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Item 08 - Ballot Measure Polling Results
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03/17/2026 Regular, Special HA
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Item 08 - Ballot Measure Polling Results
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3/11/2026 11:01:15 AM
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City Clerk
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Agenda Packet
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City Manager's Office
Item #
08
Date
3/17/2026
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C H A N G E I N S U P P O R T <br />Table 6 provides a closer look at how support for the proposed measure changed over the <br />course of the survey by calculating the difference in support between the Initial, Interim, and <br />Final Ballot Tests within subgroups of voters. The percentage of support for the measure at the <br />Final Ballot Test is shown in the column with the heading o Probably or Definitely Yes. The col- <br />umns to the right show the difference between the Final and the Initial, and the Final and Interim <br />Ballot Tests. Positive differences appear in green, and negative differences appear in red. <br />TABLE 6 DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKDOWN OF SUPPORT AT FINAL BALLOT TEST <br />Approximate % <br />Change From <br />Change From <br />of Voter <br />% Probably or <br />Initial Ballot <br />Interim Ballot <br />Universe <br />Definitely Yes <br />Test (Q5) <br />Test (Q9) <br />Overall <br />100.0 <br />62.8 <br />-1.0 <br />-4.7 <br />Less than 5 <br />16.1 <br />76.6 <br />-2.7 <br />-4.8 <br />Years in Santa Ana (Q1) <br />5 to 9 <br />14.1 <br />76.0 <br />-2.2 <br />-4.8 <br />10 to 14 <br />8.0 <br />59.9 <br />-0.7 <br />-1.0 <br />15 or more <br />61.9 <br />57.6 <br />-0.4 <br />-5.2 <br />Overall Satisfaction (Q4) <br />Satisfied <br />66.8 <br />71.8 <br />-1.0 <br />-6.2 <br />Dissatisfied <br />33.2 <br />44.8 <br />-2.8 <br />-1.0 <br />Child in Hsld (Ql 5) <br />Yes <br />27.8 <br />60.7 <br />-5.5 <br />-6.1 <br />No <br />72.2 <br />65.0 <br />+0.8 <br />-4.8 <br />Excellent, good <br />31.1 <br />92.9 <br />-0.1 <br />-1.8 <br />Fiscal Management <br />Rating (Q14) <br />Fair <br />40.8 <br />64.5 <br />+2.5 <br />-6.6 <br />Poor, very poor <br />28.1 <br />32.9 <br />-5.3 <br />-0.4 <br />Democrat <br />54.3 <br />68.6 <br />-1.5 <br />-5.3 <br />Party <br />Republican <br />22.8 <br />51.3 <br />-2.0 <br />-5.1 <br />Other / DTS <br />22.9 <br />60.4 <br />+1 .2 <br />-2.9 <br />Single dem <br />28.7 <br />70.9 <br />-5.8 <br />-7.4 <br />Dual dem <br />13.4 <br />64.0 <br />+0.3 <br />-1.6 <br />Household Party Type <br />Single rep <br />12.4 <br />54.4 <br />+0.0 <br />-3.1 <br />Dual rep <br />3.9 <br />53.5 <br />-2.1 <br />-6.8 <br />Other <br />15.2 <br />60.8 <br />+2.4 <br />-0.4 <br />Mixed <br />26.3 <br />60.0 <br />+1.3 <br />-6.3 <br />English <br />80.4 <br />64.5 <br />+0.5 <br />-4.3 <br />Survey Language <br />Spanish <br />13.1 <br />51.4 <br />-8.9 <br />-8.2 <br />Vietnamese <br />6.5 <br />65.4 <br />-2.8 <br />-2.7 <br />18 to 29 <br />23.0 <br />76.6 <br />+2.7 <br />-1.1 <br />30 to 39 <br />20.3 <br />61.8 <br />-4.5 <br />-9.1 <br />Age <br />40 to 49 <br />13.7 <br />53.2 <br />-3.5 <br />-10.5 <br />50 to 64 <br />20.0 <br />53.3 <br />-1.5 <br />-5.3 <br />65 or older <br />23.0 <br />63.8 <br />+0.4 <br />-0.4 <br />Since June 2016 <br />38.6 <br />70.7 <br />+1.8 <br />-3.2 <br />Registration Year <br />Before June 2016 <br />61 .4 <br />57.8 <br />-2.7 <br />-5.7 <br />Homeowner on Voter File Yes <br />49.6 <br />61.9 <br />+1 .4 <br />-4.9 <br />No <br />50.4 <br />63.7 <br />-3.3 <br />-4.5 <br />Likely to Vote by Mail <br />Yes <br />75.1 <br />61.7 <br />-0.3 <br />-3.7 <br />No <br />24.9 <br />66.1 <br />-3.0 <br />-7.6 <br />Likely Jun 2026 Voter <br />Yes <br />40.0 <br />62.3 <br />+2.9 <br />-1.3 <br />No <br />60.0 <br />63.1 <br />-3.5 <br />-6.9 <br />Likely Low Turnout <br />Yes <br />27.2 <br />64.5 <br />+2.9 <br />-3.4 <br />Election Voter <br />No <br />72.8 <br />62.2 <br />-2.4 <br />-5.2 <br />Excellent, good <br />50.1 <br />76.1 <br />+1 .6 <br />-3.7 <br />Quality of Life (Q2) <br />Fair <br />35.7 <br />57.8 <br />-3.5 <br />-7.5 <br />Poor, very poor <br />14.2 <br />29.2 <br />-3.3 <br />-0.9 <br />Gender <br />Male <br />50.8 <br />67.9 <br />+2.1 <br />-2.5 <br />Female <br />49.2 <br />60.0 <br />-3.9 <br />-6.8 <br />City of Santa Ana <br />True North Research, Inc. © 2025 <br />
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