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FULL AGENDA PACKET_2021-05-18
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FULL AGENDA PACKET_2021-05-18
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Clerk of the Council
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5/18/2021
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RAMIRL4 <br />Provide a brief summary of your specific Structuring ideas including the assumptions of which Ca1PERS UAL bases to fund the <br />maximize savings based on the two scenarios described above. <br />Describe how proposer would lead the transaction as a senior manager. Specifically, provide your strategies and approaches to <br />help ensure the transaction is executed efficiently. <br />A Word on Credit. Prior to the COVID-19 shutdown, the City's financial profile was on an upward <br />trajectory. General Fund revenues were increasing with the approval of the Measure X sales tax, new <br />cannabis related tax revenues and online sales revenues (Bradley -Burns). Then, COVID-19 brought <br />significanL financial uncertainly. However, due to Lhe City's proactive management and conservative <br />budgeting, the financial impacts were not as severe as originally anticipated. The City's FY2020 audit <br />shows LhaL strong IiquidiLy was maintained wiLh an unassigned General Fund balance of $74 million or <br />24% of expenditures. These factors will he a critical component of the rating process. <br />The City's approved FY2021 budget projected a structural deficit in the "Ten -Year General Fund Financial <br />Outlook" and significant revenue decreases in FY2021 resulting from COVID-19. However, the City's Mid - <br />Year Budget Update (February 16, 2021) indicated the City's financial results are stronger than anticipated <br />by $13.1 million. Downward adjustments, to the Hotel Visitors Tax, Utility Users Tax, Paramedics Service <br />Charge and Parks and Recreation revenues, were mitigated by stranger than expected Sales Tax revenues <br />($12.5 million higher than prior estimates) that included Bradley -Burns online <br />sales taxes and Measure X. One very significant new revenue source is the score Rating <br />City's Adult -Use Retail Cannabis tax, which is projected to produce $16.9 .100 t 64 AAA <br />million in revenue ($7.25 million increase from approved budget). One z35-84 AA <br />3s-zsa nn- <br />additional credit positive is the 3%decrease in General Fund expenditures. zss-324 A+ <br />the Ramirez & Co. team includes Peter Block, a former 14-year S&P State & 36S -364 a <br />3. Fi5-394 A - <br />Local Gov't Rating Analyst. With Peter's help, we developed a credit model to ; os- 4 24 RRR+ <br />provide an indicative rating for the City's upcoming POB transaction. 4.25-4.54 BBB <br />4.RR-4.74 RRR- <br />+ The adjacent tables detail S&P's Local Government Score Card, which 4 7s- 414 nn <br />we used to calculate an indicative 'AA' category rating. 4.9, _,.00 n <br />Weight Category Score Comments <br />309/ Economy 2.5 Weak per capita income, strong MSA <br />20% Management 2 Financial policies & budget monitoring/reporting <br />10% Budgetary Flexibility 1 Available GF Balance is 2596 of expenditures <br />10% Budgetary Performance 1 Operating surplus in the GF and total pov't funds level <br />109/ Liquidity 1 Available Cash well above 1596 of Gov't Fund Expenditures <br />Net direct debt below 36/6, but high as a percentage of total <br />1095 Debt P. Contingent Liability 5 governmental funds revs; driven by pensions and OPFR <br />10% Institutional framework 3 Standard scorn for all California cities <br />Notably, we assign the highest rating to the City's Budgetary Flexibility, Budgetary Performance and <br />Liquidity. However, like most California cities, the City's debt and contingency liability is weak due to large <br />unfunded pension/OPEB liabilities. Institutional Framework is based on the legal environment of the <br />issuer and cannot be controlled by the City. Given this, our focus will be to articulate the strengths of the <br />City's Managernenl Team and Lhe local/regional Econorny. <br />City Council <br />8 23 — 246 <br />5f 18/2021 <br />
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