for a normal water year, a single dry water year, and a drought lasting five consecutive water years. 7.3.1 Normal Year Reliability The water demand forecasting model developed for the Demand Forecast TM (described in Section 4.3), to project the 25-year demand for Orange County water agencies, also isolated the impacts that weather and future climate can have on water demand through the use of a statistical model. The explanatory variables of population, temperature, precipitation, unemployment rate, drought restrictions, and conservation measures were used to create the statistical model. The impacts of hot/dry weather condition are reflected as a percentage increase in water demands from the average condition. The average (normal) demand is represented by the average water demand of FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19 (CDM Smith, 2021). The City is 100 percent reliable for normal year demands from 2025 through 2045 (Table 7-2) due to diversified supply and conservation measures. For simplicity, the table shows supply to balance demand in the table. However, based on the purchase agreement the City has with MET (Section 6.2), the City is contractually able to purchase more water from MET, should the need arise. The City has entitlements to Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-9 receive imported water from MET via connections to MET's regional distribution system. All imported water supplies are assumed available to the City from existing water transmission facilities, as per MET’s 2020 UWMP. The demand and supplies listed in Table 7-2 also include local groundwater supplies that are available to the City through OCWD by an assumed BPP of 85%, per Section 6.3.4. Table 7-2: Retail: Normal Year Supply and Demand Comparison DWR Submittal Table 7-2 Retail: Normal Year Supply and Demand Comparison 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Supply totals (AF) 33,882 34,395 34,130 33,838 33,827 Demand totals (AF) 33,882 34,395 34,130 33,838 33,827 Difference (AF) 0 0 0 0 0 NOTES: This table compares the projected demand and supply volumes determined in Sections 4.3.2 and 6.1, respectively. 7.3.2 Single Dry Year Reliability A single dry year is defined as a single year of minimal to no rainfall within a period where average precipitation is expected to occur. The water demand forecasting model developed for the Demand Forecast TM (described in Section 4.3) isolated the impacts that weather and future climate can have on water demand through the use of a statistical model. The impacts of hot/dry weather condition are reflected as a percentage increase in water demands from the normal year condition (average of FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19). For a single dry year condition (FY 2013-14), the model projects a six percent increase in demand for the OC Basin area where the City’s service area is located (CDM Smith, 2021). Detailed information of the model is included in Appendix E. The City has documented that it is 100 percent reliable for single dry year demands from 2025 through 2045 with a demand increase of 6% from normal demand with significant reserves held by MET, local groundwater supplies, and conservation. A comparison between the supply and the demand in a single dry year is shown in (Table 7-3). For simplicity, the table shows supply to balance the modeled demand in the table. However, based on the purchase agreement the City has with MET (Section 6.2), the City is contractually able to purchase more water from MET, should the need arise. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-10 Table 7-3: Retail: Single Dry Year Supply and Demand Comparison DWR Submittal Table 7-3 Retail: Single Dry Year Supply and Demand Comparison 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Supply totals (AF) 35,915 36,459 36,178 35,868 35,857 Demand totals (AF) 35,915 36,459 36,178 35,868 35,857 Difference (AF) 0 0 0 0 0 NOTES: It is conservatively assumed that a single dry year demand is 6% greater than each respective year's normally projected total water demand. Groundwater is sustainably managed through the BPP and robust management measures (Section 6.3.4 and Appendix G), direct and indirect recycled water uses provides additional local supply (Section 6.6), and based on MET’s UWMP, imported water is available to close any potable water supply gap that local sources cannot meet (Section 7.5.1). 7.3.3 Multiple Dry Year Reliability Assessing the reliability to meet demand for five consecutive dry years is a new requirement for the 2020 UWMP, as compared to the previous requirement of assessing three or more consecutive dry years. Multiple dry years are defined as five or more consecutive dry years with minimal rainfall within a period of average precipitation. The water demand forecasting model developed for the Demand Forecast TM (described in Section 4.3) isolated the impacts that weather and future climate can have on water demand through the use of a statistical model. The impacts of hot/dry weather condition are reflected as a percentage increase in water demands from the normal year condition (average of FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19). For a single dry year condition (FY 2013-14), the model projects a six percent increase in demand for the OC Basin area where the City’s service area is located (CDM Smith, 2021). It is conservatively assumed that a five consecutive dry year scenario is a repeat of the single dry year over five consecutive years. Even with a conservative demand increase of 6% each year for five consecutive years, the City is capable of meeting all customers’ demands from 2025 through 2045 (Table 7-4), with significant reserves held by MET and conservation. For simplicity, the table shows supply to balance the modeled demand in the table. However, based on the purchase agreement the City has with MET (Section 6.2), the City is contractually able to purchase more water from MET, should the need arise. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-11 Table 7-4: Retail: Multiple Dry Years Supply and Demand Comparison DWR Submittal Table 7-4 Retail: Multiple Dry Years Supply and Demand Comparison 2025* 2030* 2035* 2040* 2045* (Opt) First year Supply totals 35,581 36,024 36,403 36,116 35,866 Demand totals 35,581 36,024 36,403 36,116 35,866 Difference 0 0 0 0 0 Second year Supply totals 35,665 36,133 36,347 36,054 35,864 Demand totals 35,665 36,133 36,347 36,054 35,864 Difference 0 0 0 0 0 Third year Supply totals 35,748 36,241 36,290 35,992 35,861 Demand totals 35,748 36,241 36,290 35,992 35,861 Difference 0 0 0 0 0 Fourth year Supply totals 35,831 36,350 36,234 35,930 35,859 Demand totals 35,831 36,350 36,234 35,930 35,859 Difference 0 0 0 0 0 Fifth year Supply totals 35,915 36,459 36,178 35,868 35,857 Demand totals 35,915 36,459 36,178 35,868 35,857 Difference 0 0 0 0 0 NOTES: It is conservatively assumed that a five consecutive dry year scenario is a repeat of the single dry year (106% of projected normal year values) over five consecutive years. The 2025 column assesses supply and demand for FY 2020-21 through FY 2024-25; the 2030 column assesses FY 2025-26 through FY 2029-30 and so forth, in order to end the water service reliability assessment in FY 2044-45. Groundwater is sustainably managed through the BPP and robust management measures (Section 6.3.4 and Appendix G), direct and indirect recycled water uses provide additional local supply (Section 6.6), and based on MET's UWMP, imported water is available to close any potable water supply gap that local sources cannot meet (Section 7.5.1). Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-12 Management Tools and Options Existing and planned water management tools and options for the City, OCWD, and MWDOC’s service area that seek to maximize local resources and result in minimizing the need to import water are described below. Although they are a direct MET Member Agency, the City benefits from collaboration between MWDOC and OCWD to maximize local resources. Reduced Delta Reliance: MET has demonstrated consistency with Reduced Reliance on the Delta Through Improved Regional Water Self-Reliance (Delta Plan policy WR P1) by reporting the expected outcomes for measurable reductions in supplies from the Delta. MET has improved its self-reliance through methods including water use efficiency, water recycling, stormwater capture and reuse, advanced water technologies, conjunctive use projects, local and regional water supply and storage programs, and other programs and projects. In 2020, MET had a 602,000 AF change in supplies contributing to regional-self-reliance, corresponding to a 15.3% change, and this amount is projected to increase through 2045 (MET, 2021). For detailed information on the Delta Plan Policy WR P1, refer to Appendix C. The continued and planned use of groundwater: The water supply resources within the City’s service area are enhanced by the existence of groundwater basins that account for the majority of local supplies available and are used as reservoirs to store water during wet years and draw from storage during dry years, subsequently minimizing the City’s reliance on imported water. Groundwater basins are managed within a safe basin operating range so that groundwater wells are only pumped as needed to meet water use. The City supports and partners in recycled water efforts, including groundwater recharge, through its coordination with OCWD and OC San. The City is currently planning for new well construction and major well rehabilitation at seven well sites, described in Section 6.9. Groundwater storage and transfer programs: MET and OCWD’s involvement in SARCCUP includes participation in a CUP that improves water supply resiliency and increases available dry-year yield from local groundwater basins. The groundwater bank has 137,000 AF of storage (OCWD, 2020b). Additionally, MET has numerous groundwater storage and transfer programs in which MET endeavors to increase the reliability of water supplies, including the AVEK Waster Agency Exchange and Storage Program and the High Desert Water Bank Program. The IRWD Strand Ranch Water Banking Program has approximately 23,000 AF stored for IRWD’s benefit, and by agreement, the water is defined to be an "Extraordinary Supply" by MET and counts essentially 1:1 during a drought/water shortage condition under MET’s Water Supply Allocation Plan. In addition, MET has encouraged storage through its cyclic and conjunctive use programs that allow MET to deliver water into a groundwater basin in advance of agency demands, such as the Cyclic Storage Agreements under the Main San Gabriel Basin Judgement. Water Loss Program: The water loss audit program reduces MET’s dependency on imported water from the Delta by implementing water loss control technologies after assessing audit data and leak detection. Increased use of recycled water: The City partners with OCWD in recycled water efforts to identify opportunities for the use of recycled water for irrigation purposes, groundwater recharge Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-13 and some non-irrigation applications. OCWD’s GWRS and GAP allow Southern California to decrease its dependency on imported water and create a local and reliable source of water that meet or exceed all federal and state drinking level standards. Expansion of the GWRS is currently underway to increase the plant’s production to 130 MGD, and further reduce reliance on imported water. Implementation of demand management measures during dry periods: During dry periods, water reduction methods to be applied to the public through the retail agencies, will in turn reduce the City’s overall demands on MET and reliance on imported water. The City’s specific demand management measures are further discussed in Section 9. Drought Risk Assessment Water Code Section 10635(b) requires every urban water supplier include, as part of its UWMP, a DRA for its water service as part of information considered in developing its DMMs and water supply projects and programs. The DRA is a specific planning action that assumes the City is experiencing a drought over the next five years and addresses the City’s reliability in the context of presumed drought conditions. Together, the water service reliability assessment (Sections 7.1 through 7.3), DRA, and WSCP (Section 8 and Appendix H) allow the City to have a comprehensive picture of its short-term and long-term water service reliability and to identify the tools to address any perceived or actual shortage conditions. Water Code Section 10612 requires the DRA to be based on the driest five-year historic sequence of the City’s water supply. However, Water Code Section 10635 also requires that the analysis consider plausible changes on projected supplies and demands due to climate change, anticipated regulatory changes, and other locally applicable criteria. The following sections describe the City’s methodology and results of its DRA. 7.5.1 DRA Methodology The water demand forecasting model developed for the Demand Forecast TM (described in Section 4.3 isolated the impacts that weather and future climate can have on water demand through the use of a statistical model. The impacts of hot/dry weather condition are reflected as a percentage increase in water demands from the average condition (average of FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19). For a single dry year condition (FY 2013-14), the model projects a 6% increase in demand for the region encompassing the City’s service area (CDM Smith, 2021). Locally, the five-consecutive years of FY 2011-12 through FY 2015-16 represent the driest five consecutive year historic sequence for the City’s water supply. This period that spanned water years 2012 through 2016 included the driest four-year statewide precipitation on record (2012-2015) and the smallest Sierra Cascades snowpack on record (2015, with 5% of average). It was marked by extraordinary heat: 2014, 2015 and 2016 were California’s first, second and third warmest year in terms of statewide average temperatures. Locally, Orange County rainfall for the five year period totaled 36 inches, the driest on record. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-14 As explained in Section 6, the City currently relies on, and will continue to rely on, three main water sources: local groundwater, recycled water, and imported water supply from MET. The City maximizes local water groundwater supply use before the purchase of imported water. The difference between total forecasted demands and local supply projections is the demand on MET’s imported water supplies from the Colorado River, SWP, and in-region storage. Local groundwater supply for the City comes from the OC Basin and is dictated by the BPP set annually by OCWD. Therefore, the City’s DRA focuses on the assessment of imported water from MET, which will be used to close any potable water supply gap local groundwater does not fill. Water Demand Characterization Beyond local supplies, the City’s water supplies are purchased from MET, regardless of hydrologic conditions. As described in Section 6.2, MET’s supplies are from the Colorado River, SWP, and in-region storage. In their 2020 UWMP, MET’s DRA concluded that even without activating WSCP actions, MET can reliably provide water to all of their member agencies, including the City, through 2045, assuming a five-year drought from FY 2020-21 through FY 2024-25. Beyond this, MET’s DRA indicated a surplus of supplies that would be available to all of its member agencies, including the City, should the need arise. Therefore, any increase in demand that is experienced in the City's service area will be met by MET's water supplies. Based on the Demand Forecast TM, in a single dry year, demand is expected to increase by 6% above a normal year. The City’s DRA conservatively assumes a drought from FY 2020-21 through FY 2024-25 is a repeat of the single dry year over five consecutive years. The City’s demand projections were developed as part of the Demand Forecast TM, led by MWDOC. As part of the study, MWDOC first estimated total retail demands for its service area. This was based on estimated future demands using historical water use trends, future expected water use efficiency measures, additional projected land-use development, and changes in population. The City’s projected water use, linearly interpolated per the demand forecast, is presented annually for the next five years in Table 4-2. Next, MWDOC estimated the projections of local supplies derived from current and expected local supply programs from the participating agencies. Finally, the demand model calculated the difference between total forecasted demands and local supply projections. The resulting difference between total demands net of savings from conservation and local supplies is the expected regional demands on MET supply. Water Supply Characterization The City’s assumptions for its supply capabilities are discussed and presented in 5-year increments under its UWMP water reliability assessment. For the City’s DRA, these supply capabilities are further refined and presented annually for the years 2021 to 2025 by assuming a repeat of historic conditions from FY 2011-12 to FY 2015-16. For its DRA, the City assessed the reliability of supplies available from MET using historical supply availability under dry-year conditions. MET’s supply sources under the Colorado River, SWP, and in-region supply categories are individually listed and discussed in detail in MET’s UWMP. Future supply capabilities for each of these supply sources are also individually tabulated in Appendix 3 of MET’s UWMP, with consideration for plausible changes on projected supplies under climate change conditions, anticipated regulatory changes, and other factors. In addition, the City has access to supply augmentation actions through MET. MET may exercise these actions based on regional Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-15 need, and in accordance with their WSCP, and may include the use of supplies and storage programs within the Colorado River, SWP, and In-Region. 7.5.2 Total Water Supply and Use Comparison The City’s DRA concludes that water supplies meet total water demand, assuming a five-year consecutive drought from FY 2020-21 through FY 2024-25 (Table 7-5). For simplicity, the table shows supply to balance the modeled demand in the table. However, based on the purchase agreement the City has with MET (Section 6.2), the City is contractually able to purchase more water from MET, should the need arise. Table 7-5: Five-Year Drought Risk Assessment Tables to Address Water Code Section 10635(b) DWR Submittal Table 7-5: Five-Year Drought Risk Assessment Tables to address Water Code Section 10635(b) 2021 Total Total Water Use 35,581 Total Supplies 35,581 Surplus/Shortfall w/o WSCP Action 0 Planned WSCP Actions (use reduction and supply augmentation) WSCP - supply augmentation benefit 0 WSCP - use reduction savings benefit 0 Revised Surplus/(shortfall)0 Resulting % Use Reduction from WSCP action 0% 2022 Total Total Water Use 35,665 Total Supplies 35,665 Surplus/Shortfall w/o WSCP Action 0 Planned WSCP Actions (use reduction and supply augmentation) WSCP - supply augmentation benefit 0 WSCP - use reduction savings benefit 0 Revised Surplus/(shortfall)0 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-16 DWR Submittal Table 7-5: Five-Year Drought Risk Assessment Tables to address Water Code Section 10635(b) Resulting % Use Reduction from WSCP action 0% 2023 Total Total Water Use 35,748 Total Supplies 35,748 Surplus/Shortfall w/o WSCP Action 0 Planned WSCP Actions (use reduction and supply augmentation) WSCP - supply augmentation benefit 0 WSCP - use reduction savings benefit 0 Revised Surplus/(shortfall)0 Resulting % Use Reduction from WSCP action 0% 2024 Total Total Water Use 35,831 Total Supplies 35,831 Surplus/Shortfall w/o WSCP Action 0 Planned WSCP Actions (use reduction and supply augmentation) WSCP - supply augmentation benefit 0 WSCP - use reduction savings benefit 0 Revised Surplus/(shortfall)0 Resulting % Use Reduction from WSCP action 0% 2025 Total Total Water Use 35,915 Total Supplies 35,915 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-17 DWR Submittal Table 7-5: Five-Year Drought Risk Assessment Tables to address Water Code Section 10635(b) Surplus/Shortfall w/o WSCP Action 0 Planned WSCP Actions (use reduction and supply augmentation) WSCP - supply augmentation benefit 0 WSCP - use reduction savings benefit 0 Revised Surplus/(shortfall)0 Resulting % Use Reduction from WSCP action 0% Note: Groundwater is sustainably managed through the BPP and robust management measures (Section 6.3.4 and Appendix G), direct and indirect recycled water uses provide additional local supply (Section 6.6), and based on MET’s UWMP, imported water is available to close any potable water supply gap that local sources cannot meet (Section 7.5.1). 