Item 18 - Appeal Application Nos. 2023-02 and 2023-03 for Cabrillo Town Center project

Home Browse Search

assumptions reflected in the AQMP involves the evaluation of three criteria: (1) consistency with applicable population, housing, and employment growth projections; (2) project mitigation measures; and (3) appropriate incorporation of AQMP land use planning strategies. The following discussion provides an analysis with respect to each of these three criteria. • Is the project consistent with the population, housing, and employment growth projections upon which AQMP forecasted emission levels are based? A project is consistent with the AQMP, in part, if it is consistent with the population, housing, and employment assumptions that were used in the development of the AQMP. In the case of the 2022 AQMP, two sources of data form the basis for the projections of air pollutant emissions: the City of Santa Ana General Plan and SCAG's RTP. The General Plan serves as a comprehensive, long-term plan for future development of the City. The 2020-2045 RTP/SCS provides socioeconomic forecast projections of regional population growth. The population, housing, and employment forecasts, which are adopted by SCAG's Regional Council, are based on local plans and policies applicable to the specific area; these are used by SCAG in all phases of implementation and review. The 2020-2045 RTP/SCS accommodates 360,100 persons; 80,100 households; and 172,400 jobs in the City of Santa Ana by 2045. Based on SCAG's average 2016 persons -per -household rate for the City of 4.6 persons per household,30 the Project would add a net residential population of approximately 2,334 people to the Project Site based on the 507 dwelling units proposed. The Project's residential population would represent approximately 11.7 percent of the forecast population growth between 2016 and 2045. Development of the Project also would result in the removal of about 542 on -site jobs based on the 173,025 square feet of general office uses.31 Thus, the Project's estimated employment impact would not help produce job growth that exceeds the capacity that is accommodated in the 2022 AQMP. As a result, the Project would be consistent with the projections in the AQMP. • Does the project implement feasible air quality mitigation measures? As discussed below under Thresholds (b), (c), and (d), the Project would not result in any significant air quality impacts and therefore would not require mitigation. In addition, the Project would comply with all applicable regulatory standards as required by SCAQMD. Furthermore, with compliance with the regulatory requirements identified above, no significant air quality impacts would occur. As such, the proposed Project meets this AQMP consistency criterion. • To what extent is project development consistent with the land use policies set forth in the AQMP? 30 Southern California Association of Governments; Final Connect SoCal Demographics and Growth Forecast by Jurisdiction; https://scag.ca.gov/sites/main/files/file-attachments/0903fconnectsocal_demographics-and- g rowth-forecast. pdf? 1606001579. 31 Prepared by The Natelson Company, Inc. for the Southern California Association of Governments, Employment Density Study Summary Report; October 2001. Assumes 319 square feet average per general office (low-rise) employee. Cabrillo Town Center Project PAGE 22 City of Santa Ana Air Quality 1v ONC1 18 — 668 10/3/2023 July 2023