Item 18 - Appeal Application Nos. 2023-02 and 2023-03 for Cabrillo Town Center project

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(RCPG) are considered consistent with the AQMP growth projections. This is because the Growth Management Chapter of the 1996 RCPG forms the basis of the land use and transportation control portions of the AQMP. Implementation of the Overlay Zone would introduce new residential housing which would directly induce population growth within the Overlay Zone. As a result, the Overlay Zone would result in an estimated direct population increase of 11,102 residents. Population projections for the City assumed a population increase of 16,905 residents between the years 2005 and 2030. As implementation of the Overlay Zone would result in increased population that is within that projected for the City, the proposed residential development would not result in an exceedance by the City for either SCAG or General Plan population projections because SCAG's regional growth forecasts are based upon, among other things, land uses specified in city general plans. As the AQMP is based on SCAG growth projections, the Overlay Zone would be consistent with the AQMP population growth projections. SCAG projections indicate an increase of up to 13,394 employees in the City from 2005-2030. The Overlay Zone could generate up to 2,343 employment positions and would not substantially affect the employment forecasts within the City. By generating approximately 2,343 long-term employment positions, the Overlay Zone would contribute only an incremental portion to this growth in employment. Therefore, the employment that would be generated by implementation of the Overlay Zone has been accounted for in previous growth projections, and the Overlay Zone would not result in any increase in employment not accounted for in the General Plan. The employment growth resulting from the Overlay Zone would be consistent with SCAG's employment forecasts for the City. Therefore, the Overlay Zone would be consistent with the AQMP employment forecasts for Los Angeles County. Based on the consistency of the Overlay Zone with the existing SCAG population and employment projections and the AQMP forecasts, as discussed above, the Overlay Zone would not impair implementation of the AQMP, and this impact was determined to be less than significant. No mitigation measures were required. Cumulatively Considerable Net Increase in Criteria Pollutant Construction As stated in the Certified EIR, implementation of the Overlay Zone would likely generate emissions of volatile organic compounds (VOC) and nitrogen oxide (NOX) that exceed established SCAQMD thresholds. Further environmental review will be required as on a site -specific basis to make a determination of contribution of air emissions from individual projects. If a site -specific review of the future development projects occurring within the Overlay Zone identifies potentially significant air quality impacts associated with construction activities, Mitigation Measures MM- OZ 4.2-2 through MM-OZ 4.2-16 would be implemented to reduce these emissions. While implementation of Mitigation Measures MM-OZ 4.2-2 through MM-OZ 4.2-16 would reduce construction -related emissions, they may not reduce these emissions to levels below the SCAQMD thresholds for each individual development project, as the amount of Cabrillo Town Center City of Santa Ana Technical Memorandum August 2023 City Council 18 — 503 10/3/2023