7.5.3 Water Source Reliability Locally, approximately 77% (BPP for Water Year 2021-22) of the City’s total water supply can rely on OC Basin groundwater through FY 2024-25. The BPP is projected to increase to 85% starting in FY 2024-25. Based on various storage thresholds and hydrologic conditions, OCWD, who manages the OC Basin, has numerous management measures that can be taken, such as adjusting the BPP or seeking additional supplies to refill the basin, to ensure the reliability of the Basin. For more information on the OC Basin’s management efforts, refer to Section 6.3. Additionally, the City’s use of direct (OCWD GAP) and indirect recycled water (OCWD GWRS) should also be considered. The ability to continue producing water locally greatly improves the City’s water reliability. More detail on these programs is available in Section 6.6 . Furthermore, as discussed in Section 6.2 the City has a 10-year purchase agreement with MET that sets a minimum and maximum volume of water to be purchased from MET annually, and over the 10-year contract term. Currently, the City is not currently purchasing near the maximum levels. As so, the City is contractually able to purchase significantly more MET water should the need arise. Moreover, although they would not normally be considered part of the City’s water portfolio, the emergency interconnections the City has with the surrounding Cities of Costa Mesa, Fountain Valley, Garden Grove, Orange, Tustin, and Southern California Water Company could help mitigate any water supply shortages, though shortages are not expected. Emergency interconnections are described in Section 6.8. The City’s DRA concludes that its water supplies meet total water demand, assuming a five-year consecutive drought from FY 2020-21 through FY 2024-25 (Table 7-5). For simplicity, the table shows supply to balance the modeled demand in the table. However, based on the purchase agreement the City Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 7-18 has with MET (Section 6.2), the City is contractually able to purchase more water from MET, should the need arise. As detailed in Section 8, the City has in place a robust WSCP and comprehensive shortage response planning efforts that include demand reduction measures and supply augmentation actions. However, since the City’s DRA shows a balance between water supply and demand, no water service reliability concern is anticipated, and no shortfall mitigation measures are expected to be exercised over the next five years. The City will periodically revisit its representation of the supply sources and of the gross water use estimated for each year and will revise its DRA if needed. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 8-1 8 WATER SHORTAGE CONTINGENCY PLANNING Layperson Description Water shortage contingency planning is a strategic planning process that the City engages to prepare for and respond to water shortages. A water shortage, when water supply available is insufficient to meet the normally expected customer water use at a given point in time, may occur due to a number of reasons, such as water supply quality changes, climate change, drought, and catastrophic events (e.g., earthquake). The City’s WSCP provides real-time water supply availability assessment and structured steps designed to respond to actual conditions. This level of detailed planning and preparation will help maintain reliable supplies and reduce the impacts of supply interruptions. Water Code Section 10632 requires that every urban water supplier that serves more than 3,000 AFY or have more than 3,000 connections prepared and adopt a standalone WSCP as part of its UWMP. The WSCP is required to plan for a greater than 50% supply shortage. This WSCP due to be updated based on new requirements every five years and will be adopted as a current update for submission to DWR by July 1, 2021. Overview of the WSCP The WSCP serves as the operating manual that the City will use to prevent catastrophic service disruptions through proactive, rather than reactive, mitigation of water shortages. The WSCP contains processes and procedures documented in the WSCP, which are given legal authority through the WSCP Response Ordinance. This way, when shortage conditions arise, the City’s governing body, its staff, and the public can easily identify and efficiently implement pre-determined steps to mitigate a water shortage to the level appropriate to the degree of water shortfall anticipated. Figure 8-1 illustrates the interdependent relationship between the three procedural documents related to planning for and responding to water shortages. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 8-2 Figure 8-1: UWMP Overview A copy of the City’s WSCP is provided in Appendix H and includes the steps to assess if a water shortage is occurring, and what level of shortage drought actions to trigger the best response as appropriate to the water shortage conditions. WSCP has prescriptive elements, including an analysis of water supply reliability; the drought shortage actions for each of the six standard water shortage levels, that correspond to water shortage percentages ranging from 10% to greater than 50%; an estimate of potential to close supply gap for each measure; protocols and procedures to communicate identified actions for any current or predicted water shortage conditions; procedures for an annual water supply and demand assessment; monitoring and reporting requirements to determine customer compliance; reevaluation and improvement procedures for evaluating the WSCP. Summary of Water Shortage Response Strategy and Required DWR Tables This WSCP is organized into three main sections, with Section 3 aligned with the Water Code Section 16032 requirements. Section 1 Introduction and WSCP Overview gives an overview of the WSCP fundamentals. Section 2 Background provides a background on the City’s water service area. Section 3.1 Water Supply Reliability Analysis provides a summary of the water supply analysis and water reliability findings from the 2020 UWMP. Section 3.2 Annual Water Supply and Demand Assessment Procedures provide a description of procedures to conduct and approve the Annual Assessment. Section 3.3 Six Standard Water Shortage Stages explains the WSCP’s six standard water shortage levels corresponding to progressive ranges of up to 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, and more than 50% shortages. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 8-3 Section 3.4 Shortage Response Actions describes the WSCP’s shortage response actions that align with the defined shortage levels. Section 3.5 Communication Protocols addresses communication protocols and procedures to inform customers, the public, interested parties, and local, regional, and state governments, regarding any current or predicted shortages and any resulting shortage response actions. Section 3.6 Compliance and Enforcement describes customer compliance, enforcement, appeal, and exemption procedures for triggered shortage response actions. Section 3.7 Legal Authorities is a description of the legal authorities that enable the City to implement and enforce its shortage response actions. Section 3.8 Financial Consequences of the WSCP provides a description of the financial consequences of and responses for drought conditions. Section 3.9 Monitoring and Reporting describes monitoring and reporting requirements and procedures that ensure appropriate data is collected, tracked, and analyzed for purposes of monitoring customer compliance and to meet state reporting requirements. Section 3.10 WSCP Refinement Procedures addresses reevaluation and improvement procedures for monitoring and evaluating the functionality of the WSCP. Section 3.11 Special Water Feature Distinction. Section 3.12 Plan Adoption, Submittal, and Implementation provides a record of the process the City followed to adopt and implement its WSCP. The WSCP is based on adequate details of demand reduction and supply augmentation measures that are structured to match varying degrees of shortage will ensure the relevant stakeholders understand what to expect during a water shortage situation. The City has adopted water shortage levels consistent with the requirements identified in Water Code Section 10632 (a)(3)(A) (Table 8-1). The supply augmentation actions that align with each shortage level are described in DWR Table 8-3 (Appendix B). These augmentations represent short-term management objectives triggered by the WSCP and do not overlap with the long-term new water supply development or supply reliability enhancement projects. The demand reduction measures that align with each shortage level are described in DWR Table 8-2 (Appendix B). This table also estimates the extent to which that action will reduce the gap between supplies and demands to demonstrate to the that choose suite of shortage response actions can be expected to deliver the expected outcomes necessary to meet the requirements of a given shortage level. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 8-4 Table 8-1: Water Shortage Contingency Plan Levels Submittal Table 8-1 Water Shortage Contingency Plan Levels Shortage Level Percent Shortage Range Shortage Response Actions 0 0% (Normal) A Level 0 Water Supply Shortage – Condition exists when the City notifies its water users that no supply reductions are anticipated in this year. The City proceeds with planned water efficiency best practices to support consumer demand reduction in line with state mandated requirements and local City goals for water supply reliability. Permanent water waste prohibitions are in place as stipulated in the City’s Water Shortage Response Ordinance. 1 Up to 10%  A Level 1 Water Supply Shortage – Condition exists when the City notifies its water users that due to drought or other supply reductions, a consumer demand reduction of up to 10% is necessary to make more efficient use of water and respond to existing water conditions. Upon the declaration of a Water Aware condition, the City shall implement the mandatory Level 1 conservation measures identified in this ordinance. The type of event that may prompt the City to declare a Level 1 Water Supply Shortage may include, among other factors, a finding that its wholesale water provider calls for extraordinary water conservation. 2  11% to 20% A Level 2 Water Supply Shortage – Condition exists when the City notifies its water users that due to drought or other supply reductions, a consumer demand reduction of up to 20% is necessary to make more efficient use of water and respond to existing water conditions. Upon declaration of a Level 2 Water Supply Shortage condition, the City shall implement the mandatory Level 2 conservation measures identified in this ordinance. 3 21% to 30%  A Level 3 Water Supply Shortage – Condition exists when the City declares a water shortage emergency condition pursuant to California Water Code section 350 and notifies its residents and businesses that up to 30% consumer demand reduction is required to ensure sufficient supplies for human consumption, sanitation and fire protection. The City must declare a Water Supply Shortage Emergency in the manner and on the grounds provided in California Water Code section 350. 4  31% to 40% A Level 4 Water Supply Shortage – Condition exists when the City declares a water shortage emergency condition pursuant to California Water Code section 350 and notifies its residents and businesses that up to 40% consumer demand reduction is required to ensure sufficient supplies for human consumption, sanitation and fire protection. The City must declare a Water Supply Shortage Emergency in the manner and on the grounds provided in California Water Code section 350. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 8-5 Submittal Table 8-1 Water Shortage Contingency Plan Levels 5  41% to 50% A Level 5 Water Supply Shortage – Condition exists when the City declares a water shortage emergency condition pursuant to California Water Code section 350 and notifies its residents and businesses that up to 50% or more consumer demand reduction is required to ensure sufficient supplies for human consumption, sanitation and fire protection. The City must declare a Water Supply Shortage Emergency in the manner and on the grounds provided in California Water Code section 350. 6 >50% A Level 6 Water Supply Shortage – Condition exists when the City declares a water shortage emergency condition pursuant to California Water Code section 350 and notifies its residents and businesses that greater than 50% or more consumer demand reduction is required to ensure sufficient supplies for human consumption, sanitation and fire protection. The City must declare a Water Supply Shortage Emergency in the manner and on the grounds provided in California Water Code section 350. NOTES: Water shortage contingency planning is a strategic planning process to prepare for and respond to water shortages. Detailed planning and preparation can help maintain reliable supplies and reduce the impacts of supply interruptions. This chapter provides a structured plan for dealing with water shortages, incorporating prescriptive information and standardized action levels, along with implementation actions in the event of a catastrophic supply interruption. A well-structured WSCP allows real-time water supply availability assessment and structured steps designed to respond to actual conditions, to allow for efficient management of any shortage with predictability and accountability. A water shortage, when water supply available is insufficient to meet the normally expected customer water use at a given point in time, may occur due to a number of reasons, such as population growth, climate change, drought, and catastrophic events. The WSCP is the City’s operating manual that is used to prevent catastrophic service disruptions through proactive, rather than reactive, management. This way, if and when shortage conditions arise, the City’s governing body, its staff, and the public can easily identify and efficiently implement pre-determined steps to manage a water shortage. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-1 9 DEMAND MANAGEMENT MEASURES The City, along with other Retail water agencies throughout Orange County, recognizes the need to use existing water supplies efficiently. This ethic of efficient use of water has evolved as a result of the development and implementation of water use efficiency programs that make good economic sense and reflect responsible stewardship of the region’s water resources. The City works closely with MET and MWDOC to promote regional efficiency by participating in the MET regional water savings programs. This chapter communicates the City’s efforts to promote conservation and to reduce demand on water supplies. A detailed description of demand management measures is available in Appendix J. Demand Management Measures for Retail Suppliers The goal of the Demand Management Measures (DMM) section is to provide a comprehensive description of the water conservation programs that a supplier has implemented, is currently implementing, and plans to implement in order to meet its urban water use reduction targets. The reporting requirements for DMM has been significantly modified and streamlined in 2014 by Assembly Bill 2067. This section of the UWMP will report on the role of the City’s programs in meeting new state regulations for complying with the SWRCB’s new Conservation Framework. These categories of demand management measures are as follows:  Water waste prevention ordinances;  Metering;  Conservation pricing;  Public education and outreach;  Programs to assess and manage distribution system real loss;  Water conservation program coordination and staffing support;  Other demand management measures that have a significant impact on water use as measured in gallons per capita per day, including innovative measures, if implemented;  Programs to assist retailers with Conservation Framework Compliance 9.1.1 Water Waste Prevention Ordinances The City Council adopted the Water Conservation and Supply Shortage Program Ordinance No. NS-2877 on May 19, 2015. Ordinance No. NS-2877 establishes permanent water conservation requirements and prohibition against waste that are effective at all times and is not dependent upon a water shortage for implementation, as follows: No washing down hard or paved surfaces Limit on watering hours Re-circulating water required for water fountains and decorative water features Drinking water served upon request only Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-2 Limits on washing vehicles Commercial lodging establishments must provide guests option to decline daily linen services Restaurants required to use water conserving dish wash spray valves Obligation to fix leaks, break, or malfunctions No installation of single pass cooling systems Commercial car wash systems No excessive water flow or runoff No installation of non-recirculating water systems in commercial car wash and laundry systems No watering during or within 48 hours of measurable rainfall No irrigation of ornamental turf on public street medians with potable water Limit on irrigation with potable water of landscapes outside of new construction In an event of a water supply shortage, the ordinance further establishes six levels of water supply shortage response actions to be implemented during times of declared water shortage or declared water shortage emergency, with increasing restrictions on water use in response to worsening drought or emergency conditions and decreasing supplies. The provisions and water conservation measures to be implemented in response to each shortage level are described in the Water Shortage Contingency Plan (WSCP) located in Appendix H of this 2020 UWMP. The City’s water conservation ordinance is included in Appendix D of the WSCP. The City maintains active water wasting prohibition measures at all times and has the ability to implement additional measures as water conservation needs dictate The City maintains active water wasting prohibition measures at all times and has the ability to implement additional measures as water conservation needs dictate. In 2015, as a result of the Governor’s drought mandates, the City began to track its water wasting prohibition enforcement activities. On June 2, 2015 the City declared a Phase 2 water supply shortage in Resolution No. 2015-025 by formally requiring all water consumers to reduce use by 12% relative to their 2013 consumption. Additionally, on August 4, 2015, a water wasting penalty rate was established by Resolution No. 2015-047. This new penalty rate permits City staff to penalize those users not meeting their water use reduction targets of 12%. The City of Santa Ana as a whole has been meeting its State mandated target; as a result the City has yet to impose any monetary penalties on any of its users. The City has communicated the water wasting prohibitions and water conservation measures via various communication outlets available including messaging on water bills, bill inserts, bill envelopes, the City website, bus shelter advertisements, City newsletters, pole banners across the City, and a water conservation booth at community events. As a result, in 2015 the City received 1,064 water waster complaints: a dramatic increase from prior years. The City intends to continue both its water waste enforcement efforts and water conservation messaging in the future; however, the intensity of both activities will be directly related to the level of water conservation required to meet stated use reductions. