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Item 08 - Ballot Measure Polling Results
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03/17/2026 Regular, Special HA
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Item 08 - Ballot Measure Polling Results
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3/11/2026 11:01:15 AM
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City Clerk
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Agenda Packet
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City Manager's Office
Item #
08
Date
3/17/2026
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SUPPORT BY SUBGROUPS For the interested reader, Table 1 shows how support for the <br />measure at the Initial Ballot Test varied by key demographic traits. The blue column (Approxi- <br />mate % of Universe) indicates the percentage of the likely November 2026 electorate that each <br />subgroup category comprises. Support for the proposed measure was widespread, exceeding a <br />majority in nearly all identified subgroups and exceeding 60% in most. <br />TABLE 1 DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWN OF SUPPORT AT INITIAL BALLOT TEST <br />Approximate <br />of Voter <br />% Probably or <br />Universe <br />Definitely Yes <br />% Not sure <br />Overall <br />100.0 <br />63.8 <br />9.9 <br />Less than 5 <br />16.1 <br />79.3 <br />1 1 .1 <br />Years in Santa Ana (Q1) <br />5 to 9 <br />14.1 <br />78.2 <br />2.6 <br />10 to 14 <br />8.0 <br />60.6 <br />9.8 <br />15 or more <br />61.9 <br />58.0 <br />10.7 <br />Overall Satisfaction (Q4) <br />Satisfied <br />66.8 <br />72.9 <br />10.1 <br />Dissatisfied <br />33 <br />47.6 <br />7.6 <br />Child in Hsld (Ql 5) <br />Yes <br />27.8 <br />66.2 <br />8.5 <br />No <br />72.2 <br />64.3 <br />9.9 <br />Fiscal Management <br />Excellent, good <br />31.1 <br />92.9 <br />1.4 <br />Rating (Q14) <br />Fair <br />40.8 <br />62.0 <br />13.5 <br />Poor, very poor <br />28.1 <br />38.1 <br />8.7 <br />Democrat <br />54.3 <br />70.1 <br />9.6 <br />Party <br />Republican <br />22.8 <br />53.3 <br />7.3 <br />Other / DTS <br />22.9 <br />59.2 <br />13.4 <br />Single dem <br />28.7 <br />76.6 <br />7.3 <br />Dual dem <br />13.4 <br />63.7 <br />13.2 <br />Household Party Type <br />Single rep <br />12.4 <br />54.3 <br />6.3 <br />Dual rep <br />3.9 <br />55.6 <br />8.6 <br />Other <br />15.2 <br />58.4 <br />14.0 <br />Mixed <br />26.3 <br />58.6 <br />10.7 <br />English <br />80.4 <br />64.0 <br />9.7 <br />Survey Language <br />Spanish <br />13.1 <br />60.3 <br />12.8 <br />Vietnamese <br />6.5 <br />68.2 <br />7.5 <br />18 to 29 <br />23.0 <br />73.9 <br />14.3 <br />30 to 39 <br />20.3 <br />66.3 <br />8.0 <br />Age <br />40 to 49 <br />13.7 <br />56.7 <br />9.1 <br />50 to 64 <br />20.0 <br />54.9 <br />9.3 <br />65 or older <br />23.0 <br />63.4 <br />8.5 <br />Since June 2016 <br />38.6 <br />69.0 <br />10.1 <br />Registration Year <br />Before June 2016 <br />)1 .4 <br />60.5 <br />9.8 <br />Homeowner on Voter File Yes <br />49.6 <br />60.6 <br />10.3 <br />No <br />50.4 <br />66.9 <br />9.6 <br />Likely to Vote by Mail <br />Yes <br />75.1 <br />62.0 <br />10.8 <br />No <br />24.9 <br />69.2 <br />7.4 <br />Likely Jun 2026 Voter <br />Yes <br />40.0 <br />59.5 <br />9.8 <br />No <br />60.0 <br />66.7 <br />10.0 <br />Likely Low Turnout <br />Yes <br />27.2 <br />61.6 <br />9.8 <br />Election Voter <br />No <br />72.8 <br />64.6 <br />10.0 <br />Excellent, good <br />50.1 <br />74.5 <br />9.6 <br />Quality of Life (Q2) <br />Fair <br />35.7 <br />61.3 <br />11.8 <br />Poor, very poor <br />14.2 <br />32.5 <br />6.6 <br />Male <br />50.8 <br />65.8 <br />6.0 <br />Gender <br />Female <br />49.2 <br />63.9 <br />14.8 <br />City of Santa Ana True North Research, Inc. © 2025 <br />
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