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FULL AGENDA PACKET_2021-05-18
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FULL AGENDA PACKET_2021-05-18
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Clerk of the Council
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5/18/2021
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RAMIRL4 <br />+ Management Team: The City's robust financial policies, that include a formal budget and reserve <br />policy, debt management policy and a pension funding policy, are strong. Notably, the pension <br />funding policy is very thoughtful and includes a strategy to address both the UAL and OPEB <br />liabilities. In addition to emphasizing conservative budgeting results, we recommend including a <br />substantial discussion of the specific actions taken to contain costs during the COVID shutdown. <br />Providing this level of detail helps articulate the sophistication of the City's management team. <br />Economy: As senior manager for the City's last two financings, we helped earn two and three <br />notch rating upgrades to the coveted "AA" category. In part, this success was due to our ability to <br />position the Santa Ana economy as the backbone of its Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). Its <br />vitality at the intersection of Orange, LA and Riverside Counties provides the City with unique <br />opportunities. For its general fund credit, it will be important to detail the City's transformational <br />period fueled by substantial new development, opportunities and revenues. For the City's 2019 <br />rating presentation, our team spent a lot of time discussing the following projects: 3"& <br />Broadway, Willowick, YMCA, Tapestry Hotel by Hilton, Central Pointe, The Bowery, First American <br />Title Company, The Heritage (Park and Paseo) and the Main Place Mall Transformation. <br />These developments were and are critical to the City's credit rating because of potential sales taxes and <br />AV increases. In the POB rating presentation, we will detail the progress that has been made. Based on <br />our recent rating successes, we firmly expect that the City should earn a strong 'AA' category POB rating. <br />Additional Thoughts on Rating Strategy. Ramirez & Co. recommends utilizing an S&P rating only. S&P <br />rates POBs based on an issuer's 60 rating due to an acknowledgement that revenue used to pay for PUB <br />debt service is not limited in scope and is not distinct or separate from the issuer's General Fund. Moody's <br />and Fitch rate POBs one to two notches lower and recent POB performance indicates a single S&P rating <br />will not impact pricing. Additionally, S&P is credit neutral on the issuance of POBs and therefore the <br />proposed transaction will not negatively impact the City's credit rating. <br />Structuring Ideas: Ramirez & Co.'s analysis is a multi -step process based on the following: <br />1. Pension liability shape (including PCB) <br />2. Amortization Base by Amortization Base CAPERS UAL refunding model <br />3. POB size optimization, an incremental approach <br />Notably, our pension optimization model is dynamic and we have evaluated a refinancing of all possible <br />UAL base combinations. The structuring recommendation included below is based on current interest rates <br />and a progressive approach that adds incrementally less efficient UAL bases to reach the optimal solution. <br />As we approach pricing, our quantitative support team will continue to monitor the market and we can <br />revise the combination of UAL bases on the day of pricing based on investor demand and real-time interest <br />rate movements. our quantitative support team includes Arthur Chan, Managing Director, who has a <br />Rnrhelor'c degree in Computer .Srienre with a fnrus nn Artifirinl Intelligrnre from the l/niversity of <br />City Council <br />9 23 — 247 <br />5/18/2021 <br />
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