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-3 9.1.2 Metering The City requires individual metering for all new connections and bills by volume-of-use. All existing connections are metered. The City has a meter replacement and calibration program in place. Over the past 5 years, the program focused on replacing aging meters and those with high use, replacing approximately 500-1,000 meters per year. In 2020, the City Council approved a project proposal to expand the meter replacement and calibration program by implementing and deploying Automated Meter Infrastructure (AMI) and a proactive calibration and testing program focused on periodically testing high use meters. The City will replace all meters to the AMI system over a 42 month period. The City is also upgrading the billing system software and customer portals, etc. In accordance with the City’s municipal code, all new development with over 1,000 square feet of landscape requires the installation of dedicated landscape meters. The City has also adopted a policy requiring individual metering of all users such as individual tenants of commercial plazas, residential condominiums, and apartments. 9.1.3 Conservation Pricing There are two parts to the City’s water service charges: a fixed Basic Service Charge and a variable Commodity Charge. The Basic Service Charge is a fixed amount based on the connection’s meter size and is billed bi-monthly. The Commodity Charge is determined by the amount of water served to the property and is measured in hundred cubic feet (HCF). The City also provides private fire water service and recycled water to specific customers and also has a Private Fire Service Charge and a Recycled Water Commodity Charge. The City’s current Commodity Charge rate schedule and Tier Allocation, effective from January 1, 2020, was approved in 2019 and is shown in Table 9-1 and Table 9-2, respectively. Table 9-1: Water Rates Effective January 1, 2020 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-4 Table 9-2: Water Tier Allocations Effective January 1, 2020 9.1.4 Public Education and Outreach The City administers its own public education and outreach program and develops, coordinates, and delivers a substantial number of public information, education, and outreach events aimed at elevating consumer awareness and understanding of current water issues as well as efficient wat er use and water­saving practices, sound policy, and water reliability investments that are in the b est interest of the region. These efforts encourage good water stewardship that benefit all City res idents, businesses, and industries across all demographics. The City also collaborates with MWD OC and their educational programming. Several examples are shown in Figures 9­1 to 9­8. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-5 Figure 9-1: Youth Outreach Flyer Figure 9-2: Outreach and Education Material Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-6 Figure 9-3: Outreach Event Photo 1 Figure 9-4: Outreach Event Photo 2 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-7 Figure 9-5: Outreach Event Photo 3 Figure 9-6: Outreach Event Photo 4 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-8 Figure 9-7: Landscape Transformation Program Outreach Flyer, Page 1 Figure 9-8: Landscape Transformation Program Outreach Flyer, Page 2 Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-9 Print and Electronic Materials The City of Santa Ana offers a variety of print and electronic materials that are designed to assist City’s water users of all ages in discovering where their water comes from, what the water industry professionals are doing to address water challenges, how to use water most efficiently, and more. Through the City’s social media presence, its website, Santa Ana Green newsletter, public service announcements, flyers, brochures, and other outreach materials, The City ensures that its residents are equipped with sufficient information and subject knowledge to assist them in making good behavioral and civic choices that ultimately affect the quality and quantity of the region’s water supply. Public Events Each year, the City of Santa Ana participates in an array of public events intended to engage and educate a diverse range of water users in water use efficiency and water quality topics. Some of these public events include:  Children’s Water Education Festival the largest festival of its kind, takes place every March at the University of California, Irvine. The Festival presents a unique opportunity to educate students about local water issues and help them understand how they can protect and preserve water and their environment. Approximately 7,000 third, fourth and fifth grade students attend the event, presented by the Orange County Water District (OCWD), the Disneyland Resort, the National Water Research Institute and the OCWD Groundwater Guardian Team. This two-day event brings students and their teachers together to learn about the importance of our natural resources. Students who attend the Festival are presented with a unique opportunity to learn about their local water issues and what they can do in their homes and community to protect and conserve water and the environment. Organizations and public agencies from Orange County and throughout California dedicate their time to help educate these young environmental stewards. Since its inception, more than 135,000 children from schools throughout Orange County have been able to experience the Festival and all it has to offer.  City-Sponsored or Private Events provide opportunities to interact with the City’s water users in a fun and friendly way, offer useful water-related information and education to engage them in important discussions about the value of water and how their decisions at home, at work, and as tax- or ratepayers may impact the City’s quality and quantity of water for generations to come. Education Programs and Initiatives Over the past several years, the City of Santa Ana has amplified its efforts in water education programs and activities throughout its service area. This is accomplished by continuing to grow professional networks and partnerships that consist of education groups, advisories, Communication Linkage Forums and SAUSD teachers’ groups for water­centric learning. Several key water education programs and initiatives include: Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-10  Landscape Training Classes provide Santa Ana’s residents with an opportunity to learn about rainwater capture, gardening practices that build a healthy soil, proper plant selection that are consistent with our local environment. These classes educate City’s customers to conserve water in their landscapes through sound practices and water-wise choices.  Choice School Programs The City of Santa Ana collaborates with MWDOC to provide educational programs and activities for the City’s youngest water users. Through this collaboration, the City has supplied its K-12 students with water-focused learning experiences for nearly five (5) decades. Interactive, grade-specific lessons invite students to connect with, and learn from, their local ecosystems, guiding them to identify and solve local water-related environmental challenges affecting their communities. Choice School Programs are aligned with state standards, and participation includes a dynamic in-class or virtual presentation, and pre- and post-activities that encourage and support Science, Technology, Engineering, Arts and Mathematics (STEAM)-based learning and good water stewardship.  City of Santa Ana’s Annual Youth Water Poster Contest is an annual activity developed to encourage City’s K-12 students to investigate and explore their relationship to water, connect the importance of good water stewardship to their daily lives, and express their conclusions creatively through art. Each year, the City of Santa Ana receives hundreds of entries, and 12 winners from across the City are invited to attend a special awards ceremony with their parents and teachers. 9.1.5 Programs to Assess and Manage Distribution System Real Loss Senate Bill 1420 signed into law in September 2014 requires urban water suppliers that submit UWMPs to calculate annual system water losses using the water audit methodology developed by the AWWA. SB 1420 requires the water loss audit be submitted to DWR every five years as part of the urban water supplier’s UWMP. Water auditing is the basis for effective water loss control. DWR’s UWMP Guidebook include a water audit manual intended to help water utilities complete the AWWA Water Audit on an annual basis. A Water Loss Audit was completed for the City which identified areas for improvement and quantified total loss. Based on the data presented, the three priority areas identified were water imported, billed metered, and unauthorized consumption. Multiple criteria are a part of each validity score and a system wide approach will need to be implemented for the City’s improvement. The City completes a system water audit to calculate water losses on an annual basis. As part of the AMI project, the City will be adding the customer leak detection and system leak detection sensors system-wide. Expressing water loss audit results in terms of Real Losses per Service Connection per Day allows for standardized comparison across retailer agencies and is a metric consistent with the Water Board’s forthcoming economic model. The Real Losses per Service Connection per Day for calendar year 2019 was 19.59 gal/connection/day. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-11 9.1.6 Water Conservation Program Coordination and Staffing Support The City’s Water Service Quality Coordinator, a position created in 1991, acts as the water conservation coordinator. The conservation coordinator is responsible for conservation program activities and acts as a liaison with MWDOC, MET, California Water Efficiency Partnership (CalWEP), and others. The City’s conservation coordinator’s duties include the following:  Administer the contracts that the City has with MET and MWDOC regarding rebate programs.  Conduct surveys at the request of residential and business customers (or designate a staff member to do so).  Coordinate with other agencies and public groups’ displays on conservation information and provide free water conservation materials to the public.  Monitor the recycled water program for the City.  Administer the City’s education program using contractors or staff to educate children of City schools or other locations. The City’s water conservation programs are funded by the water ratepayers. The conservation program efforts are factored into the City’s existing and future water rates as currently adopted. 9.1.7 Other Demand Management Measures (DMMs) 9.1.7.1 Residential Program As a direct member of MET, residential DMMs are made available to City water users through the SoCal WaterSmart Program.to increase landscape and indoor water use efficiency for residential customers. High Efficiency Clothes Washer Rebate Program The High Efficiency Clothes Washer (HECW) Rebate Program provides residential customers with rebates for purchasing and installing HECWs that. Approximately 15% of home water use goes towards laundry, and HECWs use 35-50% less water than standard washer models, with savings of approximately 10,500 gallons per year, per device. Devices must meet or exceed the Consortium for Energy Efficiency (CEE) Tier 1 Standard, and a listing of qualified products can be found at socalwatersmart.com. There is a maximum of one rebate per home. Premium High Efficiency Toilet Rebate Program The largest amount of water used inside a home, 30%, goes toward flushing the toilet. The Premium High Efficiency Toilet (HET) Rebate Program offers incentives to residential customers for replacing their toilets using 1.6 gallons per flush or more. Premium HETs use just 1.1 gallons of water or less per flush, which is 20% less water than WaterSense standard toilets. In addition, Premium HETS save an average of 9 gallons of water per day while maintaining high performance standards. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-12 9.1.7.2 Commercial, Industrial and Institutional (CII) Programs MET provides a variety of financial incentives to help City businesses, restaurants, institutions, hotels, hospitals, industrial facilities, and public sector sites achieve their efficiency goals. Water users in these sectors have options to choose from a standardized list of water efficient equipment/devices or may complete customized projects through a pay-for-performance where the incentive is proportional to the amount of water saved. Such projects include high efficiency commercial equipment installation and manufacturing process improvements. Water Savings Incentive Program The Water Savings Incentive Program (WSIP) is designed for non-residential customers to improve their water efficiency through upgraded equipment or services that do not qualify for standard rebates. WSIP is unique because it provides an incentive based on the amount of water customers actually save. This “pay-for-performance” design lets customers implement custom projects for their sites. Projects must save at least 10 million gallons of water to qualify for the Program and are offered from $195 to $390 per acre foot of water saved. Examples of successfully projects include but are not limited to changing industrial process system water, capturing condensation and using it to supplement cooling tower supply, and replacing water-using equipment with more efficient products. On-site Retrofit Program The On-site Retrofit Program provides another pay-for-performance financial incentive to commercial, industrial and institutional property owners, including Homeowner Associations, who convert potable water irrigation or industrial water systems to recycled water use. Projects commonly include the conversion of mixed or dedicated irrigation meters using potable water to irrigate with reclaimed water, or convert industrial processes use to recycled water, such as a cooling towers. Financial incentives of up to $1,300 per AF of potable water saved are available for customer-side on the meter retrofits. Funding is provided by MET, USBR, and DWR. Device Retrofits The City offers financial incentives under the Socal Water$mart Rebate Program which offers rebates for various water efficient devices to CII customers. 9.1.7.3 Landscape Programs One of the most active and exciting water use efficiency sectors MET provides services for are those programs that target the reduction of outdoor water use. With close to 60% of water consumed outdoors, this sector has been and will continue to be a focus for MET and the City. Turf Removal Program The Orange County Turf Removal Program offers incentives to remove turf grass from residential, commercial, and public properties throughout the County. This program is a partnership between MWDOC, MET, and local retail water agencies. The goals of this program are to increase water use efficiency through sustainable landscaping practices that result in multi-benefit projects across Orange County. Participants replace their turf grass with drought-tolerant, CA Friendly, or CA Native landscaping, Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-13 and retrofit their irrigation systems to high efficiency equipment, such as drip, or remove it entirely, and are encouraged to utilize smart irrigation timers. Furthermore, projects are required to include a stormwater capture feature, such as a rain garden or dry stream bed, and have a minimum of three plants per 100 square feet to increase plant density and promote healthy soils. These projects save water and also reduce dry and wet weather runoff, increase urban biomass, and sequester more carbon than turf landscapes. Smart Timer Rebate Program Smart Timers are irrigation clocks that are either weather-based irrigation controllers (WBICs) or soil moisture sensor systems. WBICs adjust automatically to reflect changes in local weather and site-specific landscape needs, such as soil type, slopes, and plant material. When WBICs are programmed properly, turf and plants receive the proper amount of water throughout the year. During the fall months, when property owners and landscape professionals often overwater, Smart Timers can save significant amounts of water. Rotating Nozzles Rebate Program The Rotating Nozzle Rebate Program provides incentives to residential and commercial properties for the replacement of high-precipitation rate spray nozzles with low-precipitation rate multi-stream, multi-trajectory rotating nozzles. The rebate offered through this Program aims to offset the cost of the device and installation. Socal Water$mart Rebate Program for Landscape The City also offers financial incentives under the SoCal Water$mart Rebate Program for a variety of water efficient landscape devices, such as Central Computer Irrigation Controllers, large rotary nozzles, and in-stem flow regulators. Landscape Training Classes The California Friendly and Native Landscape Training and the Turf Removal and Garden Transformation Workshops provide education to residential homeowners, property managers, and professional landscape contractors on a variety of landscape water efficiency practices that they can employ and use to help design a beautiful garden using California Friendly and native plant landscaping principles. The California Friendly and Native Landscape Class demonstrates how to: implement storm water capture features in the landscape; create a living soil sponge that holds water; treat rainwater by a resource; select and arrange plants to maximize biodiversity and minimize water use; and control irrigation to minimize water waste, runoff and non-point source pollution. The Turf Removal and Garden Transformation Workshop teaches participants how to transform thirsty turfgrass into a beautiful, climate-appropriate water efficient garden. This class teaches how to: evaluate the landscape’s potential; plan for garden transformation; identify the type of turfgrass in the yard; remove grass without chemicals; build healthy, living soils; select climate-appropriate plants that minimize water use and maximize beauty and biodiversity; and implement a maintenance schedule to maintain the garden. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-14 Implementation over the Past Five Years During the past five years, FY 2015-16 to 2020-21, the City, with the assistance of MET, has continued water use efficiency programs for its residential, CII, and landscape customers as described in Table 9-3. Implementation data is provided in Appendix I. The City will continue to implement all applicable programs in the next five years. Table 9-3: City of Santa Ana Water Conservation Efficiency Program Participation Measure Metric FY15/16 FY16/17 FY17/18 FY18/19 FY19/20 Central Computer Irrigation Controllers computer controllers - - - - 9 Flow Restrictor restrictors 4 91 - - - HECWs washers 260 197 151 149 96 HETs toilets 441 2 - 4 8 Rain Barrels barrels 177 40 9 3 7 Cisterns cisterns - - - - - Premium HETs toilets 1,163 158 582 7 920 Rotating Nozzles nozzles 208 2,356 - - 64 CII WBICs clocks 26 3 - 20 120 Residential WBICs clocks 22 16 32 25 22 Zero Water Urinals urinals - - - - - Plumbing Flow Control valves - - - - - Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-15 Measure Metric FY15/16 FY16/17 FY17/18 FY18/19 FY19/20 Soil Moisture Sensor controllers - - - - - Ice-Making Machine machines - 4 - - - Ultra Low Water Urinal urinals - 3 - - - Turf sf 368,012 197,651 720 1,700 6,775 Spray-to-Drip sf Not eligible WSIP projects 1 0 0 0 0 Recycled Water projects; sf irrigated Large Landscape Survey surveys 1 Water Use Objectives (Future Requirements) To support Orange County retailers with SB 606 and AB 1668 compliance (Conservation Framework), MET provides support to members agencies to ensure they meet the primary goals of the legislation including to Use Water More Wisely and to Eliminate Water Waste. Beginning in 2023, Urban water suppliers are required to calculate and report their annual urban water use objective (WUO), submit validated water audits annually, and to implement and report BMP CII performance measures. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-16 Urban Water Use Objective An Urban Water Supplier’s urban WUO is based on efficient water use of the following:  Aggregate estimated efficient indoor residential water use;  Aggregate estimated efficient outdoor residential water use;  Aggregate estimated efficient outdoor irrigation landscape areas with dedicated irrigation meters or equivalent technology in connection with CII water use;  Aggregate estimated efficient water losses;  Aggregate estimated water use for variances approved the State Water Board;  Allowable potable reuse water bonus incentive adjustments. Table 9-4 describes MET’s programs that will assist the City in meeting their WUO through both direct measures: programs/activities that result in directly quantifiable water savings; and indirectly: programs that provide resources promoting water efficiencies to the public that are impactful but not directly measurable. Table 9-4: MET Programs to Assist in Meeting WUO WUO Component Calculation Program Impact Indoor Residential Population and GPCD standard Direct Impact HECW HET Multi-Family HET (DAC/ non-DAC) Direct Impact: Increase of indoor residential efficiencies and reductions of GPCD use Outdoor Residential Irrigated/irrigable area measurement and a percent factor of local ETo Direct Impact Turf Removal Smart Timer HEN Rain Barrels/Cisterns  Direct Impact: Increase outdoor residential efficiencies and reductions of gallons per ft2 of irrigated/ irrigable area used Outdoor Dedicated Irrigation Meters Irrigated/irrigable area measurement and a percent factor of local ETo Direct Impact Turf Removal Smart Timer HEN Direct Impact: Increase outdoor residential efficiencies and reductions of gallons Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-17 WUO Component Calculation Program Impact Central Computer Irrigation Controllers Large Rotary Nozzles In-Stem Flow Regulators  per ft2 of irrigated/ irrigable area used Indirect Impact: Provide information, resources, and education to promote efficiencies in the landscape Water Loss Following the AWWA M36 Water Audits and Water Loss Control Program, Fourth Edition and AWWA Water Audit Software V5 Direct Impact Water Balance Validation Customer Meter Accuracy Testing Distribution System Pressure Surveys Distribution System Leak Detection No-Discharge Distribution System Flushing Water Audit Compilation Component Analysis Direct Impact: Identify areas of the distribution system that need repair, replacement or other action CII Performance Measures Urban water supplies are expected to report BMPs and more for CII customers. Through MET, the City offers a broad variety of programs and incentives to help CII customers implement BMPs and increase their water efficiencies. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 9-18 Table 9-5: CII BMP Implementation Programs Offered Component Program Offered Impact CII Performance Measures Water Savings Incentive Program (WSIP) On-Site Retrofit Program (ORP) HETs HE Urinals Plumbing Flow Control Valves Connectionless Food Steamers Air-cooled Ice Machines Cooling Tower Conductivity controllers Cooling Tower pH Controllers Dry Vacuum Pumps Laminar Flow Restrictors WSIP incentivizes customized CII water efficiency projects that utilize BMPs. ORP incentivizes the conversion of potable to recycled water, and is applicable to CII dedicated irrigation meters or CII mixed-use meters that may be split to utilize recycled water for irrigation. Additional CII rebates based on BMPS increase the economic feasibility of increasing water efficiencies. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 10-1 10 PLAN ADOPTION, SUBMITTAL, AND IMPLEMENTATION The Water Code requires the UWMP to be adopted by the Supplier’s governing body. Before the adoption of the UWMP, the Supplier has to notify the public and the cities and counties within its service area per the Water Code and hold a public hearing to receive input from the public on the UWMP. Post adoption, the Supplier submits the UWMP to DWR and the other key agencies and makes it available for public review. This section provides a record of the process the City followed to adopt and implement its UWMP. Overview Recognizing that close coordination among other relevant public agencies is key to the success of its UWMP, the City worked closely with many other entities, including representation from diverse social, cultural, and economic elements of the population within the City’s service area, to develop and update this planning document. The City also encouraged public involvement through its public hearing process, which provided residents with an opportunity to learn and ask questions about their water supply management and reliability. Through the public hearing, the public has an opportunity to comment and put forward any suggestions for revisions of the Plan. Table 10-1 summarizes external coordination and outreach activities carried out by the City and their corresponding dates. The UWMP checklist to confirm compliance with the Water Code is provided in Appendix A. Table 10-1: External Coordination and Outreach External Coordination and Outreach Date Reference Notified the cities and counties within the Supplier’s service area that Supplier is preparing an updated UWMP (at least 60 days prior to public hearing) 3/8/2021 Appendix K Public Hearing Notice 5/19/2021 & 5/28/2021 Appendix K Held Public Hearing 6/1/2021 Appendix K Adopted UWMP 6/1/2021 Appendix L Submitted UWMP to DWR (no later than 30 days after adoption) 7/1/2021 - Submitted UWMP to the California State Library (no later than 30 days after adoption) 7/1/2021 - Submitted UWMP to the cities and counties within the Supplier’s service area (no later than 30 days after adoption) 7/1/2021 - Made UWMP available for public review (no later than 30 days after filing with DWR) 8/1/2021 - Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 10-2 This UWMP was adopted by the City Council on June 1, 2021. A copy of the adopted resolution is provided in Appendix L. Agency Coordination The Water Code requires the Suppliers preparing UWMPs to notify any city or county within their service area at least 60 days prior to the public hearing. As shown in Table 10-2, the City sent a Letter of Notification to the County of Orange and the City of Orange on March 8, 2021 to state that it was in the process of preparing an updated UWMP (Appendix K). Table 10-2: Retail: Notification to Cities and Counties DWR Submittal Table 10-1 Retail: Notification to Cities and Counties City Name 60 Day Notice Notice of Public Hearing Orange County Name 60 Day Notice Notice of Public Hearing Orange County The City's water supply planning relates to the policies, rules, and regulations of its regional and local water providers. The City is dependent on imported water from MET, its regional wholesaler. The City is also dependent on groundwater from OCWD, the agency that manages the OC Basin and provides recycled water in partnership with the OC San. As such, the City involved the relevant agencies in this 2020 UWMP at various levels of contribution as described below. This 2020 UWMP was developed in collaboration with MET’s 2020 UWMP to ensure consistency between the two documents. MET provided the information quantifying water availability to meet the City’s projected demands for the next 25 years, in five-year increments. MWDOC provided assistance to the City’s 2020 UWMP development by providing much of the data and analysis such as population projections from the California State University at Fullerton CDR and demand projections for the next 25 years. Additionally, MWDOC led the effort to develop a Model Water Shortage Ordinance that its retail agencies as well as the City, Anaheim and Fullerton can adopt as is or customize and adopt as part of developing their WSCPs. The City also takes part in many regional programs administered by MWDOC to assist retail agencies meet various State compliance, such as the OC Regional Alliance for SB x7-7 compliance, regional water loss program for SB555 compliance, and regional water conservation programs. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 10-3 As a groundwater producer who relies on supplies from the OCWD-managed OC Basin, the City coordinated the preparation of this 2020 UWMP with OCWD. Several OCWD documents, such as the Groundwater Reliability Plan, Engineer’s Report, and 2017 Basin 8-1 Alternative were used to retrieve the required relevant information, including the projections of the amount of groundwater the City is allowed to extract in the 25-year planning horizon. The various planning documents of the key agencies that were used to develop this UWMP are listed in Section 2.2.1. Public Participation The City encouraged community and public interest involvement in the Plan update through a public hearing and inspection of the draft document on June 1, 2021. As part of the public hearing, the City discussed adoption of the UWMP, SBx7-7 baseline values, compliance with the water use targets (Section 5), implementation, and economic impacts of the water use targets (Section 9). Copies of the draft plan were made available for public inspection at the City Clerk’s and Utilities Department offices. Public hearing notifications were published in local newspapers. A copy of the published Notice of Public Hearing is included in Appendix K. The hearing was conducted during a regularly scheduled meeting of the City Council. UWMP Submittal The City Council reviewed and approved the 2020 UWMP at its June 1, 2021 meeting after the public hearing. See Appendix L for the resolution approving the Plan. By July 1, 2021, the City’s adopted 2020 UWMP was filed with DWR, California State Library, the County of Orange and the City of Orange. The submission to DWR was done electronically through the online submittal tool – WUE Data Portal. The City will make the Plan available for public review on its website no later than 30 days after filing with DWR. Amending the Adopted UWMP or WSCP Based on DWR’s review of the UWMP, the City will make any amendments in its adopted UWMP, as required and directed by DWR and will follow each of the steps for notification, public hearing, adoption, and submittal for the amending the adopted UWMP. If the City revises its WSCP after UWMP is approved by DWR, then an electronic copy of the revised WSCP will be submitted to DWR within 30 days of its adoption. Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 11-1 11 REFERENCES California Department of Housing and Community Development. (2020). Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs) and Junior Accessory Dwelling Units (JADUs). https://www.hcd.ca.gov/policy- research/accessorydwellingunits.shtml California Department of Water Resources (DWR). (2020a, January). California’s Most Significant Droughts: Comparing Historical and Recent Conditions. https://water.ca.gov/-/media/DWR- Website/Web-Pages/What-We-Do/Drought-Mitigation/Files/Publications-And- Reports/a6022_CalSigDroughts19_v9_ay11.pdf. Accessed on October 12, 2020. California Department of Water Resources (DWR). (2020b, August 26). The Final State Water Project Delivery Capability Report (DCR) 2019. https://data.cnra.ca.gov/dataset/state-water-project- delivery-capability-report-dcr-2019. Accessed on December 28, 2020. California Department of Water Resources (DWR). (2020c, August). Draft Urban Water Management Plan Guidebook 2020. https://water.ca.gov/-/media/DWR-Website/Web-Pages/Programs/Water- Use-And-Efficiency/Urban-Water-Use-Efficiency/Urban-Water-Management-Plans/Draft-2020- UWMP-Guidebook.pdf?la=en&hash=266FE747760481ACF779F0F2AAEE615314693456. Accessed on December 28, 2020. CDM Smith. (2021, March 30). Orange County Water Demand Forecast for MWDOC and OCWD Technical Memorandum. City of La Habra, Irvine Ranch Water District, & Orange County Water District. (2017, January 1). Basin 8-1 Alternative. https://www.ocwd.com/media/4918/basin-8-1-alternative-final-report-1.pdf. Accessed on December 29, 2020. City of Santa Ana. (2015). Urban Water Management Plan. Metropolitan Water District of Southern California (MET). (2021, June). 2020 Urban Water Management Plan. Orange County Water District. (2021, February). 2019-2020 Engineer’s Report on the Groundwater Conditions, Water Supply and Basin Utilization in the Orange County Water District. https://www.ocwd.com/media/8791/2018-19-engineers-report-final.pdf. Accessed on December 30, 2020. Orange County Water District. (2020). 2018-2019 Engineer’s Report on the Groundwater Conditions, Water Supply and Basin Utilization in the Orange County Water District. Santa Margarita Water District (SMWD). (2021). San Juan Watershed Project. About the Project: Phases. http://sanjuanwatershed.com/about-the-project/eir/phases/. Accessed on April 20, 2021. Tetra Tech. 2017 Water Master Plan: City of Santa Ana. January 2018. https://www.santa- ana.org/sites/default/files/Documents/2017WaterMasterPlan.pdf The Metropolitan Water District Act. (1969). http://www.mwdh2o.com/Who%20We%20Are%20%20Fact%20Sheets/1.2_Metropolitan_Act.pdf Santa Ana 2020 Urban Water Management Plan arcadis.com 11-2 United States Bureau of Reclamation (USBR). (2012, December). Colorado River Basin Water Supply and Demand Study: Study Report. https://www.usbr.gov/lc/region/programs/crbstudy/finalreport/Study%20Report/CRBS_Study_Rep ort_FINAL.pdf. Accessed on December 29, 2020. University of California Berkeley. (2020). About Accessory Dwelling Units. https://www.aducalifornia.org/. Accessed on December 9, 2020. APPENDICES Appendix A. UWMP Water Code Checklist Appendix B. DWR Standardized Tables Appendix C. Reduced Delta Reliance Appendix D. SBx7-7 Verification and Compliance Forms Appendix E. 2021 OC Water Demand Forecast for MWDOC and OCWD Technical Memorandum Appendix F. AWWA Water Loss Audits Appendix G. 2017 Basin 8-1 Alternative Appendix H. Water Shortage Contingency Plan Appendix I. Water Use Efficiency Implementation Report Appendix J. Demand Management Measures Appendix K. Notice of Public Hearing Appendix L. Adopted UWMP and WSCP Resolutions arcadis.com Arcadis U.S., Inc. 320 Commerce Suite 200 Irvine, California 92602 Tel 714 730 9052 Fax 714 730 9345 www.arcadis.com Maddaus Water Management, Inc. 105 Zephyr Place Danville California 94526 www.maddauswater.com Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 C&V Consulting, Inc. CITY OF SANTA ANA Cabrillo Town Project WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT ORANGE COUNTY, CALIFORNIA PREPARED FOR: FRH Reality LLC 5510 Morehouse Drive, Suite 200 San Diego, CA 92121 PREPARED BY: C&V Consulting, Inc. 9830 Irvine Center Drive Irvine, CA 92618 (949) 916-3800 Project Manager: Philip Malcomson, PE DATE REVISED: FEBRUARY 2023 Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 C&V Consulting, Inc.I TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.WSA PURPOSE AND BACKGROUND .................................................................................................4 2.INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................................6 2.1. Project Description ......................................................................................................................6 2.1.1. Existing Water Use ...........................................................................................................8 2.1.2. Proposed Water Use ......................................................................................................11 3.REGIONAL WATER SUPPLIES AND DEMANDS ..............................................................................14 3.1. City Water Supplies ...................................................................................................................14 3.2. City Water Demands..................................................................................................................20 4.REGIONAL WATER SUPPLY RELIABILITY ........................................................................................22 4.1. Metropolitan Water District regional water supply reliability.............................................22 4.2. OCWD and City of Santa Ana Local Water supply reliability ................................................24 5.CONCLUSION......................................................................................................................................27 6.REFERENCES .......................................................................................................................................29 7.TECHNICAL APPENDICES ..................................................................................................................30 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1 Vicinity Map...........................................................................................................................7 Figure 2 Exiting Land Use Aerial.......................................................................................................10 Figure 3 Proposed Cabrillo Town Center Site Plan ........................................................................12 Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 C&V Consulting, Inc.II LIST OF TABLES Table 1 Project Home Type Details ...................................................................................................6 Table 2 Proposed Water Demands....................................................................................................8 Table 3 City of Santa Ana Connections to Metropolitan Facilities ..............................................11 Table 4 City of Santa Ana Actual Demands for Potable and Non-Potable Water .....................14 Table 5 City of Santa Ana Groundwater Production 2020-21......................................................17 Table 6 City of Santa Ana Projected Total Water Demands.........................................................22 Table 7 Metropolitan Climate Scenario Water Supply Capability and Projected Demands Comparison from 2025-2040 (AF) ..................................................................................................23 Table 8 City of Santa Ana Multiple Climate Scenario Water Supply and Demand Comparison from 2025-2045 (AF) ........................................................................................................................26 LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix A – Proposed Project Water Demand Calculations Appendix B – City of Santa Ana Landscape Guidelines Appendix C – SGMA Basin 8-1 Alternative Plan Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 C&V Consulting, Inc.III ACRONYMS & ABREVIATIONS AF Acre-Feet AFY Acre-Feet per Year BEA Basin Equity Assessment BPP Basin Production Percentage CDR Center for Demographic Research CEQA California Environmental Quality Act CII Commercial, Industrial and Institutional cfs cubic feet per second CRA Colorado River Aqueduct DU Dwelling Unit DWR Department of Water Resources GPCD Gallons per Capita per Day gpd gallons per day GWRS Groundwater Replenishment System LTFP Long Term Facilities Plan M&I Municipal and Industrial MG Million Gallons OCWD Orange County Water District QSA Quantification Settlement Agreement RA Replenishment Assessment SANDAG San Diego Association of Governments SAR Santa Ana River SB Senate Bill SCAG Southern California Association of Governments SF Square Feet SWP State Water Project UWMP Urban Water Management Plan WSA Water Supply Assessment Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT NOVEMBER 21, 2022 4 1.WSA PURPOSE AND BACKGROUND This Water supply Assessment (WSA) was prepared for FRH Reality LLC as the project sponsor/applicant, and the City of Santa Ana (“City” or “Santa Ana”) as the lead agency under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), by C&V Consulting, Inc. (C&V), as the consultant, regarding the Cabrillo Town Center Project (“Cabrillo Town Center” or “Project”). SB 610 is an act that amended Section 21151.9 of the Public Resources Code, and Sections 10656, 10910, 10911, 10912, and 10915 of the Water Code. SB 610 was approved by the Governor and filed with the Secretary of State on October 9, 2001, and became effective January 1, 2002. Under SB 610, WSAs must be furnished to local governments for inclusion in environmental documentation for certain projects (as defined in Water Code 10912 [a]) subject to CEQA. Due to increased population, land use changes and water demands, this water bill seeks to improve the link between information on water availability and certain land use decisions made by cities and counties. SB 610 takes a significant step toward managing the demand of California’s water supply as it provides regulations and incentives to preserve and protect future water needs. The intent of this bill is to coordinate local water supply and land use decisions to help provide California’s cities, farms, and industrial developments with adequate water supplies. With the introduction of SB 610, any project under CEQA shall provide a WSA if the project meets the definition of the Water Code Section 10912. “Project” means any of the following: A proposed residential development of more than 500 dwelling units. A proposed shopping center or business establishment employing more than 1,000 persons or having more than 500,000 square feet of floor space. A proposed commercial office building employing more than 1,000 persons or having more than 250,000 square feet of floor space. A proposed hotel or motel, or both, having more than 500 rooms. A proposed industrial, manufacturing, or processing plant, or industrial park planned to house more than 1,000 persons, occupying more than 40 acres of land, or having more than 650,000 square feet of floor area. A mixed-use project that includes one or more of the projects specified in this subdivision. A project that would demand an amount of water equivalent to, or greater than, the amount of water required by a 500 dwelling unit project. If a public water system has fewer than 5,000 service connections, then “project” means any proposed residential, business, commercial, hotel or motel, or industrial development that would account for an increase of 10 percent or more in the number of the public water system’s existing service connections, or mixed-use project that would demand an amount of water equivalent to, or greater than, the Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 5 amount of water required by residential development that would represent an increase of 10 percent or more in number of the public water system’s existing service connections. After review of Water Code Section 10912, the 4th and Cabrillo Project is deemed a “Project” because it proposes a residential development of more than 500 dwelling units. In addition, it is also necessary to include the passing (September 24, 2016) of Senate Bill 1262 (Chapter 594) which acts to amend Section 66473.7 of the Government Code, and to amend Section 10910 of the Water Code, relating to land use1 and the Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) that was passed by California’s Governor on September 16, 2014. Pursuant to SB 1262, as January 1, 2017, WSAs are now required to include certain SGMA- related information if water supply for a proposed project includes groundwater. Specifically, if a water supply for a proposed project includes groundwater, the following additional information shall be included in the water supply assessment: A description of any groundwater basin or basins from which the proposed project will be supplied. For those basins for which a court or the board has adjudicated the rights to pump groundwater, a copy of the order or decree adopted by the court or the board and a description of the amount of groundwater the public water system, or the city or county if either is required to comply with this part pursuant to subdivision (b), has the legal right to pump under the order or decree. For a basin that has not been adjudicated that is a basin designated as high- or medium- priority pursuant to Section 10722.4, information regarding the following: o Whether the department has identified the basin as being subject to critical conditions of overdraft pursuant to Section 12924. o If a groundwater sustainability agency has adopted a groundwater sustainability plan or has an approved alternative, a copy of that alternative or plan. For a basin that has not been adjudicated that is a basin designated as low- or very low priority pursuant to Section 10722.4, information as to whether the department has identified the basin or basins as over drafted or has projected that the basin will become over drafted if present management conditions continue, in the most current bulletin of the department that characterizes the condition of the groundwater basin, and a detailed description by the public water system, or the city or county if either is required to comply with this part pursuant to subdivision (b), of the efforts being undertaken in the basin or basins to eliminate the long-term overdraft condition. As described in more detail throughout this WSA, the proposed Project will utilize water from the Orange County Groundwater Basin that is designated as a medium priority basin. Therefore, 1 Senate Bill No. 1262, CHAPTER 594, found here: http://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=201520160SB1262 Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 6 additional information regarding groundwater supply and management will be included in the WSA to satisfy the requirements of SB 1262. 2. INTRODUCTION 2.1 PROJECT DESCRIPTION The Cabrillo Town Center Project is an approximately 9.0-acre residential and mixed-use commercial project located in the City of Santa Ana. The Project address is bounded by East 4th Street and Cabrillo Park Drive to the south and west, office buildings to the east, and Cabrillo Park to the north. See Figure 1 for a vicinity map of the proposed site location. The existing property is currently occupied by four-3-story office buildings. The proposed project includes the development of a five-story mixed-use building consisting of 449 apartment units, approximately 23,300 SF of retail and commercial space, and a garage at the south side of the site, and 58 townhome units at the north side of the site. Parking for the project will be provided within a garage structure for the mixed-use building and street parking and home garages for the townhomes. Amenities of the project include pool, spa, fitness center, lounge, and clubroom. Landscaped open space is provided through common areas and courtyards. See Table 1 below for additional specifications related to the proposed project. Table 1 Project Home Type Details Home Type Unit Count Percentage of Total Unit Count Studio Apartment 23 4.5% 1 bedroom Apartment 264 52.1% 2 bedroom Apartment 148 29.2% Live/work+2 bedroom Apt 14 2.8% 2 bedroom townhome 26 5.1% 3 bedroom townhome 20 3.9% 4 bedroom townhome 12 2.4% Total 507 100% As mentioned above, the purpose of this WSA is to provide information to confirm that the City of Santa Ana has sufficient water supply to provide for the proposed project in addition to other service area demands now and into the future. This WSA compares the existing water demand of the project site to the proposed water demand of the project and to the City of Santa Ana regional water supplies and demands through 2040. Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 7 Figure 1 Vicinity Map Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 8 2.1.1 Existing Water Use The existing land use of the project site is occupied by four 3-story commercial buildings and their associated parking lot. Building 1 located in the southwest corner of the property has a footprint of approximately 21,054 SF. Building 2 located southeast corner of the property has a footprint of approximately 29,224 SF. Building 3 located at the center of the property (end of the driveway entering from the intersection of Cabrillo Park Drive and Parkcourt Place) has a footprint of approximately 19,602 SF. Building 4 located in the northwest corner of the property has a footprint of approximately 17,202 SF. Total existing landscape on the site is approximately 51,982 SF. See Figure 2 for an aerial image of the existing land uses at the property. Water Demand factors from the City of Santa Ana Design Guidelines for Water and Sewer Facilities (November 2020)2 are as follows: Single Family: 130 gpd/capita Multiple Family: 120 gpd/capita High-Rise Residential: 110 gpd/capita Commercial Recreational (hotels/motels): 180 gpd/capita Commercial: 2,500 gpd/acre Industrial: 3,500 gpd/acre Open Space/Parks/Landscape Areas: 3,000 gpd/acre A commercial water demand factor of 2,500 gallons per day (gpd) per acre was utilized for the four existing commercial office buildings. In addition, a landscape water demand factor of 3,000 gpd/acre was utilized for the scattered landscaping at the Project site. See Table 2 below for estimated existing water demands of the Project site. Table 2 Existing Water Demands Existing Land Use Land Use Square Footage Land Use Acreage Water Demand Factor (gpd/acre) Existing Water Demand (gpd) Existing Water Demand (AFY) Building 1 21,054 0.48 2,500 1,200 1.3 Building 2 29,224 0.67 2,500 1,675 1.9 Building 3 19,602 0.45 2,500 1,125 1.3 Building 4 17,202 0.39 2,500 975 1.1 Landscaped Area 51,982 1.19 3,000 3,570 4.0 Total 139,064 3.18 8,545 9.6 2 City of Santa Ana Design Guidelines for Water and Sewer Facilities (November 2020). Found here: https://www.santa-ana.org/documents/design-guidelines-standard-drawings-for-water-sewer-facilities/ Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 9 As shown in Table 2, the estimated existing water use at the project site is approximately 8,545 gallons per day (gpd) or 9.6 acre-feet per year (AFY). An estimated annual difference between existing water demands and proposed water demands resulting from the proposed project are calculated and shown in Section 2.1.2 below. Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 10 Figure 2 Aerial Cabrillo Town Center Project Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 11 Section 2.1.2 Proposed Water Use The Project consist of a total of 507 residential units comprised of 23 studio apartments, 264 one-bedroom apartments, 148 two-bedroom apartments, 14 two-bedroom live/work units, 26 two-bedroom townhomes, 20 three-bedroom townhomes, and 12 four-bedroom townhomes. Amenities include fitness areas, courtyards, clubroom, and other lounging areas. Additionally, the project consists of approximately 23,300 SF of commercial space. Approximately 108,676 of open space is proposed as common areas and private open spaces. See Figure 3 for the proposed site plan for the project. The total project residential water demands include estimates of both indoor and outdoor water demands. Indoor water demands include toilet-flushing, showers, baths, dishwashers, washing machines, faucets, and leakage. Outdoor water demands include landscape irrigation estimates. The estimates for residential water demands were developed by following the City of Santa Ana Design Guidelines for Water and Sewer Facilities (November 2020). Table 3 Proposed Water Demands Land Use Type Project DU or acreage Unit Water Demand1 Daily Water Usage (gpd) Annual Water Usage (AFY) Residential- Multifamily 507 190 gpd/DU1 96,330 108.0 Commercial 0.53 2,500 gpd/acre2 1,337 1.5 Open Space 2.94 3,000 gpd/acre2 8,820 9.9 Total Project Water Demand 507 Residential Units 106,487 119.4 Notes 1 Municipal Water District of Orange County – Orange County Water Reliability Study (December 2016) 2 City of Santa Ana Design Guidelines for Water and Sewer Facilities (November 2020) The proposed Project would have an annual water demand of approximately 119 AFY. That would be an approximately 110 AFY increase in water demand compared to the existing water demands at the project site. The following sections evaluates the ability for the City to meet the proposed increase in water demands. STOPNO DIVING3ft 6in NO DIVING3ft 6inNO DIVING3ft 6inNO DIVING3ft 6inU/CREF TRASH ICE NO DIVING3ft 6in NO DIVING 3ft 6inNO DIVING3ft 6in NO DIVING3ft 6in CBCB E.P. HUB E.P.HUB CBCB HUBE.P.CBCBE.P. HUB CBCBCBCBE.P.HUB1/1CBCB E.P.HUB 1/1 HUBE.P.CBCBE.P.HUB CBCB CBCBE.P. HUB E.P.HUBCBCBHUBE.P.CBCBCBCBE.P.HUB1/1CBCB E.P. HUB E.P. HUB CBCBCB CB E.P. HUB 1/1CBCBE.P.HUB 1/1CB CBE.P. HUB E.P. HUB CB CB CBCB E.P. HUB CB CBE.P.HUB1/1CB CBE.P.HUB E.P. HUB CB CB HUB E.P.CBCBCBCBE.P.HUB1/1CBCB E.P.HUB1/1 CB CB E.P. HUB E.P. HUB CBCBE.P.HUB CB CB HUB CBCBHUBE.P. CB CBCBCB E.P.HUB 1/1 CBCBE.P.HUB1/1MOVE-IN PARKING ENTRY COMMERCIAL COMMERCIAL 2 PARKING ENTRY FITNESS ELEC. ROOM 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 ELEC. ROOM PASSAGEWAY 2 2 2 2 RETAIL RETAIL PASSAGEWAY2 2 2 1 MOVE-IN PASSAGEWAYPASSAGEWAY CBE.P.HUB CB PASSAGEWAYCB E.P. HUB CB PASSAGEWAY2 2 1 1 2 1 CLUBROOM LOUNGE COURTYARD 'A' COURTYARD 'B' COURTYARD 'C' COURTYARD 'D' SHOPKEEPERS PLAZA TOWN CENTER PLAZA ENTRY COURT ROOF DECK ON 7TH LEVEL PARKING STRUCTURE ±136 STALLS/LEVEL 6.75 LEVELS PASSAGEWAY ELEC. ROOM1 PASSAGEWAY CBE.P. HUB CBPASSAGEWAY CBE.P. HUBCBPASSAGEWAY CB E.P. HUB CB PASSAGEWAY ELEC. ROOMCBE.P.HUB CBCBCBCBCBCBCBHUB E.P.CBCB E.P.HUBCBCBCBCBE.P.HUB HUB E.P.CBCB CB CBE.P.HUBCBCB CBCB E.P.HUBOTIS GEN23500 LB / 350 FPM5'-6" PIT15'-9" OVERRUN9'-9" CAB HEIGHT100' MAX. TRAVELNO PIT LADDER RECESS REQ'D GUESTNOPARKINGGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTNOPARKINGGUESTOFA81 SQ. FT.TRASH TERMINAL ROOM 1 30" DIA.3048 SIDEAPPROACH +54" MAX. A.F.S.30" DIA.30 48 SIDEAPPROACH +54" MAX. A.F.S.30" DIA.APOLLO A500 SSL COMPACTOR24" DIA.3048 SIDEAPPROACH+54" MAX. A.F.S. EL. MACHINE ROOM MECH. ROOM MAINT. ROOM ELEC. ROOM RAMP UP5.00%RAMP UP5.00%UP OTISGEN23500 LB / 350 FPM5'-6" PIT13'-9 " O V E R R U N 7'-9" C A B H E I G H T 100' M A X . T R A V E L NO PIT LADDER RECESS REQ'DTRASH TERMINAL ROOM 2 30" DIA.3048SIDEAPPROA C H +54" MAX . A . F . S . 30" DIA. 30 48SIDEAPPROACH +54" M A X . A . F . S . 30" DIA. APOLLO A 5 00 S SLCOMPACTO R EXHAUST81 SQ. FT. 24" DIA . 30 48SIDEAPPROACH+54" MAX. A . F . S .UPUP OFA81 SQ. FT.OTISGEN2 3500 L B / 3 5 0 F PM5'-6" P I T13'-9" O VE RR U N 7'-9" CA B H E IG HT 100' M AX . T RA V EL NO P I T L AD D ER R E C E SS R E Q' D OTIS GE N2 3500 LB / 3 50 FP M 5'-6" P I T13'-9" O VE RR UN7'-9" CA B H E I G HT 100' MA X . T RA VE L NO P I T L AD DE R R EC ES S R EQ ' DOTIS GE N2 3500 LB / 3 50 FP M 5'-6" P I T13'-9" O VE RR UN7'-9" CA B H E I G HT 100' MA X . T RA VE L NO P I T L AD DE R R EC ES S R EQ ' DEXHAUST81 SQ. FT.EL. MACHINE ROOMGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTCOMMERCIAL TRASH TERMINAL30" DIA.30 48 SIDEAPPROA C H +54" MAX. A . F . S .30" DIA.30 48 SIDEAPPROACH +54" MA X . A . F . S .30" DIA.APOLLO A 5 0 0 S S L COMPACTO R 24" DIA. 30 48 SIDEAPPROACH +54" MA X . A .F . S .RAMP UP5.00%RAMP DOWN5.00%NOPARKINGGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTBIKE SHOP/ BIKE STORAGE GUESTVANUSPSGUESTNOPARKINGGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTGUESTNOPARKINGGUESTNOPARKINGGATE 1 GATE 2 RESTROOMS 1:12 RAMP FF 144.10 FF 142.91FF 142.04 FF 141.70 FF 144.10ELEC. ROOMCBCBE.P.HUB CBCBE.P.HUB HUB E.P.CB CBCBCB E.P. HUB CB E.P. HUB CB PASSAGEWAYCB E.P. HUB CB PASSAGEWAYCB CB E.P. HUB 1/1E.P.HUB CBCB PASSAGEWAY CO-WORK HUBE.P.CBCBHUBE.P. CB CB HUBE.P.CBCBCBCBE.P.HUB 1:12 RAMP1:12 RAMP SHOPKEEPERS SHOPKEEPERS SHOPKEEPERSSHOPKEEPERSSHOPKEEPERSSHOPKEEPERS1:12 RAMP FF 144.10FF 142.91FF 142.04FF 141.701:12 RAMPFF 144.10SHOPKEEPERS 4TH STREET PARKCOURT PLACE T T T T CABRILLO PARK DRIVEHAMMERHEADPASEO40'x16' TRASH STAGING T PASEO/FIRE LANEDROP-OFF FAIRFIELD 144 NORTH ORANGE ST., ORANGE, CA 92866 (714) 639-9860 AO ARCHITECTS CABRILLO TOWN CENTER SANTA ANA, CA DATE: 11-10-2022 JOB NO.: 2021-591 G1.0OVERALL SITE PLAN 1"=50'-0" 50'100'150'0 25' NORTH14'-0"8'-0"14'-0"15'-0"15'-0"15'-0"15'-0"15'-0"15'-0"30'-2" 30'-0" 31'-11" 32'-3"87'-5"124'-1" 61'-9"85'-5"54'-5"63'-9"10'-0" •STREET TREES TO BE INSTALLED AS 24” BOX SIZE PER THE CITY STANDARDS & APPROVED PLAN, AS NEEDED • STREET TREES TO BE 35’ O.C. ALONG THE PROJECT FRONTAGE, INCLUDING DEEP ROOT IRRIGATION SYSTEMS, PER CITY STANDARDS. CONTACT THE TREE SECTION SUPERVISOR (714)647-3337 FOR TREE SPECIES & FOR NUMBER AND SIZE OF REQUIRED TREES REPLACEMENTS FAIRFIELD 144 NORTH ORANGE ST., ORANGE, CA 92866(714) 639-9860 AO ARCHITECTS CABRILLO TOWN CENTER SANTA ANA, CA DATE: 05-11-2022 JOB NO.: 2021-591 OWNER/APPLICANT:FAIRFIELD 5355 Mira Sorrento Place Suite 100 San Diego, CA 92121 (858)824-6487 Contact: Larry Scott lscott@ffres.com PROJECT TEAM CABRILLOTOWN CENTER SANTA ANA, CA SUBMITTAL SET MAY 11, 2022 VICINITY MAP N.T.S. SOUTHWEST CORNER VIEW ALONG FOURTH STREET AND CABRILLO PARK DRIVE CS-1COVER SHEET SITE IRVINE BOULEVARD FIRST STREET MAIN STREET 4TH STREET CHESTNUT AVENUE 17TH STREET GRAND AVENUECABRILLO PARK DRIVEYORBA STREETTUSTIN AVENUERESIDENTIAL ARCHITECT: AO ARCHITECTS 144 North Orange Street Orange, CA 92866 (714)639-9860 Contact: Ioanna Magiati, Salvador Madera ioannam@aoarchitects.com, salvadorm@aoarchitects.com TOWNHOMES ARCHITECT: KTGY 17911 Von Karman Avenue Suite 200 Irvine, CA 92614 (949)851-2133 Contact: Bryan Sevy bsevy@ktgy.com CIVIL ENGINEER: C&V CONSULTING, INC. 9830 Irvine Center Drive Irvine, CA 92618 (949)916-3800 Contact: Dane McDougall dmcdougall@cvc-inc.net 0’ 11-08-2022 25’50’100’ CONCEPTUAL LANDSCAPE PLAN L.1 THE “BACKYARDS “ see sheet L.6 APARTMENT POOL COURTYARD see sheet L.8 ENTERTAINMENT COURTYARD see sheet L.7 TOWNHOME POOL COURTYARD see sheet L.10 6’H DECORATIVE MASONRY WALL THE “BACKYARDS “ see sheet L.6 SHOPKEEPERS PLAZA see sheet L.5 TOWN CENTER PLAZA see sheet L.4 ROOF TERRACE see sheet L.9 COMMERCIAL SHOPKEEPERS CO-WORK MOVE- IN MOVE- IN SHOP- KEEPERS SHOP- KEEPERS SHOPKEEPERSRETAIL 4TH STREETCABRILLO PARK DRIVEPARKCOURT PLACE PROPOSED CENTRAL POINTE APARTMENTS & RETAIL CABRILLO PARK LINE OF SIGHT TRIANGLE • shrubs maintained to 30” high max • trees trimmed to trunk 7’ from top of sidewalk LINE OF SIGHT TRIANGLE GARAGE ENTRY LINE OF SIGHT TRIANGLE • shrubs maintained to 30” high max • trees trimmed to trunk 7’ from top of sidewalk 6’H TUBULAR STEEL FENCE Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 14 3. REGIONAL WATER SUPPLIES AND DEMANDS 3.1 CITY WATER SUPPLIES The City of Santa Ana obtains its water through its regional wholesaler, Metropolitan Water District of Southern California (Metropolitan), local groundwater from Orange County Groundwater Basin (OC Basin), and recycled water from the Orange County Water District (OCWD). The City’s 27.5 square mile water services covers the City of Santa Ana and a small neighborhood in the City of Orange, near Tustin Avenue and Fairhaven by the northeast corner of Santa Ana. The city operates ten reservoirs with a storage capacity of 49 million gallons (MG), seven pumping stations, 21 groundwater wells, four pressure regulating stations, and seven import water connections. The City maintains 510-mile water main systems with 45,037 service connections. Currently the City relieves on 76 percent groundwater, 23 percent imported water, and 1 percent recycled water3. The City’s water supply portfolio is expected to change to 84 percent groundwater, 15 percent imported, and 1 percent recycled water. See Table 4 summarizing the City’s recent water supply to satisfy demands from 2020. Table 4 City of Santa Ana Actual Demands for Potable and Non-Potable Water Actual 2020 Use Type Volume (AF) Single Family 11,916 Multi-Family 9,872 Commercial 5,364 Industrial 987 Institutional/Governmental 1,788 Landscape 1,349 Losses 1,940 Other 24 Total 33,240 Note: 1. Values per the City of Santa Ana 2020 UWMP, Table 4-1 As shown in Table 4 above, the actual demand for water in 2020 was 33,240. In the past decade the City has an annual average of 36,245 AF. The City’s water use in the last five years 3 2020 Urban Water Management Plan. Found here: https://www.santa-ana.org/urban-water-management-plan/ Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 15 decreased below the 10-year average due to the result of Governor Jerry Brown’s mandatory water conservation in 2014. With the City’s combined use of potable and non-potable water it ranged from 33,418 to 35,343 between FY2015/16 and FY2019/20. Residential, CII, and large landscape make up the use for potable water. Non-potable use includes the use of recycled water for large landscape and golf course irrigation. Additional details on the strategic management of these resources are explained below. OCWD Groundwater The primary source of water for the City is the Orange County Groundwater Basin (“OC Basin”) which is managed by the Orange County Water District (OCWD). The OC Basin underlies the north half of Orange County beneath broad lowlands. The OC Basin covers an area of approximately 350 square miles, bordered by the Coyote and Chino Hills to the north, the Santa Ana Mountains to the northeast, the Pacific Ocean to the southwest, and terminates at the Orange County line to the northwest, where its aquifer systems continue into the Central Basin of Los Angeles County. The OC Basin storage capacity is estimated to be 66 million AF4, of which only a fraction is available for use to prevent against physical damage to the Basin such as seawater intrusion or land subsidence. To ensure the Basin is not overdrawn, OCWD recharges the Basin with local and imported water. The Basin is recharged primarily by four sources including local rainfall, storm and base flows form the Santa Ana River (SAR), purchased Metropolitan imported water; and highly treated recycled wastewater. Basin recharge occurs largely in the following recharge basins that are in or adjacent to the City of Anaheim: Warner Basin: A 50-foot-deep recharge basin located next to the SAR at the intersection of the 55 and 91 freeways. Burris Basin: Located between Lincoln Avenue and Ball Road in the City of Anaheim. Kraemer Basin: Located adjacent to Burris Pit. Santiago Creek: Located in the City of Orange between Villa Park Road and E. Bond Avenue. As mentioned above, SB 1262 amended Section 10910 of the Water Code and requires the inclusion of SGMA-related information in WSAs. Specifically, following the SGMA basin prioritization and designations5, for a non-adjudicated basin that is designated as high- or medium-priority pursuant to Section 10722.4, information regarding the following must be included: Whether the department has identified the basin as being subject to critical conditions of overdraft pursuant to Section 12924. 4 OCWD Groundwater Management Plan 2015 Update. June 17, 2015. 5 SGMA Groundwater Information Center Interactive Map Application, found here: https://sgma.water.ca.gov/webgis/?appid=SGMADataViewer#gwlevels Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 16 If a groundwater sustainability agency has adopted a groundwater sustainability plan or has an approved alternative, a copy of that alternative or plan. The OC Basin (also referred to as Basin 8-1) has been designated as a medium-priority basin which requires this WSA to address or include information regarding the bullets above. As mentioned, SGMA provides authority for agencies like OCWD to develop and implement Groundwater Sustainability Plans or alternative plans (“Alternatives”) that demonstrate the basin has operated within its sustainable yield over a period of at least 10 years. OCWD decided to submit an Alternative for evaluation by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR). An Alternative is required to be submitted to DWR for review no later than January 1, 2017, and every 5 years thereafter. In general, Alternatives must be consistent with one of the following (Water Code §10733.6(b)): A plan developed pursuant to Part 2.75 (commencing with Section 10750) or other law authorizing groundwater management. Management pursuant to an adjudication action. An analysis of basin conditions that demonstrates that the basin has operated within its sustainable yield over a period of at least 10 years. The submission of an alternative described by this paragraph shall include a report prepared by a registered professional engineer or geologist who is licensed by the state and submitted under that engineer’s or geologist’s seal. OCWD prepared an Alternative that satisfies the third bullet point above to prove the OC Basin has operated within its sustainable yield over a period of 10 years. This Alternative was approved by DWR level in July 2019. The Basin 8-1 Alternative is included in Appendix C of this WSA. The Alternative states that Basin 8-1 has operated within its sustainable yield for more than 10 years without experiencing significant and unreasonable (1) lowering of groundwater levels, (2) reduction in storage, (3) water quality degradation, (4) seawater intrusion, (5) inelastic land subsidence, or (6) depletions of interconnected surface water that have significant and unreasonable adverse impacts on beneficial uses of the surface water. In addition, Basin 8-1 has not been in conditions of critical overdraft. DWR has one year to evaluate the Basin 8-1 Alternative. The paragraphs below will further explain how OCWD successfully manages the OC Basin to meet these new groundwater monitoring and managements. OCWD manages the Basin through the Basin Production Percentage (BPP) which is determined each water year. The BPP is set bason on groundwater conditions, availability of imported water supplies, water year precipitation, SAR runoff, and basin management objectives. The BPP represents an established percentage identifying the amount of groundwater all pumpers in the Basin can pump without paying a “pumping tax” or Basin Equity Assessment (BEA) to OCWD. For example, if the BPP is set to 75 percent, all pumpers within the Basin, including the City, can supply 75 percent of their water needs form the groundwater supplies at a cost significantly less than the cost of imported water. If groundwater production is equal to or less Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 17 than the BPP (i.e., less than 75 percent in the example above), all producers within the Basin pay a replenishment assessment (RA) fess which is used to fund groundwater replenishment and recharge programs aimed at ensuring the long-term viability and stability of the Basin. If groundwater production is greater than the established BPP for that water year (i.e., greater than 75 percent in the example above), the BEA is determined for the producer of that amount of groundwater provided in excess of the BPP. The BEA is an additional fee paid on each AF of water pumped above the BPP, making the total cost of that additional water equal to the higher cost of imported water form Metropolitan. According to OCWD’s Engineer’s Report for fiscal year 2020-21, the actual BPP was 77.1 percent as shown in table 5 below. Total water demands within OCWD were 406,992 AF for the water year (July 1, 2020, to June 30, 2021). Groundwater production for the water year totaled 281,793 AF including any available In-Lieu Program water and excluding Metropolitan Groundwater Storage Program extractions. Groundwater stored in the basin decreased by 48,000 AF. For the water year, the “annual overdraft” (annual basin storage decrease without supplemental replenishment water) was 149,800 AF. The accumulated overdraft was 248,000 AF on June 20, 2021.6 The table below shows the water production data from 2020/21 for the City of Santa Ana. Table 5 City of Santa Ana Groundwater Production 2020-21 Groundwater Supplemental Water (AF)(AF)Actual BPP Groundwater Producer Non- Irrigation Pumping Metropolitan CUP Total Delivery Irrigation Deliveries Total Grand Total Non- Irrigation Only City of Santa Ana 26,104 -26,104 7,738 -7,738 33,842 77.1% Source: OCWD Engineer’s Report, 2020-21 Engineer’s Report on Groundwater Conditions, Water Supply and Basin Utilization in the Orange County Water District, Appendix 1 Over the recent past, production capability of the Basin has increased as a result of increased wastewater reclamation at the Groundwater Replenishment System (GWRS) located in Fountain Valley. The GWRS, which is designed to turn wastewater into drinking water, is one of the most technologically advanced wastewater treatment plants in the world. A treatment plant expansion of 30 million gallons per day was recently put online by OCWD increasing the recharge capacity of the GWRS to 100 million gallons per day. This equates to the recycling of over 110,000 AFY of wastewater back into the Basin for future extraction and potable use. A final expansion of the treatment system is being designed to have a capacity of 130 million 6 OCWD. Engineer’s Report, 2020-21 Engineer’s Report on Groundwater Conditions, Water Supply and Basin Utilization in the Orange County Water District, February 2022. Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 18 gallons per day. Expansion projects to the GWRS increase local water supply reliability and ensure low-cost water supplies throughout northern Orange County, including the City of Santa Ana. Metropolitan Imported Water The City of Santa Ana is one of only three retail member agencies of Metropolitan in Orange County. As a member agency, pursuant to the Metropolitan Act, the City has preferential rights to a certain percentage of water delivered to Metropolitan each year primarily form the State Water Project and/or the Colorado River Aqueduct as well as other Metropolitan storage programs. Being a member agency of Metropolitan puts the City in a better position relative to receiving water directly from Metropolitan, as opposed to other agencies in Orange County which obtain their imported Metropolitan water through Municipal Water District of Orange County (MWDOC). The main sources of water metropolitan provides to the City include water from northern California delivered via the State Water Project (SWP) and water from the Colorado River Basin delivered via the Colorado River Aqueduct. More details on these sources of imported water are explained below. Colorado River The Colorado River was Metropolitan’s original source of water after Metropolitan’s establishment in 1928. Lake Mead and Lake Powell, the two largest reservoirs in the United States, can store 4 times the annual flow of the Colorado River. River flows are primarily generated from snowpack in the Rocky Mountains. Colorado River water is allocated and delivered to seven states in the US including Colorado, Utah, Wyoming, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, and California. Mexico also has an allocation of 1.5 million acre-feet (MAF) along the Colorado River each year. California’s urban water allocation is managed by Metropolitan and imported from the Colorado River via the Colorado River Aqueduct (CRA) which is stored at Diamond Valley Lake and Lake Mathews in Riverside County. The CRA includes supplies form the implementation of the Quantification Settlement Agreement (QSA) and related agreements to transfer water from agricultural agencies in Imperial County to urban uses throughout Southern California including Los Angeles, Orange County, and San Diego. The 2003 QSA enabled California to implement major Colorado river water conservation and transfer programs, stabilizing water supplies for 75 years and reducing the state’s demand on the river to its 4.4 MAF entitlement. Colorado River transactions are potentially available to supply additional water up to the CRA capacity of 1.25 MAF on an as-needed basis. California is apportioned to the largest allocation on the river of 4.4 MAF of water from the Colorado River each year plus one-half of any surplus that may be available for use collectively in Arizona, California, and Nevada. In addition, California has historically been allowed to use Colorado River water apportioned to but not used by Arizona or Nevada. Metropolitan has a basic entitlement of 550,000 AFY of Colorado River water, plus surplus water up to additional 662,000 AFY if certain conditions exist. The remainder of California’s allocation goes to Imperial Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 19 County, primarily to the Imperial Irrigation District, and is used mainly for agriculture production. Over the past 16 years (2000-2015), there have only been three years when the Colorado River flow has been above average.7 The long-term imbalance in future supply and demand is projected to be approximately 3.2 MAF by the year 2060. Actions are currently being taken and planned in the (future to resolve the imbalance between water supply and demand in areas thot use Colorado River water. Such actions include the resolution of uncertainties related to water conservation, reuse, water banking, and weather modification concepts.8 State Water Project The State Water Project (SWP) collects water from rivers in Northern California and redistributes it to the water-scarce but populous central and southern portions of California through a network of aqueducts, pumping stations, and power plants. Approximately 70% of the water provided by the SWP is used for urban areas and industry in Southern California and the San Francisco Bay Area, and 30% is used for irrigation in the Central Valley. The availability of water supplies from the SWP can be highly variable. A wet water year may be followed by a dry water year which restricts the amount of water that can be delivered throughout California. Metropolitan’s SWP imported water is stored at Castaic Lake on the western side of Metropolitan’s service area and at Silverwood Lake near San Bernardino, as well as in Diamond Valley Lake. The Sacramento-San Joaquin River Delta (Delta) is key to the SWP’s ability to deliver water to its agricultural and urban contractors. The Delta faces many challenges concerning its long-term sustainability such as climate change posing a threat of increased variability in floods and droughts. Sea level rise complicates efforts in managing salinity levels and preserving water quality in the Delta to ensure a suitable water supply for urban and agricultural use. Furthermore, other challenges include continued subsidence of Delta islands, many of which are below sea level, and the related threat of a catastrophic level failure as the water pressure increases, or because of a major seismic event. Metropolitan’s Board approved a Delta Action Plan in June 2007 that provides a framework for staff to pursue actions with other agencies and stakeholders to build a sustainable Delta and reduce conflicts between water supply conveyance and the environment. The Delta action plan aims to prioritize immediate short-term actions to stabilize the Delta while an ultimate solution is selected, and mid-term steps to maintain the Delta while a long-term solution is implemented. Currently, Metropolitan is working towards addressing three basic elements: Delta ecosystem restoration, water supply conveyance, and flood control protection and storage development. 7 2020 Metropolitan UWMP. 8 2012 USBR Colorado River Basin Water Supply and Demand Study. Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 20 In April 2015, the Brown Administration announced California WaterFix, as well as a separate ecosystem restoration effort called California EcoRestore (formerly known as the Bay Delta Conservation Plan). Together, the California WaterFix and California EcoRestore would make significant contributions toward achieving the coequal goals of providing a more reliable water supply for California and protecting, restoring, and enhancing the Delta ecosystem. The WaterFix was aimed at making physical and operational improvements to the SWP system in the Della necessary to restore and protect ecosystem heath, south-of-Delta SWP water supplies, and water quality. In May 2019, the Newsom Administration revised their stance on the WaterFix in response to multiple legal challenges. The revised project would include the construction of one tunnel instead of the previously proposed two-tunnel system. At this time, the DWR and the US Bureau of Reclamation (BOR) have withdrawn their water rights petition (the WaterFix Petition) and the project has been postponed indefinitely. Recycled Water The city depends on OCWD for its recycled water supply for non-potable uses such as irrigation. OCWD provided 352 AF of recycled water to the City of Santa Ana in 2015 as part of the Green Acres Project (GAP). OCWD owns and operates the GAP, a water recycling system that provides up to 8,400 AFY of recycled water an alternate source of water that is mainly delivered to parks, golf courses, greenbelts, cemeteries, and nurseries in the cities of Costa Mesa, Fountain Valley, Newport Beach, in addition to Santa Ana. The City maintains an agreement with OCWD to supply GAP water to customers where available. It is anticipated that recycled water supplied to the City will maintain around 300 AFY through 2040. 3.2 CITY WATER DEMANDS The City’s Water Utility provides water service within a 27.5-square mile service area to a population of approximately 308,459 as of May 2022.9 The City is almost completely built-out and its population is projected to increase by 16 percent by 2045. Approximately 65.5 percent of the City's water demand is residential including single family and multi-family residential units. Commercial land uses, including dedicated landscape, accounts for the remaining 24.5 percent of the total demand. The 2020 UWMP10 highlighted that water demands for the fiscal year of 2019/20 were 33,240 AF. In April 2015 Governor Brown issued an Executive Order as result of one of the most severe droughts in California’s history requiring a collective reduction in statewide urban water use of 25% by February 2016, with each agency in the state given a specific reduction target by DWR. In response to the Governor’s mandate, the City began to track its water wasting prohibition enforcement activities. On June 2, 2015, the City declared a Phase 2 water supply shortage in 9 Center of Demographics Research (CDR) at California State University, Fullerton 10 2020 City of Santa Ana Urban Water Management Plan. Found here: https://www.santa- ana.org/documents/2020-urban-water-management-plan/ Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 21 Resolution No. 2015-025 by formally requiring all water consumers to reduce use by 12 percent relative to their 2013 consumption. Additionally, on August 4, 2015, a water wasting penalty rate was established by Resolution No. 2015-047. This new penalty rate permits City staff to penalize those users not meeting their water use reduction targets of 12 percent. The City of Santo Ana as a whole met its State mandated target; as a result, the City did not have to impose any monetary penalties on any of its users. As of January 18, 2022, Governor Newson proclaimed a drought state emergency for all counties in California. Emergency regulations went into effect and will remain in effect for one year.11 The City has adopted new water conservation requirements effected June 7, 2022; these regulations primarily target outdoor use. As example, the City limits outdoor watering to two days a week and only between the hours of 6 p.m. to 6 a.m.12 Such restrictions have significantly reduced water demands throughout California. In addition to these mandated restrictions, cities must follow the Water Conservation Act of 2009, also known as Senate Bill (SB)x7-7. This law required the State of California to reduce urban water use by 20 percent by the year 2020. The City must determine baseline water use during their baseline period and water use targets for the years 2015 and 2020 to meet the state’s water reduction goal. The City’s 2015 target was 123 gallons per capita per day (GPCD) and the 2020 target is 116 GPCD. The 2020 UWMP reported that the City has already met both the 2015 and 2020 targets which an actual use in 2015 of 83 GPCD. This is likely due to increased conservation as required by the Governor’s Executive Order during severe drought conditions throughout California. The City’s water demand has been decreasing in recent years due to the combination of the Governor’s Executive Order and SBx7-7 goals. While residential use is projected to decrease due to water efficiency measures, usage by CII is projected to increase. CII were broken down into commercial, industrial, and institutional/governmental for 2025 through 2045 as shown in Table 6 below. 11 SWRCB Water Conservation Portal – Emergency Conservation Regulation, accessed on 11/11/22. Found here: https://www.waterboards.ca.gov/water_issues/programs/conservation_portal/regs/emergency_regulation.html 12 City of Santa Ana – Water Conservation Website, accessed 11/11/22. Found here: https://www.santa- ana.org/water-conservation/ Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 22 Table 6 City of Santa Ana Projected Total Water Demands (AFY) Water Demand Type 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045(opt) Potable and Raw Water 33,240 33,633 34,146 33,881 33,589 33,578 Recycled Water 249 249 249 249 249 249 Total Water Demand 33,489 33,882 34,395 34,130 33,838 33,827 Source: 2020 City of Santa Ana UWMP The 2020 Metropolitan UWMP stated that Metropolitan would be able to meet the demands of its member agencies, including the City of Santa Ana, through 2045. Therefore, imported water demands for the City of Santa Ana are projected to be met through the 20-year requirements of SB 610 and beyond. The City of Santa Ana 2020 UWMP also confirmed the ability of the local supplies and the OC Basin to meet the growing demands of the City. The ability of the City to meet these growing demands in multiple climate scenarios is explained in the sections below. 4. REGIONAL WATER SUPPLY RELIABILITY The City of Santa Ana currently depends on Metropolitan and local groundwater resources to provide majority of its water supply. This section provides a description of the ability of Metropolitan, OCWD, and the City to ensure that adequate water supplies will be available to satisfy the City’s growing water demands including the proposed Project through 2045 during normal, single dry year, and multiple dry year scenarios. 4.1 METROPOLITAN WATER DISTRICT REGIONAL WATER SUPPLY RELIABILITY Metropolitan’s 2020 Urban Water Management Plan (UWMP) was finalized in June 2021 and has been prepared in compliance with Water Code Sections 10608.36 of SB X7-7 and Sections 10610 through 10656 of the Urban Water Management Planning Act (Act). The information included in the 2020 UWMP represents the most current and available planning projections of supply capability and demand developed through a collaborative process with the member agencies, including the City of Santa Ana. The Act requires reporting agencies to describe their water reliability under a single dry-year, multiple dry-year, and average year conditions, with projected information in five-year increments for 20 years. Metropolitan updates its retail municipal and industrial (M&I) projection periodically based on the release of official regional demographic and economic projections. The projections of retail M&I water demands used in the 2020 UWMP are based on data from the Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) Connect SoCal: The 2020-2045 Regional Transportation Plan/Sustainable Community Strategy (May 2020) and the San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG) San Diego Forward: The 2019 Federal Regional Transportation Plan Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 23 (October 2019). The projected regional demand is adjusted to account for water conserved by best management practices from active, code-based, and price-effect conservation. Supply analysis includes Colorado River supplies, SWP supplies, and existing proposed storage programs through Metropolitan’s service area. Colorado River Aqueduct (CRA) supplies include supplies that would result from existing and committed programs and from implementation of the Quantification Settlement Agreement (QSA) and related agreements. State Water Project (SWP) supplies are estimated using the 2019 SWP Delivery Capability Report distributed by the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) in August 2020. Regarding storage, Metropolitan assumed the current (2020) storage levels at the start of simulation and used the median storage levels going into each of the five-year increments based on the balances of supplies and demands. See Table 7 below showing Metropolitan’s ability to meet growing demands in normal, single-dry, and multiple-dry year climate scenarios. Table 7 Metropolitan Climate Scenario Water Supply Capability and Projected Demands Comparison from 2025-2040 (AF) Forecast Year 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Normal Year Capability of Current Supply 3,899,000 3,893,000 3,890,000 3,888,000 3,885,000 Total Demands 1,427,000 1,388,000 1,362,000 1,378,000 1,403,000 Supply Programs Under Development 13,000 13,000 13,000 13,000 13,000 Total Potential Surplus 2,485,000 2,518,000 2,541,000 2,523,000 2,495,000 Single Dry Year Capability of Current Supply 2,772,000 2,761,000 2,760,000 2,760,000 2,757,000 Total Demands 1,544,000 1,500,000 1,473,000 1,496,000 1,525,000 Supply Programs Under Development 0 0 0 0 0 Total Potential Surplus 1,228,000 1,261,000 1,287,000 1,264,000 1,232,000 Five Consecutive Water Years Capability of Current Supply 2,178,800 2,219,000 2,241,000 2,263,000 2,239,000 Total Demands 1,592,000 1,570,000 1,537,000 1,539,000 1,564,000 Supply Programs Under Development 0 0 0 0 0 Total Potential Surplus 586,800 649,000 704,000 724,000 675,000 Source: 2020 Metropolitan UWMP Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 24 The findings of the 2020 UWMP highlight that Metropolitan has supply capabilities that would be sufficient to meet expected demands from 2020 through 2045 under the normal, single dry- year and five consecutive water dry-years conditions. Metropolitan also has proposed programs in place to ensure against water shortages in the future. These programs include projects along the California Aqueduct and the Colorado River Aqueduct in addition to demand reduction projects. In all climate scenarios, Metropolitan estimated potential surpluses in water supply through 2045. The Metropolitan 2020 UWMP was made public in June 2021 and shared with metropolitan’s member agencies. Once these findings were finalized, the Metropolitan member agencies could conclude their own 2020 UWMP findings. The City of Santa Ana published their 2020 UWMP findings in June 2021 after determining Metropolitan would be able to meet the City’s imported water demands through 2045. The City of Santa Ana and OCWD local water supply reliability is summarized below. 4.2 OCWD AND CITY OF LOCAL WATER SUPPLY RELIABILITY Like Metropolitan, the City of Santa Ana is also required to assess the reliability of their water service to its customers under normal, single-dry, and multiple-dry water years. As mentioned, the City depends on a combination of imported water from Metropolitan and local groundwater supplies from OCWD to meet its water demands. The City has taken numerous steps to ensure it has adequate supplies to provide for growing demands. The City has several water demand reduction requirements and resources on their website that informs its customers on how to save water updated June 7, 2022. Some of the main requirements are summarized below: Residential o Outdoor watering of lawns, landscapes, or other turf areas is limited to two days a week, and only between the hours of 6 p.m. to 6 a.m. o Leaks must be repaired within 48 hours of notification by the City. o No washing down sidewalks or driveways. o No excessive water flow or runoff that causes water to flow onto an adjoining sidewalk, driveway, street, alley, gutter, or ditch. o No washing vehicles with a hose, unless fitted with a shut-off nozzle. o No operating a fountain or decorative water feature unless the water is part of a recirculating system. o No outdoor watering during the 48 hours following measurable rainfall. Business o Restaurants, cafes, and bars can only serve water to customers on request. o Hotels and motels must provide guests with the option of not having towels and linens laundered daily. Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 25 In addition, landscape policies have also been modified to allow drought tolerate landscape throughout the City (see Appendix B). These programs have been successful in reducing water demands throughout the City’s service area. OCWD is also taking strides to ensure local water supplies will meet growing demands now and into the future. As mentioned, OCWD manages the City’s groundwater supply and the entire OC Basin utilizing the BPP approach. For Water Year 2021-22 the BPP was set at 77 percent. In the City’s 2020 UWMP, OCWD anticipated being able to sustain the BPP at 85 percent stating in 2025. The expected completion of GWRS Final Expansion (GWRSFE) in 2023 and relatively low water demands of approximately 400,000 AFY are the reasons for the higher BPP in 2025. The BPP projection is based off average annual rainfall weather patterns and if the City was to experience a relatively dry period, the BPP could be reduced to maintain water storage levels as much as 5 percent. As shown in Table 9 below, the City’s available supply including OCWD groundwater and Metropolitan imported water, will meet projected demand during normal, single dry, and multiple dry years. For the City’s 2020 UWMP, the normal dry year was selected as the City’s 2025 demand. A single dry year is defined as a single year of no to minimal rainfall within a period that average precipitation is expected to occur. The City has documented that it is 100 percent reliable for single dry year demands from 2025 through 2045 using FY 2017-18 and FY 2018-19 and the single-dry year hydrologic condition by FY 2013-14. Based on the Demand of Forecast TM (CDM Smith, 2021) there is a 6 percent assumed increased above average year demands in dry and multiple dry years. Multiple-dry years are defined as three or more years with minimal rainfall with a period of average precipitation. The City is capable of meeting all customer’s demands with significant reserves held by Metropolitan, local groundwater supplies, and conservation in multiple dry years from 2025 through 2045 with a demand increase of 6 percent using FY 2012-13 through FY 2015-16 as the driest years. Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 26 Table 8 City of Santa Ana Multiple Climate Scenario Water Supply and Demand Comparison from 2025-2045 (AF) Forecast Year 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 Normal Year Supply totals 33,882 34,395 34,130 33,838 33,827 Demand totals 33,882 34,395 34,130 33,838 33,827 Single-Dry Year Supply totals 35,915 36,459 36,178 35,868 35,857 Demand totals 35,915 36,459 36,178 35,868 35,857 Multiple-Dry Years First year Supply totals 35,581 36,024 36,403 36,116 35,866 Demand totals 35,581 36,024 36,403 36,116 35,866 Second year Supply totals 35,665 36,133 36,347 36,054 35,864 Demand totals 35,665 36,133 36,347 36,054 35,864 Third year Supply totals 35,748 36,241 36,290 35,992 35,861 Demand totals 35,748 36,241 36,290 35,992 35,861 Fourth year Supply totals 35,831 36,350 36,234 35,930 35,859 Demand totals 35,831 36,350 36,234 35,930 35,859 Fifth year Supply totals 35,915 36,459 36,178 35,868 35,857 Demand totals 35,915 36,459 36,178 35,868 35,857 Source: 2020 City of Santa Ana UWMP As shown in Table 8 above, in all climate scenarios analyzed in the 2020 UWMP, available water supplies are projected to meet demands. Reliability of local water supplies will be ensured through continued implementation of the OCWD Groundwater Management Plan, OCWD’s LTFP, and the combined efforts and programs among member agencies of Metropolitan. Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 27 The City closely monitors development throughout the City to ensure water supplies will meet growing demand. The City’s 2020 UWMP reports that there were no current City-specific planned projects that had both concrete timeline and a quantifiable increase in supply. There were various projects planned though to maintain and improve the water system. Listed below are some of those projects: · City Initiatives o New Well Construction o Major Well Rehabilitation · Regional Initiatives o Poseidon Huntington Beach Ocean Desalination Project o Doheny Ocean Desalination Project o San Juan Watershed Project o South Orange County Emergency Interconnection Expansion o SARCCUP The findings of the Metropolitan 2020 UWMP and the City of Santa Ana 2020 UWMP confirm that the City of Santa Ana will be able to supply water to growing demands within its service area which satisfies the requirements of SB 610. 5. Conclusion The City of Santa Ana depends on local and regional water supplies from OCWD and metropolitan to satisfy growing demands. OCWD has managed the OC Basin for over 75 years and has plans to sustainably mange the groundwater system through 2045 under the new California SGMA policies and guidelines. Metropolitan has stated in its 2020 UWMP that its water supply portfolio will be able to satisfy regional growth and water demands through 2045. The same findings were concluded in the City of Santa Ana 2020 UWMP as both Metropolitan and OCWD supplies are projected to meet future water demands. With the combination of local conservation, regional drought management regulations, and the City projection of small population increase, the 2020 City UWMP projected that water demands would increase 1.2 percent by 2025 and decrease slightly by 0.2 percent from 2025 through 2045. The 2020 UWMP incorporated regional growth projections and as reported there were no City- specific planned projects that had both concrete timeline and a quantifiable increase in supply. With various local and regional water demand regulations and the City UWMP projecting water demand to be stable from 2025 through 2045, this WSA can conclude adequate supplies are available. Using projected demands per the 2020 UWMP, demand is projected to increase 0.3 percent after completion of the Project. The 0.3 percent increase in demand is well within the City’s estimated percentage increase of 1.2 by 2025. The City of Santa Ana can provide form demands of the proposed Project as well as other service area demands within the City of Santa Ana. Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 28 6. REFERENCES 2020 Metropolitan of Southern California Urban Water Management Plan 2020 Municipal Water District of Orange County (MWDOC) Urban Water Management Plan 2020 City of Santa Ana Urban Water Management Plan Center of Demographics Research (CDR) at California State University, Fullerton City of Santa Ana – Water Conservation Website, accessed 11/08/2022. Found here: https://www.santa-ana.org/water-conservation/ City of Santa Ana Design Guidelines for Water and Sewer Facilities (November 2020) https://www.santa-ana.org/documents/design-guidelines-standard-drawings-for-water- sewer-facilities/ OCWD Groundwater Management Plan 2015 Update. June 17, 2015 OCWD. 2020-2021 Engineer’s Report on the Groundwater Conditions, Water Supply and Basin Utilization in the Orange County Water District Senate Bill No. 1262, CHAPTER 594, found here: http://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=201520160SB1262 SGMA Groundwater Information Center Interactive Map Application, found here: https://sgma.water.ca.gov/webgis/?appid=SGMADataViewer#gwlevels Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 29 APPENDIX A PROPOSED PROJECT WATER DEMAND CALCULATIONS Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT NOVEMBER 21, 2022 31 Land Use Type Project DU or acreage Unit Water Demand1 Daily Water Usage (gpd)Annual Water Usage (AFY) Residential- Multifamily 507 190 gpd/DU1 96,330 108.0 Commercial 0.53 2,500 gpd/acre2 1,337 1.5 Open Space 2.94 3,000 gpd/acre2 8,820 9.9 Total Project Water Demand 507 Residential Units 106,487 119.4 Notes 1 Municipal Water District of Orange County – Orange County Water Reliability Study (December 2016) 2 City of Santa Ana Design Guidelines for Water and Sewer Facilities (November 2020) Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT NOVEMBER 21, 2022 32 APPENDIX B CITY OF SANTA ANA LANDSCAPE GUIDELINES M:\Landscape\CA Friendly Landscape Guideline May272015REV.doc For In response to the extreme drought conditions throughout California, and the drought State of Emergency declared by the Governor in 2014, landscape policies have been modified to allow drought tolerant landscape throughout the city. The following are the Planning Division policy guidelines for required landscape planting and “ground cover” on private property: 1. 100% of the required landscape for private property MUST be covered with materials such as plants, compost and mulch, and permeable “hardscape” – with the exception of approved driveways and walkways. Refer to property zoning district for minimum of trees and shrubs. http://www.ci.santa-ana.ca.us/pba/planning/ZoningDocuments.asp 2. Plant material must cover at least 65% of the required landscape area. a. The Landscape Plan MUST be designed such that it can reasonably be assumed that at least 65% of the site will be covered with plant material by the time the plants are mature, or within two years, whichever is sooner. This determination will be made at the sole discretion of Planning and Building Agency staff. Synthetic turf may be installed, provided it does not exceed 50% of the area designated as plant material for the yard. For more details on synthetic turf landscape plan requirement see http://www.santa-ana.org/pba/planning/documents/Synthetic_turf_standards.pdf b. Plant material is to be dispersed throughout the landscape area. 3. Permeable hardscape may cover no more than 35% of the required landscape area. a. Permeable hardscape may include pavers and brick set on a bed of sand, where no mortar or grout has been used. b. If not covered by permeable hardscape or plant material, landscape must be completely covered by at least a two-inch layer of mulch. Acceptable mulch includes compost, bark and other organic material. There can be no bare soil or installation of non-permeable (material water cannot easily penetrate) hardscape such as a concrete patio or walkway. c. Permeable hardscape adjacent to approve driveways shall not be used for parking of vehicles. Permeable hardscape is to no greater than two percent slope to allow for draining of water into the soil. 4. All plant materials selected from these two websites (LA Coastal Gardens and www.bewaterwise.com) are acceptable drought tolerant plants. 5. Irrigation systems should also be adjusted to be water efficient through best practices (drip irrigation, bubblers, etc.) Additional information and a variety of resources for creating and maintaining a California Friendly garden are available at http://www.santa-ana.org/SAwatersmart/. For more information about landscaping your parkway, is please see the “Quick Links” for the Parkway Improvement Guidelines. Planning and Building Agency Planning Division 20 Civic Center Plaza P.O. Box 1988 (M-20) Santa Ana, CA 92702 (714) 647-5804 www.santa-ana.org CALIFORNIA FRIENDLY LANDSCAPE GUIDELINES BORHOOD REVIEW Project Description M:\Landscape\CA Friendly Landscape Guideline May272015REV.doc Sample of landscape planting and permeable hardscape Permeable Hardscape (35% maximum) Single Family Residences (R1 zoning district) requires: 20 feet landscape setback for front yard; to include one 24-inch box canopy tree, six 5-gallon shrubs, ten 1-gallon shrubs (SAMC 41-240) and “ground cover” (per 2014 City California Friendly Landscape Guideline). A five feet landscape setback is also required for side yards, with the exception of approved walkway or driveway. Landscape Plants (65% minimum) 20 Feet Cabrillo Town Center WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FEBRUARY 13, 2023 35 APPENDIX C SGMA BASIN 8-1 ALTERNATIVE PLAN W 0Lp V CITY OF LA HABRA 14 SINCE 143: Irvine Ranch WATER DISTRICT Basin 8-1 Alternative Reduced Version. Full document found here: https://www.ocwd.com/media/4918/basin-8-l-alternative-final-report-1.pdf Submitted by: Orange County Water District City of La Habra Irvine Ranch Water District Submitted to: California Department of Water Resources January 1, 2017 Table of Contents Overview Hydrogeology of Basin 8-1 III. La Habra -Brea Management Area IV. OCWD Management Area V. South East Management Area VI. Santa Ana Canyon Management Area Attachment One: Documentation of Public Participation and Agency Approvals 2017 BASIN 8-1 ALTERNATIVE Table of Contents i Basin 8-1 Overview BASIN 8-1 ALTERNATIVE OVERVIEW The Sustainable Groundwater Management Act (SGMA) requires all high- and medium -priority basins, as designated by the Department of Water Resources (DWR), be sustainably managed. DWR designated the Coastal Plain of Orange County Groundwater Basin ("Basin 8-1" or Basin") as a medium -priority basin, primarily due to heavy reliance on the Basin's groundwater as a source of water supply. Compliance with SGMA can be achieved in one of two ways: 1) A Groundwater Sustainability Agency (GSA) is formed and a Groundwater Sustainability Plan (GSP) is adopted, or 2) Special Act Districts created by statute, such as OCWD, and other agencies may prepare and submit an Alternative to a GSP. The agencies within Basin 8-1 have agreed to collaborate together in order to submit an Alternative to a GSP. Within this document, this Alternative to a GSP will be referred to herein as the "Basin 8-1 Alternative' or "Alternative". In accordance with Water Code §10733.6(b)(3), this Alternative presents an analysis of basin conditions that demonstrates that the Basin has operated within its sustainable yield over a period of at least 10 years. In addition, the Alternative establishes objectives and criteria for management that would be addressed in a GSP and is designed to be "functionally equivalent" to a GSP. As will be shown in the Basin 8-1 Alternative, Basin 8-1 has been operated within its sustainable yield for more than 10 years without experiencing significant and unreasonable (1) lowering of groundwater levels, (2) reduction in storage, (3) water quality degradation, (4) seawater intrusion, (5) inelastic land subsidence, or (6) depletions of interconnected surface water that have significant and unreasonable adverse impacts on beneficial uses of the surface water. Please note that the boundaries of Basin 8-1 described in this document are based on the scientific boundary modifications as accepted by DWR in 2016 as part of the Basin Boundary Modification Process. The Basin 8-1 Alternative has been jointly prepared by the Orange County Water District OCWD), Irvine Ranch Water District (IRWD); and the City of La Habra (collectively the Submitting Agencies"); pursuant to this Alternative, the Submitting Agencies will ensure the entire Basin 8-1 continues to be sustainably managed and data reported as required by SGMA. Other agencies within Basin 8-1 and at least partially outside of OCWD's boundaries support submission of the Basin 8-1 Alternative and either have participated in preparing the Alternative and/or reviewed the Alternative. These agencies include the cities of Brea, Corona, and Chino Hills; the Counties of Orange, Riverside, and San Bernardino; Yorba Linda Water District; and El Toro Water District. Pursuant to Water Code §10733.6(b)(3), the Basin 8-1 Alternative has been prepared by or under the direction of a professional geologist or professional engineer. 2017 BASIN 8-1 ALTERNATIVE Overview 1 Basin 8-1 Overview For the purpose of compliance with the SGMA requirement that the entire basin be covered by this Basin 8-1 Alternative, Submitting Agencies have divided Basin 8-1 into four management areas: La Habra -Brea, OCWD, South East, and Santa Ana Canyon Management Areas, shown in Figure 1-1. Historically, the majority of Basin 8-1 (90% of the land area) has been managed by OCWD, which includes the land area within the OCWD Management Area and a small portion of the land area within the Santa Ana Canyon Management Area. The percentage of the land area within Basin 8-1 in each of the management areas is shown in Figure 1-2. Although the land areas outside of OCWD's jurisdiction in the Santa Ana Canyon and South East Management Areas have not been formally "managed" by OCWD, the hydrogeological conditions in these areas are essentially an extension of the managed basin. OCWD has incorporated data, when available, from these areas into the OCWD data base. For example, precipitation runoff from the mountains along the eastern border (in the South East Management Area) is estimated and incorporated into OCWD's basin water budget. The Santa Ana Canyon Management Area, created in this report in order to include land within and outside of OCWD's service area, is upstream of OCWD recharge operations. While OCWD does not have jurisdiction over all the land in this area, OCWD does have the rights to all the water in the Santa Ana River released from Prado Dam. In this respect, OCWD is actively engaged in managing the flow of surface water within the Santa Ana Canyon irrespective of land ownership. While the four management areas are described separately in this report, it is important to understand that actual "management" is not as distinct, and existing collaborative efforts between agencies in managing groundwater resources will continue. In the case of the La Habra -Brea Management Area, the City of La Habra has already been deemed the exclusive GSA for the La Habra/Brea area and intends to prepare a Groundwater Sustainability Plan GSP). When La Habra submits a GSP, this Basin 8-1 Alternative will no longer include the La Habra/Brea area within the area designated by the GSP. As authorized by 23 CCR § 354.20, this Basin 8-1 Alternative describes four management areas as shown in Figure 1. The rationale for designating these management areas within Basin 8-1 is explained as follows: La Habra -Brea Management Area includes the northern portion of Basin 8-1 that is located outside of the OCWD service area and is within the cities of La Habra and Brea. The City of La Habra currently manages this portion of Basin 8-1. Although this management area is hydrologically distinct from the OCWD Management Area there is an estimated 1,000 afy of subsurface groundwater flow from the La Habra -Brea Management Area to the OCWD Management Area. Surface water that recharges the OCWD portion of Basin 8-1 does not replenish the La Habra -Brea Management Area. The OCWD Management Area includes approximately 89 percent of the land area of Basin 8-1. Ninety-eight percent of all groundwater production within 8-1 occurs in this management area. This area includes the portion of Basin 8-1 that is within OCWD's service area, except for an approximately 7-square mile portion of OCWD's service area 2017 BASIN 8-1 ALTERNATIVE Overview 2 Basin 8-1 Overview that is in the Santa Ana Canyon Management Area. OCWD has been managing the majority of Basin 8-1 since its formation in 1933. The South East Management Area includes the southern and southeastern portion of Basin 8-1 that is hydrogeologically connected to the OCWD Management Area but is outside of OCWD's service area. This area consists of several, disconnected, small fringe areas that are within the DWR designated boundary of Basin 8-1. This management area includes areas under the jurisdiction of the IRWD, the El Toro Water District and the City of Orange. The groundwater basin in this area is thin and contains more clay and silt deposits than aquifers in the OCWD Management Area. Groundwater historically has flowed out of this area into the OCWD Management Area. Production has been minimal in this area due to hydrogeological conditions with little potential for significant future increases. The Santa Ana Canyon Management Area includes the easternmost section of Basin 8- 1. This area includes land under the jurisdiction of several cities, two counties, and two water districts, including a portion that is within the OCWD service area. Groundwater production is relatively minor compared to groundwater production in the OCWD Management Area. The western boundary of this management area is located at Imperial Highway in the city of Anaheim where the basin thickness begins to increase. Imperial Highway crosses the Santa Ana River where OCWD begins to divert river water into the recharge facilities for percolation into the groundwater basin. The Basin 8-1 Alternative is organized as follows: Overview: Provides a map and description of Basin 8-1 and a brief description of the basin management areas. Hydrogeology of Basin 8-1: Provides a description of the hydrogeology of Basin 8-1 including a description of the basin, the aquifer systems, fault zones, total basin volume, basin cross -sections, basin characteristics, and general groundwater quality. La Habra -Brea Management Area: Provides a description of sustainable management of the La Habra -Brea Management Area C OCWD Management Area: Provides a description of sustainable management of the OCWD Management Area South East Management Area: Provides a description of sustainable management of the South East Management Area Santa Ana Canyon Management Area: Provides a description of sustainable management of the Santa Ana Canyon Management Area 2017 BASIN 8-1 ALTERNATIVE Overview 3 r-- Yo_i6 LOS ANGELES LDS nPea COUNTY une_ iVLIERiOM p4f,EX11< Oj Y o vPLnLe eaEN+ r[an N4X M CYpPE66 ORANGE u s+an+oN COUNTY pPPR Los OPfNGE JC,` PLR11tA5 GCPGENavE WAL qtPC eEP:H wecnuvsYin oe c XVIIPXG oN fOBEFCH 1VS iM1VPLIEYLUI eeucX DWR Basin B-1 nCounty Boundary Mesas a 12" 24.000 IN Feet Basin 8-1 Overview SAN BERNARD'No OGONTY Figure 1-1: Basin 8-1 Management Area Boundaries RIVERSDECCONT'i 2017 BASIN 8-1 ALTERNATIVE Overview 4 Basin 8-1 Overview o South East El La Habra SAR Canyon OCWD 89% Figure 1-2: Percentage of Land Area in Basin 8-1 within Management Areas 1. LA HABRA-BREA MANAGEMENT AREA The La Habra -Brea Management area covers the northern portion of Basin 8-1. The City of La Habra has been deemed the exclusive GSA under SGMA for this management area. This management area is part of Basin 8-1, but is hydrogeologically distinct from the OCWD Management Area and is not under the jurisdiction of OCWD. The City adopted a resolution to establish the La Habra Basin as a separate basin from Basin 8-1. OCWD adopted a resolution to support the City's request to DWR for an internal jurisdictional boundary modification in the OC Basin that follows the city limits of La Habra and Brea as is outside of the Orange County Water District's jurisdictional boundary. The La Habra -Brea Management Area is included with this Alternative to facilitate collaboration among groundwater agencies within Basin 8-1 as required by SGMA. The City of La Habra and portions of the City of Brea comprise the La Habra -Brea Management Area. This area overlies the extents of the proposed La Habra Groundwater Basin, referenced herein. The La Habra -Brea Management Area is currently monitored for groundwater elevations and for groundwater quality through productions wells and historical data from monitoring wells within the La Habra -Brea Management Area and surrounding area. 2017 BASIN 8-1 ALTERNATIVE Overview 5 Basin 8-1 Overview As the City of La Habra currently depends on local groundwater to meet approximately 40 percent of its water consumption; preserving the sustainability of the La Habra -Brea Management Area is essential. Currently (and historically), the City of La Habra manages (and has managed) the La Habra -Brea Management Area through management plans and programs for groundwater levels, basin storage, and water quality. By January 2020, the City will manage the La Habra -Brea Management Area through a Groundwater Sustainability Plan under SGMA, which will describe the monitoring program and ensure that no undesirable results occur in the future. 2. OCWD MANAGEMENT AREA The OCWD Management Area covers an area of approximately 260 square miles within Basin 8-1, which represents approximately 89 percent of the land area of Basin 8-1. Ninety-eight percent of the groundwater production within Basin 8-1 occurs in the OCWD Management Area. Groundwater produced within the OCWD Management Area provides approximately 70 percent of the total water supply for a population of around 2.4 million residents. Since its formation by the California Legislature in 1933, OCWD has been the managing agency for the majority of Basin 8-1, also referred to as the Coastal Plain of Orange County Groundwater Basin. As a special act district listed in Water Code § 1072(c)(1), OCWD is the exclusive local agency within its jurisdictional boundaries with powers to comply with SGMA. Water demands within the OCWD Management Area have grown from approximately 150,000 acre-feet per year (afy) in the mid-1950s to a high of approximately 366,000 afy in water year 2007-08. OCWD operates an extensive network of recharge basins to increase recharge of surface water into the groundwater basin to support groundwater production. OCWD monitors the basin by collecting groundwater elevation and quality data from nearly 700 wells, including over 400 OCWD-owned monitoring wells, manages an electronic database that stores water elevation, water quality, production, recharge and other data on over 2,000 wells and facilities within and outside OCWD boundaries. An OCWD-operated water recycling plant provides up to 100 million gallons per day of advanced tertiary -treated wastewater that supplies recharge operations and a seawater intrusion barrier operated to protect the basin's water quality. OCWD manages groundwater storage and water levels within an established operating range which has resulted in sustainable conditions with no unreasonable and significant undesirable results. The Sustainability Goal for the OCWD Management Area is to continue to sustainably manage the groundwater basin to prevent conditions that would lead to significant and unreasonable (1) lowering of groundwater levels, (2) reduction in storage, (3) water quality degradation, (4) seawater intrusion, (5) inelastic land subsidence and (6) adverse impacts on hydrologically connected surface water. 2017 BASIN 8-1 ALTERNATIVE Overview 6 Basin 8-1 Overview 3. SOUTH EAST MANAGEMENT AREA The South East Management Area contains portions of Irvine Ranch Water District (IRWD), El Toro Water District (ETWD), and the City of Orange. The area covered this management area is essentially an extension of the main basin and was formed to comply with the requirement that the entirety of Basin 8-1 be covered by a responsible agency. There is relatively little existing, or potential, groundwater development within the South East Management Area. What pumping does occur is less than 200 acre -feet -per -year (afy), which is much less than the total recharge to the area. Water levels and storage levels are steady. The Sustainability Goal for the South East Management Area is to recognize it is a small part of the larger groundwater basin that is managed by OCWD. Nevertheless, groundwater levels and water quality will be monitored to assure that conditions do not lead to significant and unreasonable (1) lowering of groundwater levels, (2) reduction in storage, (3) water quality degradation, (4) inelastic land subsidence, (5) unreasonable adverse effect on surface water resources, and (6) adverse impacts on hydrologically connected surface water. 4. SANTA ANA CANYON MANAGEMENT AREA The Santa Ana Canyon Management Area covers the easternmost extent of Basin 8-1. The water resources in the Santa Ana Canyon Management Area include the Santa Ana River and groundwater. Groundwater is primarily located in a thin alluvial aquifer that is 90 to 100 feet thick and is a combination of infiltrated surface water and groundwater inflow from the adjacent foothills. Groundwater pumping in this management area is primarily used for irrigation with a minimal amount used for potable purposes. The amount of groundwater pumping is small relative to the large volumes of flow in the canyon provided by the Santa Ana River and monitoring indicates there are no depletions of interconnected surface water that have significant and unreasonable adverse impacts on beneficial uses of the surface water. There are no groundwater withdrawals within the areas covered by the Cities of Anaheim, Chino Hills, and Yorba Linda; Riverside County; and Yorba Linda Water District. OCWD has water rights to all Santa Ana River flows released through Prado Dam. For the area within its boundary, OCWD has the legal authority through the OCWD Act to require reporting of groundwater production and to charge groundwater pumping assessments for groundwater production. OCWD also monitors surface water flow and quality as well as groundwater levels and quality throughout the Santa Ana Canyon Management Area. The Sustainability Goal for the Santa Ana Canyon Management Area is to continue monitoring sustainable conditions and monitor to ensure that no significant and unreasonable results occur in the future. 2017 BASIN 8-1 ALTERNATIVE Overview 7 brs 4/12/23 Resolution No. 2023-XXX Page 1 of 3 RESOLUTION NO. 2023-XXX A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF SANTA ANA APPROVING THE WATER SUPPLY ASSESSMENT FOR THE PROPOSED CABRILLO TOWN CENTER PROJECT WHEREAS, in accordance with California Water Code Sections 10910, 10912(a)(1), and 10912(a)(6), any development that is proposing a residential development of more than 500 dwelling units requires the preparation and approval of a water supply assessment; and WHEREAS, the proposed Cabrillo Town Center Project, located at the intersection of Cabrillo Park Drive and East 4th Street, is proposing development of 507 residential dwelling units and also 6,000 square feet of retail space; and WHEREAS, the proposed Cabrillo Town Center Project therefore requires the preparation and approval of a water supply assessment pursuant to California Water Code Sections 10910 and 10912; and WHEREAS, the City of Santa Ana is the public water system that will supply water to the proposed Cabrillo Town Center Project; and WHEREAS, the City has prepared and filed its 2020 Urban Water Management Plan, though separate review of water supply sufficiency is required under the above - referenced state law for large projects like this; and WHEREAS, the Water Supply Assessment for the Cabrillo Town Center Project has been prepared; and WHEREAS, the findings from the Water Supply Assessment prepared for the Cabrillo Town Center Project show that there is sufficient water supply available for the proposed Cabrillo Town Center Project during normal, single-dry, and multiple dry years within a 20-year projection to meet the projected water demand of the Project in addition to other future service area demands in the City of Santa Ana. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED by the City Council of the City of Santa Ana as follows: Section 1. The Water Supply Assessment for the Cabrillo Town Center Project is hereby approved, a copy of which is attached as Exhibit A and will be on file at the offices of the Public Works Agency of the City for public inspection. Section 2. Approval of the Water Supply Assessment by the City does not constitute a “will-serve” letter or in any way entitles the Cabrillo Town Center Project to water service or to any right, priority or allocation in any supply, capacity or facility. brs 4/12/23 Resolution No. 2023-XXX Page 2 of 3 Section 3. Approval of the Water Supply Assessment shall not affect the City of Santa Ana’s obligation to provide service to its existing customers or any potential future customers, including this Cabrillo Town Center Project. Section 4. This Resolution shall take effect immediately upon its adoption by the City Council, and the Clerk of the Council shall attest to and certify the vote adopting this Resolution. ADOPTED this _____ day of ____________, 2023. ________________________________ Valerie Amezcua Mayor APPROVED AS TO FORM: Sonia R. Carvalho, City Attorney By: Brandon Salvatierra Deputy City Attorney AYES: Councilmembers NOES: Councilmembers ABSTAIN: Councilmembers NOT PRESENT: Councilmembers _ brs 4/12/23 Resolution No. 2023-XXX Page 3 of 3 CERTIFICATION OF ATTESTATION AND ORIGINALITY I, Jennifer L. Hall, City Clerk, do hereby attest to and certify the attached Resolution No. 2023-XXX to be the original resolution adopted by the City Council of the City of Santa Ana on _______________. Date: ______________________ ________________________________ City Clerk City of Santa Ana